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Takes

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Big CatBig Cat

Betting Houston -13.5 in the first half against Idaho

I'm gonna go Houston first half minus 13 and a half.

The outcome of the 2026 tournament game is pending.
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HankHank

Betting Arkansas team total under 87.5

I'm gonna go Arkansas team total under 87 and a half.

The outcome of the 2026 tournament game is pending.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Betting Michigan State -16.5

I'm gonna go Michigan State minus 16 and a half.

The outcome of the 2026 tournament game is pending.
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Big CatBig Cat

My Early Final Four: Duke, Arizona, Houston, and Virginia

I'm gonna go with Duke, Arizona, Houston, Virginia. Duke obviously winning the whole thing.

The 2026 NCAA Tournament outcomes are unknown.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Bears have a significant special teams advantage over the Rams in the Divisional Round.

I've meant to say that the one place that the Bears have a significant advantage is special teams. The, the Rams have been kind of like, they got a punt blocked. The kicker's been bad. The Bears, Cairo. Santos has been good.

This can be verified by comparing the special teams DVOA or kicking stats of the two teams during the 2025 season.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Over is a great bet for Bears vs. 49ers because neither defense can pressure the quarterback

My take on the Bears-Niners game is... I kind of like the over, because I don't know if either team can get to the quarterback. Because the Bears struggle with it as well.

The Bears-49ers Week 17 game finished 42-38 (total: 80 points), a game described as a 'primetime shootout' and 'instant classic.' The over/under was set around 51.5-53.5, so the over hit easily. Big Cat was right that the over was a great bet.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Cleveland Browns will cover the 10-point spread against the Buffalo Bills

I do like the bills, but I think the Browns might cover... I like the Browns at the very least in the first half of this game. I like 'em to cover 10 points.

The Bills defeated the Browns 31-13, meaning the Browns failed to cover the 10-point spread.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

The 49ers are the 'lurking' team in the NFC that no one is talking about enough

I will say this about the 49ers, they feel like the team that not a lot of people are talking about and they're kind of just lurking there... 49ers are right there. Yeah, they're right fucking there.

Subjective assessment of team status, though their playoff success would validate the 'lurking' claim.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Joe Burrow has started eight games in the last year and is 8-0 as a starter

In the last 12 months, Joe Burrow has started... He is eight and oh as a starter in the last calendar year. Since this date, December 2nd, the last 367 days.

PFT's claim that Joe Burrow was 8-0 as a starter in the last calendar year (from approximately Dec 2, 2024 to Dec 5, 2025) checks out. From December 2024: Burrow started and won 5 games (Weeks 14-18: Cowboys, Titans, Browns, Broncos, Steelers). In 2025: he won Weeks 1-2 (Browns, Jaguars) then missed Weeks 3-12 with turf toe, returning to win on Thanksgiving vs Ravens (32-14). That's 8 starts, 8 wins.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Colts are in deep water because they have the toughest remaining schedule in the NFL.

The Colts could be in deep water because the Colts have the toughest remaining strength to schedule based on win percentage. They play the Jaguars, the Seahawks, the 49ers, the Jaguars and the Texans. Those are all playoff teams right now.

This will be proven by the Colts' final record and whether they make the playoffs.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Sam Darnold is 10-0 straight up in his career as a favorite of six points or more

Sam Darnold has been a favorite of six points or more 10 times as a starter in the NFL. He's 10 and oh straight up, eight and two against the spread in those games.

This is a verifiable fact claim in the context of Sam Darnold's career up to Dec 2025.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I am 60% sure Jayden Daniels will not play against the Vikings.

I still don't know [if Jayden Daniels is playing]. ... I'm at like 60% that he's not gonna play. ... Big picture, if he gets hurt, I'm gonna be like, why the fuck was Jayden Daniels playing in this game?

Jayden Daniels was cleared and did start the Week 14 game against the Vikings on December 7, 2025. PFT said he was 60% sure Daniels would NOT play, but Daniels did start (though he left the game early with an elbow injury in the 31-0 loss).
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Riley Moss has the most pass interference calls against him in the entire NFL.

Do you know who has the most pass interference calls against them in the entire NFL... defensively against them? ... Riley Moss is number one by far. He's got, I believe, seven. Next closest guy has four.

Multiple sources confirm Riley Moss led the NFL in defensive pass interference penalties during the 2025 season. Through the time of the episode (Week 13/14), Moss had seven DPI calls, the most in the league, with the next closest player at four. This matches PFT's claim exactly.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Colts -4.5 vs. Texans is a suspiciously low line that favors the Colts

I'm gonna take the Colts minus four and a half. I feel like the, that that's, that's a field goal line. Why is it four and a half? They know something.

The Colts beat the Texans 24-21, failing to cover the -4.5 spread.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

I bet the Cowboys to cover +3 against the Eagles

I'm gonna take the Cowboys plus three... I think the Cowboys are gonna cover the spread. The Eagles can win the game.

Cannot verify the specific Cowboys vs Eagles Week 12 2025 spread result. The Cowboys beat the Commanders on Christmas Day, but this was a different game.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Kyler Murray made the correct financial decision choosing the NFL over MLB

I'll say that. Even if [Kyler Murray] never is a good starting quarterback in the NFL and never gets another bonafide shot, he made the correct choice because he's made $170 million.

This is a subjective evaluation of career success based on earnings.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I'm 'Falcons heavy' and taking the points (+6.5) against the Colts in Berlin

Gotta take the Falcons. Gotta take the Falcons. I'm Falcons heavy. Yeah. It's my play of the week actually. [The line is] Colts minus six and a half.

PFT took the Falcons +6.5 against the Colts in Berlin. The Colts won 31-25 in overtime, a margin of exactly 6 points. Since the Falcons had +6.5 and lost by only 6, the Falcons covered the spread. PFT's bet was correct.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Broncos and Texans will go under 39.5 points

I think that both these defenses are very, very good... I think the Broncos defense is gonna frustrate the absolute fuck out of the Texans defense. I'm taking the under in this game.

The Broncos-Texans game finished 18-15, for a total of 33 points. PFT took the under on 39.5 total points, and the final total of 33 was well under that line.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Texans defense will win them the game against the 49ers

I like the Texans in this game. Not, obviously not because of their offense... I'm more gonna bet the Texans because their defense is the best unit on the field. And the 49ers Mac Jones looked good, but this is a different defense. This is a top defense.

The Texans beat the 49ers 26-15 in Week 8. The Texans defense was the best unit on the field as Big Cat predicted.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Rams against the spread are a must-bet because they are 11-3 in their last 14 games

The Rams are just knocking people out against the spread recently... they're 11 and 3 against the spread in their last 14 games. Yep. One of those was the blocked field goal by the Eagles... they should be 12 and 2 at that point.

The Rams went on to have a mediocre season following this, but the specific 11-3 ATS trend was an accurate historical claim at the time.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Bears vs. Saints game is a Must Win

The Bears are right now, what is it? Four and a half point favorites. This is a game that the Bears have to win. I'm dubbing it a Must Win because the Bears are, you'd think better than the Saints.

The Bears beat the Saints 26-14 in Week 7, winning the 'Must Win' game Big Cat declared. They went on to make the playoffs at 11-6.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Chiefs are going to win the Super Bowl

Raiders Chiefs, Chiefs are gonna win the Super Bowl. Chiefs are minus 11 and a half... Their offense is humming.

The Chiefs finished 6-11 and missed the playoffs. Mahomes tore his ACL. They did not win the Super Bowl.
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Big CatBig Cat

I'm starting to believe in the Falcons

I think I'm starting to believe in the Falcons. Are you ready to do that with me? I like 'em man. I like 'em.

The Falcons finished 8-9 and missed the playoffs. Michael Penix Jr. went 3-6 as a starter before a season-ending ACL injury. Not a team to believe in.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Seattle Seahawks will beat the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 6

I love the Seahawks in this game... I feel like there might be a little let down [for the Jags]... Seahawks need to win... you'll get a very strong effort from the Seahawks.

The Seahawks lost to the Jaguars 21-17 in Week 6 of the 2024 season.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Lions might be the best team in football

If you throw that [Packers] game out, you would look at this [Lions] team and be like, they might be the best team in football. Yeah. And I would not, I would not argue with you about that.

The Lions were a top-3 team in power rankings for most of the season.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Browns will cover the +4.5 spread against the Vikings in London

I like the Browns to keep it within a field goal... the Browns defense obviously is elite top three defense in the NFL. The Vikings are going to blitz the fuck out of Dylan Gabriel. They're gonna confuse him. It's gonna be a lowest scoring game.

The Vikings beat the Browns 13-10, meaning the Browns covered the +4.5 spread.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Saints will beat the Giants because Malik Nabers is out

I actually like the Saints in this game... I do think they can win this game just 'cause it's the Giants and a rookie king and no Malik Nabers. Which obviously sucks.

The Saints beat the Giants 24-6 on October 5th.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Cleveland Browns have a championship-level defense

The Cleveland Browns have a championship defense right now. Yeah, I would agree.

The Browns defense remained statistically elite in 2024, though the team struggled overall.
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Big CatBig Cat

Jalen Hurts is a winner who doesn't care about anything but the final result

Jalen Hurts in games that he has started and finished. He's 18 and oh in his last 18 games that he started and finished... The, the Eagles. And he doesn't give a fuck about how they just keep winning.

The stat was accurate at the time of the recording for regular season games he completed.
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Big CatBig Cat

A Bengal tiger would kill a Jaguar in a fight every single time

I just looked at AI and a Bengal would kill a Jaguar like a hundred out of a hundred times. A Jaguar does have one of like the the fiercest bites in the animal kingdom. The problem is the Bengal outweighs the Jaguar by like 200 pounds.

Biological facts support that Bengal tigers are significantly larger and more powerful than Jaguars.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Kansas City Chiefs are going to win their Week 2 game against the Eagles

I think Chiefs are gonna win this game... I'm just simply taking it because the Chiefs are 21 and 4 straight up off a loss with Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes. I just can't imagine them starting 0 and 2.

The Chiefs defeated the Bengals in Week 2, 2024. However, the take mentions playing the Eagles, who they did not play in Week 2. This is likely a scheduling error in the conversation or a misunderstanding of the opponent.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Buccaneers at -110 to win the NFC South is a good bet

I think the Tampa Bay Bucks minus one 10 to win the NFC South is a good bet. I like their offense a lot. I know Tristan Wirfs is out for probably four weeks, but he'll be back.

The Buccaneers did not win the NFC South. The Carolina Panthers won the division at 8-9, with the Bucs also finishing 8-9 but losing the tiebreaker. The bet lost.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

CJ Abrams is the best Saber Metric pick in the Dingers Only draft because he leads off

Ideally you want your players to get as many opportunities to hit home runs as possible. Why not take a guy that hits lead off shortstop. CJ Abrams. He's gonna get like four more at bats than some of your guys' clowns.

While mathematically true that leadoff hitters get more ABs, it doesn't always translate to more HRs than middle-of-the-order sluggers.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Duke will win the national championship.

Who do we got winning all now that we're at the Sweet 16 re-bracket? I don't know, I think it's just gonna be Duke. I think Duke's gonna win it all.

Duke did not win the national championship. They made the Final Four but lost to Houston 70-67 in the semifinal. Florida won the title.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

The Eagles are the better overall team compared to the Chiefs

I think the Eagles are the better team. I'm so, so afraid of Patrick Mahomes and the history that they're going for. I do think though the Eagles defense is the best unit that he's gonna face in probably yeah. I mean in the playoffs.

This is a matter of football opinion regarding roster strength.
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MaxMax

DeVonta Smith will have 50+ receiving yards in Super Bowl 59

My prop. I think that DeVonta Smith is due. Oh, I think he, I 50 plus yards. I feel good about DeVonta Smith.

DeVonta Smith had a productive Super Bowl LIX performance for the Eagles in their 40-22 win over the Chiefs. He exceeded 50 receiving yards in the game.
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HankHank

Patrick Mahomes will throw an interception in Super Bowl 59

The prop that I'll be betting that I'll be rooting for is Patrick Mahomes over one half interception. So Patrick Mahomes a throwing interception.

Patrick Mahomes threw 2 interceptions in Super Bowl LIX (both in the 2nd quarter, which the Eagles converted into touchdowns). Hank's prop bet on Mahomes throwing an interception was correct.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I'm betting the over on 3.5 field goals in Super Bowl 59.

I am gonna be taking over three and a half field goals. The gremlin bet, it's at plus 1 25 right now. I like it. And I think they got two great kickers.

PFT Commenter bet the over on 3.5 field goals in Super Bowl 59. Jake Elliott kicked 4 field goals for the Eagles (48, 29, 48, and 50 yards), and the Chiefs kicked 0. The total of 4 field goals hits the over on 3.5.
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Big CatBig Cat

Dallas Goedert will have over 60 receiving yards in Super Bowl 59

I'm going, I think this has gotta be a huge Dallas Goedert game. So I'm going Dallas Goedert over 60 yards receiving plus one 19. So it's plus money. I think this is Dallas Goedert game. I think he's got to eat. He's also, he leads the Eagles in, in receiving yards in the Playoffs.

Dallas Goedert had only 2 catches for 27 yards in Super Bowl LIX, well under the 60-yard threshold Big Cat predicted. The Eagles built a massive early lead and didn't need to rely on the passing game.
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Big CatBig Cat

Ohio State is the better team and will beat Notre Dame in the National Championship

Ohio State's the better team. I feel like it's one of those things where like Notre Dame two outta 10 times maybe could win this game... They gotta get Will Howard to turn the ball over... I'm worried about Notre Dame's Rush defense... Jeremiah Smith and they got dudes everywhere.

Ohio State defeated Notre Dame 34-17 to win the 2024 National Championship.
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Big CatBig Cat

Patrick Mahomes is basically lights out in the Divisional Round

He plays in this divisional round and he's basically just, he's, I mean he's undefeated. He lights out. That's just what happens. He is six and oh. He has 1,813 total yards, 16 touchdowns... zero interceptions.

Mahomes was 6-0 in divisional games prior to 2025. In the 2025 divisional round, the Chiefs beat the Texans, making him 7-0.
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Big CatBig Cat

Travis Kelce ramps it up in the playoffs compared to the regular season

I do think this is where Travis Kelce ramps it up. Like, I like his over yards. I think this is, he, he, he plays in second gear for the majority of the regular season. And then when you get to these points... it's Travis Kelce or Mahomes using his feet.

Travis Kelce had some big playoff moments (he scored TDs in the playoffs), but in Super Bowl LIX the Chiefs were dominated 22-40. The 'ramping up in playoffs' narrative was partially true through the AFC playoffs but fell apart in the Super Bowl.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

CJ Stroud will rush for over 14.5 yards in the Divisional Round against the Chiefs.

I like CJ Stroud over 14.5 rushing yards. I like that a lot too. Last week that hit... CJ can run. He can use his feet. I think he'll do it again.

The actual rushing total for CJ Stroud in the Divisional game will determine the outcome.
Void
MaxMax

Returning punts is the scariest play in football because of the high risk of a game-changing turnover.

Returning punts is the scariest play in football for me. Because I feel that it has to be the highest percentage play of turnover. It's very easy to turn the ball over on a punt and it completely changes the game.

This is a subjective opinion on the 'scariest' play, though the turnover risk is a verifiable trend.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Chargers will beat the Texans in the Wild Card round

Everything we just have said is just like, you should just take the [under]... I do think the Chargers win. I'm a little nervous about three just because it does feel like it's going to be a low scoring knockdown, drag out fight.

The Chargers defeated the Texans 24-10 in the Wild Card round.
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Big CatBig Cat

The 2018 NFL Draft was one of the most insane classes ever for quarterbacks

2018 draft was insane. It's the year for everyone in the 2018. Baker Mayfield went one, Saquon Barkley two, Sam Darnold three. So 1, 2, 3 pretty much had career years. Eight out of the ten first picks in the 2018 draft have been to at least one Pro Bowl. Pretty good.

The stats regarding Pro Bowl selections for that top 10 are factually correct.
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Big CatBig Cat

I will read one entire book in 2025 for the first time in a decade

I'm also gonna read a book. I haven't read a book in a decade. I'm gonna read a book... read with my two eyes. It might take me the entire year. I'm gonna fucking do it.

The outcome depends on if Big Cat finishes a book by the end of 2025.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Lions defense struggles against running quarterbacks

This is the week that the lions all their defensive injuries... This is an elite elite offense. And Aaron Glenn, I know this from experience because Justin Fields used to play well against Lions. Aaron Glenn's defenses don't do well against running quarterbacks. He refuses to do a spy.

Josh Allen did have success running against the Lions, scoring multiple rushing touchdowns in their Week 15 matchup.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Vikings have a historically great rush defense, the third-best of all time

The Vikings have the best rush defense in the NFL. They're letting up 74.4 yards per game. That's the third best of all time. You know what the other two teams are? The 1994 Vikings and the 2007 Vikings. They have an outstanding rush defense.

Through Week 11, the Vikings lead the league in rush defense and their yardage allowed puts them in elite historic company.
Win
MemesMemes

The Jets' defense does not travel well

Defense doesn't travel... We got smoked by the Cardinals. Graveyard teams.

The Jets defense struggled significantly in road games during this stretch, giving up 30+ points to the Cardinals.

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