Takes

The Bears have a significant special teams advantage over the Rams in the Divisional Round.

I've meant to say that the one place that the Bears have a significant advantage is special teams. The, the Rams have been kind of like, they got a punt blocked. The kicker's been bad. The Bears, Cairo. Santos has been good.

The Cleveland Browns will cover the 10-point spread against the Buffalo Bills

I do like the bills, but I think the Browns might cover... I like the Browns at the very least in the first half of this game. I like 'em to cover 10 points.

Joe Burrow has started eight games in the last year and is 8-0 as a starter

In the last 12 months, Joe Burrow has started... He is eight and oh as a starter in the last calendar year. Since this date, December 2nd, the last 367 days.

Sam Darnold is 10-0 straight up in his career as a favorite of six points or more

Sam Darnold has been a favorite of six points or more 10 times as a starter in the NFL. He's 10 and oh straight up, eight and two against the spread in those games.

Colts -4.5 vs. Texans is a suspiciously low line that favors the Colts

I'm gonna take the Colts minus four and a half. I feel like the, that that's, that's a field goal line. Why is it four and a half? They know something.

I bet the Cowboys to cover +3 against the Eagles

I'm gonna take the Cowboys plus three... I think the Cowboys are gonna cover the spread. The Eagles can win the game.

The Texans defense will win them the game against the 49ers

I like the Texans in this game. Not, obviously not because of their offense... I'm more gonna bet the Texans because their defense is the best unit on the field. And the 49ers Mac Jones looked good, but this is a different defense. This is a top defense.

The Bears vs. Saints game is a Must Win

The Bears are right now, what is it? Four and a half point favorites. This is a game that the Bears have to win. I'm dubbing it a Must Win because the Bears are, you'd think better than the Saints.

The Chiefs are going to win the Super Bowl

Raiders Chiefs, Chiefs are gonna win the Super Bowl. Chiefs are minus 11 and a half... Their offense is humming.

I'm starting to believe in the Falcons

I think I'm starting to believe in the Falcons. Are you ready to do that with me? I like 'em man. I like 'em.

The Lions might be the best team in football

If you throw that [Packers] game out, you would look at this [Lions] team and be like, they might be the best team in football. Yeah. And I would not, I would not argue with you about that.

The Browns will cover the +4.5 spread against the Vikings in London

I like the Browns to keep it within a field goal... the Browns defense obviously is elite top three defense in the NFL. The Vikings are going to blitz the fuck out of Dylan Gabriel. They're gonna confuse him. It's gonna be a lowest scoring game.

The Cleveland Browns have a championship-level defense

The Cleveland Browns have a championship defense right now. Yeah, I would agree.

Jalen Hurts is a winner who doesn't care about anything but the final result

Jalen Hurts in games that he has started and finished. He's 18 and oh in his last 18 games that he started and finished... The, the Eagles. And he doesn't give a fuck about how they just keep winning.

A Bengal tiger would kill a Jaguar in a fight every single time

I just looked at AI and a Bengal would kill a Jaguar like a hundred out of a hundred times. A Jaguar does have one of like the the fiercest bites in the animal kingdom. The problem is the Bengal outweighs the Jaguar by like 200 pounds.

The Buccaneers at -110 to win the NFC South is a good bet

I think the Tampa Bay Bucks minus one 10 to win the NFC South is a good bet. I like their offense a lot. I know Tristan Wirfs is out for probably four weeks, but he'll be back.

CJ Abrams is the best Saber Metric pick in the Dingers Only draft because he leads off

Ideally you want your players to get as many opportunities to hit home runs as possible. Why not take a guy that hits lead off shortstop. CJ Abrams. He's gonna get like four more at bats than some of your guys' clowns.

DeVonta Smith will have 50+ receiving yards in Super Bowl 59

My prop. I think that DeVonta Smith is due. Oh, I think he, I 50 plus yards. I feel good about DeVonta Smith.

Patrick Mahomes will throw an interception in Super Bowl 59

The prop that I'll be betting that I'll be rooting for is Patrick Mahomes over one half interception. So Patrick Mahomes a throwing interception.

Dallas Goedert will have over 60 receiving yards in Super Bowl 59

I'm going, I think this has gotta be a huge Dallas Goedert game. So I'm going Dallas Goedert over 60 yards receiving plus one 19. So it's plus money. I think this is Dallas Goedert game. I think he's got to eat. He's also, he leads the Eagles in, in receiving yards in the Playoffs.

The Eagles have a better chance of beating the Chiefs than the Commanders do

The Eagles have a much better chance to beat the Chiefs. That's true. And so I don't, I don't, I don't wanna root for the Commanders, have them win and then just get smoked by the Chiefs and then Threepeat.

Ohio State is the better team and will beat Notre Dame in the National Championship

I mean, Ohio State's the better team. I feel like it's one of those things where like Notre Dame two outta 10 times maybe could win this game... It's probably Ohio State.

Patrick Mahomes is basically lights out in the Divisional Round

He plays in this divisional round and he's basically just, he's, I mean he's undefeated. He lights out. That's just what happens. He is six and oh. He has 1,813 total yards, 16 touchdowns... zero interceptions.

Travis Kelce ramps it up in the playoffs compared to the regular season

I do think this is where Travis Kelce ramps it up. Like, I like his over yards. I think this is, he, he, he plays in second gear for the majority of the regular season. And then when you get to these points... it's Travis Kelce or Mahomes using his feet.

Only five teams can realistically win the Super Bowl

I have five teams... Philadelphia Eagles, the Detroit Lions, the Baltimore Ravens, the Kansas City Chiefs and the Buffalo Bills.

The Chargers will beat the Texans in the Wild Card round

Everything we just have said is just like, you should just take the [under]... I do think the Chargers win. I'm a little nervous about three just because it does feel like it's going to be a low scoring knockdown, drag out fight.

Joe Mixon is a bust whenever he plays a top-12 rush defense

Kansas City has the seventh ranked rush defense, according to DVOA Joe Mixon rushing... Anytime he's had to play a top 12 rush defense... he has been bust. And if the Texans can't run the ball, I really don't like this offense.

The Lions defense struggles against running quarterbacks

This is the week that the lions all their defensive injuries... This is an elite elite offense. And Aaron Glenn, I know this from experience because Justin Fields used to play well against Lions. Aaron Glenn's defenses don't do well against running quarterbacks. He refuses to do a spy.

The Jets' defense does not travel well

Defense doesn't travel... We got smoked by the Cardinals. Graveyard teams.

The Broncos will beat the Falcons

I think the Broncos are going to get off the mat here and respond very well. And I think the Broncos are gonna win this game.

The 49ers' offense is the second best in the NFL even without Christian McCaffrey

The 49ers are getting better on offense. So their offense without Christian McCaffrey for most of the season, they are plus 1.4 net yards per play, which is the second best offense in the NFL.

The Chargers' defense is legitimately elite

The Chargers are the fourth team in the last 40 years to hold opponents under 21 points in their first nine games of the season. Only been done four times. Defense is legit. Legit.

The Ravens will beat the Broncos in a focused effort following their loss to the Browns

I think the Ravens are gonna be very focused. Broncos riding high and you see that nine point spread and you're like, oof, that's easy. It's a lot of points. Broncos are, are five and three. How are they nine point underdogs. I agree with you. Like I said, if the Ravens had won last week, I would probably be leaning heavy to the Broncos.

I officially apologize for hating on the Buccaneers

I've retracted my take. I've done some soul searching about the Bucks. I apologize for saying the Bucks aren't very good. It is a hundred percent Chaps bias. I sat with Chaps for an entire game watching him and it just—it sits with you and it really eats away at you.

The game against the Jaguars is a must-win for the Bears

This is a must win for the Bears. You got, this is the meat of your schedule, right? This is the, this is the, you got make some hay time. I'll be a very sad boy if the Bears lose this game.

You should never have a quarterback wearing number 19

Skylar Thompson wearing number 19 is terrible. That's a bad quarterback name number. It's Johnny Unitas and nothing else. You can't, yeah. Number 19... it's a just warning sign that this is a very backup quarterback.

Eastern Michigan +2.5 is a lock because UMass should never be favorites

I saw the one that jumped out: Eastern Michigan plus 2.5. UMass football should never be favorites against anyone.

Caleb Williams is going to be an awesome quarterback

It happened to me today and I don't know if that's people just trying to be nice to me, but I had multiple people. I'm like, yeah, Caleb Williams could be awesome.

Jalen Hurts is definitely a good NFL quarterback

Everyone knows that Jalen Hurts is good quarterback. Is he? Yeah. Jalen Hurts is the guy.

There will be no doinked field goals or extra points in Super Bowl 58

No fucking doinks. Oh no doinks. We're running it back. I got doinked big time last year and I just realized I'm talking about Moody and even his makes are close to being misses. And also last year it was Butker. But he's a good kicker. There's no chance he double doinks. No chance. So what I'm doing is I'm going to have my vengeance on the doink from last year. And I'm going to double my bet this year and go, no doinks.

The Kansas City Chiefs will beat the Miami Dolphins because Tua Tagovailoa cannot play in the cold

I don't see Tua winning this game... the stats that you had for Tua, you can just watch Tua when he plays in the cold. He looks very uncomfortable going on the road. Arrowhead is like one of the top two or three hardest places to play... I think I'm gonna take the Chiefs.

Travis Kelce to score a touchdown is the Super Wild Card prop of the year

Travis Kelce scored touchdowns plus money now. And the dolphins are not great guarding the tight end. And I do think that like when you get to the playoffs, Patrick Mahomes will be like, who can I trust? Travis Kelce's the guy I can trust.

I am switching my pick to the Detroit Lions over the Los Angeles Rams

I said Rams all week... and I've switched... I'm betting the Lions. I'm gonna take the Lions just because I don't want to make blood money off the Rams winning... I think the Lions are better.

Antonio Pierce has earned the full-time head coaching job for the Raiders

I do think that Antonio Pierce has, has coached his way into being the full-time head coach. Agree. If they really wanna win this game, Mark Davis should announce before the game starts. Like you're giving away a scholarship like this, this Walk-on now has earned his position.

The Vikings will beat the Bengals because Brian Flores' defense will confuse Jake Browning

I kind of like the Vikings in this game. And I like him because Brian Flores... is doing stuff that people can't even figure out with his defense zone. Blitzes just... he's doing a lot of multiples... I think that this is gonna be Jake Browning's first test. True test because the Colts and the Jaguars aren't great defenses. The Vikings have been playing like a great defense.

Birds stand facing into the wind because they like 'adversity'

Did you know that? You can tell which way the wind is blowing by how birds are standing. Birds always stand facing into the wind. Oh, they like the adversity. They don't wanna get blown away too. Because if they, if the wind kind of gusts, then they just take off and fly away.

Trent Williams is the most important player on the 49ers offense

I think Trent Williams is [the most important player on the offense] for sure. Christian McCaffrey at 85% without Deebo Samuel and without Trent Williams... things look different.

The Broncos' offensive success is a result of playing terrible defenses

Is there a chance that Russell Wilson, he's looked better, but he has not played a good defense? ...he played the Raiders, bad defense. Commanders, bad defense. Dolphins, bad defense. And then last week they played the Bears, the worst defense. So is there a chance that we see bad Russ here against the Jets defense?

Defense wins championships

Defense wins championships. I'll go to my grave thinking that. The Bucs defense smothered Patrick Mahomes [in the Super Bowl]. That was completely a defensive effort. The Patriots' last Super Bowl was a defensive effort when they stopped the Rams.

The Chiefs will throttle the Jets because Taylor Swift is attending

Chiefs are going to fucking throttle them. The fact that Taylor Swift is going, the chiefs are going to fucking throttle them. And the chief's defense has not been talked about, has been very good this year.