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Takes

Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Saints just have Tom Brady's number

The saints just have [Tom Brady's] number. I know that, you know, the Bucs beat the saints when it mattered in the playoffs... But the saints now, since Brady's gone to the AFC or NFC south, they're three and one against Tom Brady and he looks uncomfortable playing against them.

In the regular season, the Saints famously swept Brady in 2020 and 2021, though Brady did win the crucial playoff game in 2020.
Open
Billy FootballBilly Football

Arch Manning is less likely to be a bust because he has actually lost games in high school

Is he a bust? Is Arch Manning a bust... To have the discussion. No, because he's lost in high school, which I think is important for a quarterback's progression... I know guys who don't lose in high school, they don't pan out.

Arch Manning's career is still in early development at the collegiate level.
Win
Billy FootballBilly Football

The Manningcast curse is real

Everyone who's appeared on the Manning broadcast has lost [their next game]. Curses are back.

The 'curse' actually held for every single player guest during the 2021 season (7-0).
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Kyler Murray is a soft football player who gets leniency because he is a 'short king'

The story out of Glendale tonight, I think is that Kyler Murray is soft. This is soft football player. I haven't heard anybody drop the S bomb on him. I think he gets a lot of leniency because he's a short king. And I actually just think that he's a little bit soft.

This is a subjective characterization of a player's toughness.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Braves will not win the World Series without Charlie Morton

Charlie Morton breaking his leg, unbelievable performance fact that he kept pitching... It's going to be very tough for the Braves to win this world series without their number one. And that sucks. I do not think the Braves are gonna be able to survive without Charlie Morton.

The Braves actually went on to win the 2021 World Series despite losing Charlie Morton to injury.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

The Minnesota Vikings would be 5-1 right now if not for a couple of fluke plays

The Vikings... I hate doing the like, oh, they should've could've woulda, but they really did play... they really could have beaten the Cardinals and the Bengals... they were a fucked up fumble and a misfield goal against the Cardinals away from being five and one.

While the plays happened, the take that they 'would' be 5-1 is a counter-factual opinion. The Vikings finished the 2021 season 8-9, often losing close games, which supports the 'could have been better' spirit.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Titans and Colts feel like they play five times every year

The Titans and Colts... it feels like they play five times every year. Kind of like Portland and Seattle and MLS. I feel like every time I turn on my TV... it's the fucking Timbers in the Seattle football team.

They only play twice in the regular season, but the sentiment about divisional scheduling feeling repetitive is a common fan observation.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

I am officially buying back in on Carson Wentz being an elite quarterback

I'm starting to buy back in on Carson Wentz... I'm very confident in the Colts this week because I think Carson Wentz is back to being Carson Wentz of 2017, 2018, whatever that was.

Wentz had a decent 2021 statistically (27 TDs, 7 INTs) but the season ended in a legendary collapse against the Jaguars, proving he was not actually 'back' to elite status.
Win
Billy FootballBilly Football

The Bills will cover -14 against the Dolphins

Bills minus 14 covering against Dolphins.

The Bills won 26-11, winning by 15 points and covering the 14-point spread.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Detroit Lions will beat the Philadelphia Eagles because Dan Campbell will 'take a shit' on Nick Sirianni's brain

I agree with you, Hank. I think the Lions are going to win outright... I'm strictly viewing this game as a matchup between Dan Campbell and Nick Sirianni. And I feel like Dan Campbell just takes a shit all over Nick Sirianni's brain.

The Eagles absolutely crushed the Lions 44-6 on October 31, 2021. Sirianni's flower analogy worked better than Campbell's grit in this case.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The New Orleans Saints will cover the spread (+5.5) against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers

I'm taking the Saints plus five and a half. I think this game is gonna be close... I just think the Saints' defense will keep it close. Also... Saints are seven and one straight up and 7-1 as an underdog against a spread in the last three years.

The Saints didn't just cover; they beat the Buccaneers outright 36-27 on October 31, 2021.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

The movie 'Cars 3' is better than the original 'Cars'

I'm starting to think cars three might be better than cars one. Cars two is trash. I've watched way too many cars.

Purely a matter of taste in animated films.
Void
Metta World SandifordMetta World Sandiford

The Malice at the Palace was started by the fans, not the players

Ben Wallace had nothing to do with the malice in the palace. You know what I'm saying? Ben Wallace had that happens all the time where a player fights a player, the fans started the Malice in the Palace... I wasn't okay with taking the full blame, you know, I, I wasn't okay with that.

This is a subjective historical interpretation, though the Netflix documentary referenced in the episode supports the idea that fan behavior was a major catalyst.
Void
Metta World SandifordMetta World Sandiford

Michael Jordan was the toughest player I ever defended

If I go on order of the toughest guys I've defended, and this is going to put, this is going to answer your question. The obvious would be first like Michael Jordan was the hardest guy. I haven't seen defended then as a tie between Kobe and LeBron, and then next would be Richard Hamilton.

Subjective ranking by a player who faced all of them.
Void
Metta World SandifordMetta World Sandiford

Richard Hamilton was an exceptionally difficult defender assignment because he never stopped running

Richard Hamilton was hard because all he's doing is running the whole time. So I'm not a shooting guard, but I often guard the best players whoever's doing work... rip Hamilton, all he doing is running the whole time. And that's extremely tiring... He separates so well once at the point of the screen, he's gone. And it's so hard to keep up with.

Subjective athlete experience.
Void
Metta World SandifordMetta World Sandiford

Coming back from a meniscus tear in five days was the dumbest mistake of my career

I tear my meniscus takes about six weeks to come back... I come back in five days... dumbest, dumbest mistake of my life in terms of my career came back too early. I didn't hurt myself, but I was receiving a lot of fluid in my knee. So I had to keep draining the fluid.

He never returned to his peak form after this injury and recovery attempt.
Open
Usain BoltUsain Bolt

A human will eventually break the nine-second mark in the 100-meter dash

You never know. You know what I mean? For me, the possibility... now even our babies actually came out with new slides that helps you to actually run faster. So you never know what's next... Maybe one of my sons has [already been born].

The current world record is 9.58 (held by Bolt). A sub-9 second time is currently considered theoretically near-impossible by many sports scientists.
Void
Usain BoltUsain Bolt

I would have been an elite wide receiver in the NFL

When they approach every brass, I was like, nah, I'm good... I am trying to get my knees blown out or anything. [But] I would still be fast, you know? So it's just running around the apartment, but still smoke anybody.

Speed is only one part of being an elite wide receiver, and Bolt never played competitive football.
Void
Usain BoltUsain Bolt

Cristiano Ronaldo is the greatest soccer player of all time

Who is your goat in soccer? [Bolt]: Cristiano Ronaldo... from my experience from very far... Madrid, plus I know Manchester... Tom Brady proved to the world he's the one. Ronaldo proved he's the one.

Inherently subjective debate.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I'd rather watch Marshawn Lynch be disappointed at bad NFL games than the actual broadcast

I would just like to watch beast mode be disappointed at shitty games for the rest of the season. Just watch and be like, what the fuck are they doing out there?

Subjective opinion on entertainment value.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Week 7 was one of the worst weeks of NFL football from start to finish

Week seven was one of the worst weeks start to finish. Cause like, remember, like we kind of forget the Browns and the Broncos played that game. That was not fun either. It was an entire week of, of Brown's Broncos.

Subjective assessment of game quality.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Astros and their fans will use a World Series win to claim they never needed to cheat

At stake is the Astros and their fan base being able to basically tell everyone that it wasn't cheating that got them the World Series. They're just a really good team... If they win this one, they can say, well, we were the best team on the first one as well.

The Astros did win the World Series in 2022 (not 2021), and the fan narrative followed this exact trajectory of 'us against the world.'
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Braves will win the World Series in six games

Braves in six.

The Braves defeated the Astros in 6 games to win the 2021 World Series.
Loss
Jake MarshJake Marsh

The Braves will win the World Series in five games

Braves in five.

The series went 6 games, so this was incorrect.
Loss
Billy FootballBilly Football

The Astros will win the World Series in seven games

Houston in seven.

The Astros lost in 6 games.
Push
Big CatBig Cat

The Clemson dynasty is officially dead and Dabo Swinney is a system coach

Clemson is officially—is the dynasty over? Clemson is dead. The dynasty's dead. Dabo was a system coach. He can't do it without an elite quarterback. He can't do it without Deshaun Watson or Trevor Lawrence.

Clemson made the 2024-25 expanded CFP as ACC champions but lost to Texas. Dabo has not returned to the national championship game since this take, though 'system coach' remains debatable.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Wisconsin will win the Big Ten West

I think Wisconsin is going to win the Big Ten West and people are going to be real mad because they're not good. If they win out, they control their own destiny.

Wisconsin lost to Minnesota in the final week of the season, giving the Big Ten West title to Iowa.
Void
HankHank

Peyton Manning essentially admitted to cheating by doctoring footballs on the ManningCast

Peyton Manning starts going off this rant about how the ball boys in Indianapolis use the special sauce and they did all these tricks of the trade and did all this shit with the ball... and it's just crickets. Why not have that conversation when Brady is on the air... and Peyton is just like, yeah, we had our special sauce.

Peyton Manning did indeed describe elaborate processes for preparing footballs, which Hank interprets as being fundamentally the same as what Brady was punished for.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Pete Carroll is coaching for his job and is just a manager of talent rather than an X's and O's guy

I think that Pete Carroll might be coaching for his job. What the absence of Russell Wilson has shown is that Pete Carroll, without an elite quarterback... Russell Wilson has been doing a lot to keep Pete Carroll looking like a great coach. I don't think he has a great X's and O's guy. I don't think he's a good decision maker.

Pete Carroll eventually left/was fired by the Seahawks after the 2023 season, following several years of mediocrity after Russell Wilson left.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Matt Nagy and Ryan Pace deserve credit for not drafting anyone accused of sexual assault

Matt Nagy and Ryan Pace did not draft someone who's been accused of 22 counts of sexual assault. That's true. So good job bears.

Hot TakeFootballHotSarcastic
While technically true that they didn't draft Watson, the 'good job' is heavily sarcastic.
Push
Big CatBig Cat

The Chicago Bulls are officially back

My cool throne is the Bulls because Bulls are back. They're the last undefeated team in the East. They are good.

The Bulls finished 46-36 and were eliminated in the first round of the playoffs. They were better than previous years, but 'back' was an overstatement.
Win
Dick VermeilDick Vermeil

The 1999 Rams foundations were built on two years of high-intensity, padded practices

The fundamental approach we took to practice, remember in those days, guys, there was no limit on how long you could stay on practice. There was no limit on how many contact practices or how many times you the wear the pads that team never took the pads off for two years in the, on the breakfast field. So it was built that way.

Historical fact about his own coaching methods.
Win
Dick VermeilDick Vermeil

The Detroit Lions will eventually become a good team because of Dan Campbell's leadership

I watch the Detroit lions play, they play balls out. I mean, they, they may not win that fricking ball game, but they are. They're going to take some prisoners... eventually that will permeate into positive experiences... I think they're going to end up being a good football team.

The Lions did eventually become a powerhouse under Campbell, making the NFC Championship game in 2023.
Win
Mike FlorioMike Florio

The Buccaneers had no legal right to reclaim Tom Brady's 600th touchdown ball from the fan

I looked at the season ticket agreement. I looked at the general ticket agreement... there's nothing on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers tickets that would give them the right to go get it... I don't think they'd have a leg to stand on if it would end up in court.

Legal consensus generally agrees that once an item is gifted by a team representative with 'apparent authority,' ownership transfers to the fan.
Win
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Mike Evans had 'apparent authority' to give the football away, making the gift final

He has the apparent authority to scoop up a football on a touchdown he scored and hand it to a fan forever done over, no give backs, no take backs. Once that transfer is committed from the fan's perspective, that fan's got the right to assume that Mike Evans has the authority to surrender that football.

This is a correct application of contract and property law in the context of professional sports souvenirs.
Win
Mike FlorioMike Florio

There is a greater than 50% chance Dan Snyder is forced to sell the Washington Football Team

I'd say once somebody with the power to get to the bottom of it gets involved [Congress], it gets north of 50... Once we know about some of the things that Beth Wilkinson, the investigator found, yeah, I think it becomes untenable at that point publicly for Snyder to continue.

Dan Snyder was eventually forced to sell the team in 2023 for $6.05 billion.
Loss
Mike FlorioMike Florio

There is a 94.9% chance Deshaun Watson is traded before the deadline

95 is the kiss of death. I should say 94.9 because I've learned anytime anybody says there's a 95% chance of something happening, it never happens. So 94.9% chance. Miami 75, Carolina 24, 1% some crazy wildcard team.

Watson was NOT traded before the 2021 deadline; he remained with the Texans until the 2022 offseason.
Loss
HankHank

Weather should never be factored into betting over/unders

The weather's not going to—like, that's not going to be. I obviously have a lot of numbers and a lot of data points checking over in the rain. One of those data points is not weather. Not on over unders ever. No.

The impact of weather on NFL scoring is a statistically proven factor in betting markets.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Bengals are officially a 'good team' and no longer just good on a curve

The big headline from this week is the Bengals are good. A good team, no longer are they just good in terms of grading on the curve of being the Cincinnati Bengals. Now they are actually just good, as far as NFL teams go.

The Bengals went to the Super Bowl this season, proving they were indeed a top-tier NFL team.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Bengals will finish the season with at least 10 wins

If you look at the rest of the schedule for the Bengals, I have some breaking news for you. Yeah. The Bengals are going to have at least 10 wins this year. Yeah, no. I mean, they could have 11 wins very easily.

The Bengals finished the 2021 regular season with exactly 10 wins (10-7).
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Bengals have a top 10 defense in the NFL

They are a very, very good team and their defense is really fucking good. Like they are—now I would, I don't know, advanced stats and all that stuff, but just the eyeball test, I'm going to say they're a top 10 defense.

The Bengals finished the 2021 season 18th in total yards allowed and 17th in points allowed, which is not top 10.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Chiefs' main problem is they are physically weak and need to hit the weight room.

I personally think I have a very easy problem that I've found with the Chiefs. I think they're weak. Physically. I think that they need to hit the weight room. I don't think that there's a problem that the Chiefs have right now that can't be resolved by just lifting more weights. I feel like they're just not a strong football team.

This is a subjective assessment of team strength and toughness that cannot be definitively proven or disproven.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Kansas City Chiefs are broken

I'm officially [saying] they're broken. If you think otherwise you're deluding yourself. Because like I said, if you just go through their schedule... they've played the next four best teams in the AFC... and they lost all of them.

The Chiefs went 9-1 in their final 10 games, won the AFC West, and reached the AFC Championship Game.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Taylor Heinecke is 'diet' Ryan Fitzpatrick

I've—like not to pat myself on the back—he is, he is diet Ryan Fitzpatrick. He's Ryan Fitzpatrick, everything Ryan Fitzpatrick is, but like without actually scoring touchdowns. It's just chaos whenever he's playing. Diet Ryan Fitzpatrick does everything that Ryan Fitzpatrick does, but he doesn't actually win the [game].

Heinecke's career has largely followed the path of a high-energy backup/bridge QB who provides excitement but inconsistent wins.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Robert Saleh is going to be a good head coach in the long run.

I think Saleh's going to be a good coach in the long run. He's definitely like a great defensive coordinator, but he needs to learn some more lines... if you're going to be coaching on a team like the Jets.

Saleh was fired by the Jets in 2024 after a 20-36 record, making this prediction largely incorrect in its context.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

I still don't think Tua Tagovailoa is 'the guy' for the Dolphins.

I still don't think he's the guy. There are moments where I'm like, maybe I'm wrong. Then that interception happens and I'm like, what is going on here?

Tua's status as a 'franchise guy' remained a major debate for several years after this take.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Roger Goodell will go 'God mode' and prevent Deshaun Watson from playing even if he gets traded.

My prediction is that Roger Goodell is going to go God mode. He has that power to be like, 'You're not playing. You're never playing.' I'm putting you on my secret list... He is absolutely itching to just be like, 'I am your Lord. You are not allowed to play.'

Watson sat the entire 2021 season and Goodell eventually issued an 11-game suspension following his trade to the Browns in 2022.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Giants will finish second in the NFC East with 7 wins

My eye on the giants, because I think they're going to finish second place in the beast this year. I think they're going to end up with like seven wins. That's my prediction.

The Giants finished 4-13 and in last place in the NFC East.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

I refuse to quit Daniel Jones and am backing him for the season

Daniel Jones, by the way, we played very well. I'm backing on Danny dimes. I can't quit him... Anytime I'm backing on him. I am. I am. I don't, I can't quit this fucking guy.

Daniel Jones eventually earned a second contract, though his tenure remained highly volatile.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Cardinals will suffer their first loss of the season this Thursday against the Packers.

Let's look at their schedule. Let's predict their first loss. I'm just going to say this Thursday. [The] Packers [will beat the Cardinals].

The Packers beat the undefeated Cardinals 24-21 on Thursday Night Football following this episode.

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