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PMTPMT DB

Takes

Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Celtics should intentionally lose two games to the Cavaliers to get battle-tested for the finals

I stand by my take. I still think they should intentionally lose some games to the Cavs... I think two. That way when they get to the Finals they're like, yeah, we've had our battles.

The Celtics did lose one game to the Cavs but won the series easily and eventually the championship, suggesting they didn't need the 'battle testing.'
Void
MaxMax

Howie Roseman only drafts players based on consensus mock drafts to get high grades from experts

Howie Roseman does a really good job of drafting off of the experts' mock drafts. So every time the Eagles have a draft, everyone's like, holy shit, A plus. They got a guy that we mocked for the first round in the second round... he never didn't take the consensus guy again [after Reagor].

This is a subjective interpretation of a GM's strategy.
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Big CatBig Cat

Watching Caleb Williams throw a football is like watching Steph Curry play basketball

Albert Breer just put out an entire piece about Caleb Williams... checked all the boxes. Called him a Steph Curry-like experience watching him throw the football. It means Steph Curry's awesome to watch play basketball, so it's like that in football.

Comparing watching Caleb Williams throw to watching Steph Curry play basketball is a subjective aesthetic comparison, not a verifiable prediction.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Professional golfers should never miss a putt from 10 feet or closer

Golfers should be better at putting. That's something like if you're a professional golfer, you should just never miss a putt anything 10 feet and in. Should never be missed. Ever. But that's just me.

Hot TakeGolfScorchingSarcastic
Statistically, the best putters on the PGA tour make about 40% of 10-foot putts.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Anthony Edwards is the next upcoming superstar in the NBA

Anthony Edwards is the next upcoming superstar in the NBA. I know we talked about superstars when it came to Jalen Brunson... Anthony Edwards is 22 years old and what he's doing through the first five games in these playoffs for him have been just outta this world.

Anthony Edwards led the Timberwolves to the Western Conference Finals in 2024 and is widely considered one of the top faces of the league.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Michael Jordan comparisons for Anthony Edwards are not forced or crazy

He's an absolute killer. And people are throwing around the [Michael Jordan] comparison and like, it's not, it doesn't feel forced. It's not crazy.

While comparing a 22-year-old to Jordan is high praise, it remains a subjective matter of playstyle and trajectory.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Clippers are a disaster franchise

The Clippers just went out, sat on Friday night... people just kind of forgot. Oh yeah. The Clippers are one of the biggest sports disasters. They're a disaster franchise.

The Clippers have a long history of underperforming expectations, which Big Cat is highlighting as a permanent trait of the organization.
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HankHank

The Celtics vs. Cavaliers series will be a triple-digit point differential bloodbath

They'll probably maybe win one game and have like a historic shooting there... but there should be a four-one or four-oh series. [Point differential] is gonna be like in triple digits. Bloodbath.

The Celtics won the series 4-1, but the total point differential was +60, not triple digits.
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Big CatBig Cat

Kendrick Lamar is winning the beef because he is speaking for everyone who hates Drake

Drake is responding to Kendrick Lamar, but Kendrick Lamar is, the way he's dropping these things is basically he's speaking for a lot more people that just haven't said anything to Drake in a long time... It essentially talking for a bunch of people being like, we've been saying this shit behind your back.

General consensus among critics and fans immediately following 'Not Like Us' was that Kendrick Lamar won the beef.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

J. Cole is the real winner of the Drake-Kendrick rap beef

The smartest person, the real winner of this entire beef is J. Cole because J. Cole was in it. And then he went on stage and he was like, no, I'm kind of a pussy so I don't want to do this. Smart. He's the goat for recognizing that he did not want to be anywhere involved in this.

J. Cole's reputation took an initial hit for 'apologizing', but as the beef got increasingly dark and personal, many fans eventually agreed with PFT's assessment.
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Paul BissonnettePaul Bissonnette

The Dallas Stars will beat the Colorado Avalanche in 7 games

I got Dallas in seven again... I think that Dallas, who's a Stanley Cup team can get to the finals because they gotta go through the juggernaut, which was the Vegas Golden Knights.

The Stars beat the Avalanche in 6 games, not 7.
Loss
Paul BissonnettePaul Bissonnette

The Edmonton Oilers will steamroll the Vancouver Canucks in 5 games

I think that Edmonton is gonna steamroll Vancouver where Vancouver's lost their starting goaltender Thatcher Demko... I think it's gonna be a five-game series and then it's gonna be McDavid against MacKinnon again.

The Oilers beat the Canucks in 7 games, not 5. It was a very close series.
Win
Paul BissonnettePaul Bissonnette

The New York Rangers will beat the Carolina Hurricanes in 6 games

I think they're gonna beat Carolina in six games and they're, yeah... they have everything going for them. I think that they're a stronger team and they got bigger weapons.

The Rangers beat the Hurricanes in exactly 6 games.
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Paul BissonnettePaul Bissonnette

The 2024 Stanley Cup Final will be Edmonton vs. Florida

So I think that it will be Edmonton, Florida. That would be my guess.

This was the exact matchup for the 2024 Stanley Cup Final.
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Jerry O'ConnellJerry O'Connell

The Knicks get the 'yips' whenever they play the Pacers

I'm very nervous about the Pacers. There's a history there... I think the Pacers actually... I think we just get the yips when we're around them.

The Knicks lost to the Pacers in 7 games in the 2024 playoffs, suffering many injuries, which JOC might attribute to these 'yips' or bad luck.
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Big CatBig Cat

Nikki Glaser was the best roaster and Ben Affleck was the worst at the Tom Brady Roast

I thought Nikki Glaser was the best because anytime you have a roast, like the professional comedians, you could just see why they're professional comedians... I thought Ben Affleck was the weirdest and worst. It was really strange. He spent 10 minutes yelling about like an anonymous Bills fan.

The general critical reception following the roast largely mirrored Big Cat's opinion.
Loss
MaxMax

Tyrese Maxey is better than Jaylen Brown

I mean, Tyrese Maxey is better than Jaylen Brown for sure. Ooh, for sure. [Hank] would trade Jaylen Brown for Tyrese Maxey immediately.

While subjective, Jaylen Brown went on to win Eastern Conference Finals MVP and NBA Finals MVP in 2024, making this take age poorly in the short term.
Win
HankHank

The Eastern Conference is a cakewalk for the Celtics

Yeah. No, the East is a cakewalk... They should lose one, maybe two games. The over under should be three. Maybe one series next, next game.

The Celtics went 12-2 in the Eastern Conference playoffs (4-1, 4-1, 4-0), losing only two games total, exactly as Hank predicted.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Bucks' 2021 championship was a fluke

Some people could argue that the Bucks Championship was a fluke because it was off the bubble and all the teams that had to play a long season deep into the next year got bounced and the Nets got injured and beating Chris Paul isn't that impressive.

This is an inherently subjective historical interpretation and cannot be proven or disproven.
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Big CatBig Cat

Doug Gottlieb was right to question Caitlin Clark's shooting mechanics

I actually thought Doug Gottlieb got unfair hate for that... Every single professional athlete works on their mechanics constantly... It's not saying she's bad, she's incredible... He should have phrased it better. That there could maybe be a way for her to become even better of a shooter.

This is a matter of opinion regarding sports media criticism and athletic development.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

James Harden will have a legacy bad game with under 10 points in the playoffs

This is gonna be a legacy game I'm calling it right now. This is a James Harden legacy game. And by that I mean I hope he scores less than 10 points.

In Game 6 against the Mavericks (the elimination game), Harden scored 16 points. He did not score less than 10.
Loss
Randy MossRandy Moss

Fierceness is the best horse in the Kentucky Derby by three or four lengths

If all the horses run their best races, Fierceness wins the race, hands down. Talent wise, Fierceness is probably three or four lengths better than any other horse in the field.

Fierceness finished 15th in the 2024 Kentucky Derby, failing to live up to the favorite status.
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Randy MossRandy Moss

Forever Young has travel and track concerns heading into the Derby

Forever Young is the most accomplished Japanese horse that's ever come over here... but I've got two concerns... the travel bothered him... the other thing, the trainer seems to be borderline obsessive about keeping this horse out of this kickback spray in his face.

Forever Young actually ran very well, finishing 3rd in a photo finish, suggesting the travel concerns were minimal.
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Keith YandleKeith Yandle

Ovechkin's days of being a physical force are limited

I think the days of where he's running guys through the boards, you know, a force to be reckoned with out there, those might be limited. But, you know, I think when it comes to goal scoring, he's, I think he could do it till he is 45 years old.

This is an ongoing career evaluation of an aging superstar.
Win
Keith YandleKeith Yandle

The Florida Panthers will win the Stanley Cup

I got Florida and Colorado [in the finals]... I think it's the Panthers year. I just, they, they're a fun team to watch they, they play so hard. Their big guys are playing great.

The Florida Panthers did win the 2024 Stanley Cup, though they defeated the Edmonton Oilers, not the Colorado Avalanche.
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Big CatBig Cat

I like getting a single bug bite

I like a good bug bite. Just a good, just a good old fashioned bug bite. Like maybe on the top of your shin. Nice little spot. You can scratch it a little... A single bug bite on the top of your shin. Just a little itch. Not so bad.

This is a purely subjective personal preference.
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HankHank

The Boston Bruins will win their series against the Toronto Maple Leafs.

Just gotta win in Toronto. Now it's a tough, it's tough to win in the playoffs. You know, the leaves are a good team. They, they battled through adversity tonight. And, and we gotta come back stronger. Put Swayman in the net and, and we're gonna win.

The Bruins won the series in 7 games on May 4th, 2024.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Lakers were never winning a title because their roster was the problem, not coaching.

I still think that the roster is the problem that they just don't have enough guys. And the Nuggets were a better basketball team no matter how many minutes the Lakers led. Execution and being able to win games late is what makes the team better... They were a good team. They were never a great team.

The Lakers were eliminated 4-1 by the Nuggets and fired Darvin Ham shortly after, confirming the 'failed season' part, though the root cause (roster vs coach) remains a debate.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Mike Tyson could be 90 years old and still knock someone out.

I'm pumped up. 'cause I think everybody that is, most people that are paying attention to this would just like to see another Mike Tyson knockout. Yes. Just bring us back to the glory days. Yes. And he could be 90 years old and I would still believe that he'd be able to knock somebody out.

Subjective claim about potential power, though Tyson lost the actual fight against Jake Paul (which took place later in 2024) by decision, not knockout.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Taylor Swift should give up half her money to men to help the Chiefs win championships.

Basically what we're saying is that Taylor Swift should give up half of her money to men. Is that too much to ask? No, I thought we were about equality. Equality matters 50%. And if she, if she was a true Chiefs fan, she would be like, 'Hey Travis, take the league minimum and let's go win another championship.' Rings... it sounds like she's only about her personal engagement ring, not a Super Bowl ring.

This is a satirical suggestion that Taylor Swift should subsidize an NFL roster, which is not a real possibility or outcome to be tracked.
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JJ RedickJJ Redick

The Minnesota Timberwolves match up better against the Denver Nuggets than anyone else in the NBA.

I think this Minnesota team probably matches up as well as anyone in the NBA versus the Denver Nuggets. I'm really fascinated by this series.

The Timberwolves went on to beat the Nuggets in a 7-game series, proving they were indeed an excellent matchup.
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JJ RedickJJ Redick

The current NBA landscape marks the beginning of the death of the 'Super Team'.

I said at the beginning of the year... this year could be the beginning of the death of the super team. Part of that is the new second apron in the CBA... you have to build through the draft. And then be positioned... to then make an impactful trade.

The 2024 playoffs saw the Suns, Lakers, and Warriors (teams with high concentrations of veteran star salary) exit early, while homegrown teams like the Celtics, Nuggets, and Thunder thrived, supporting this take.
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JJ RedickJJ Redick

Nikola Jokic is already a top 15 player of all time.

Nikola Jokic to me is already a top 15 player of all time. And I know that that's maybe a hot take. I don't really care.

This is inherently subjective, but Jokic's three MVPs and a Finals MVP put him in a rare tier of historical greatness.
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JJ RedickJJ Redick

The Phoenix Suns' issues are about team building and personalities meshing, not just one specific player or coach.

I would look at sort of team building in a very holistic way beyond just, oh, we gotta trade this guy... You have to look at any roster, any team, and look at how personalities mesh together and how skill sets mesh together... and you have to be willing, I think to, as an owner, you have to be willing to be patient with that.

The Suns fired Frank Vogel shortly after this and continued to struggle with roster balance issues in the following offseason.
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JJ RedickJJ Redick

The New York Knicks are going to win their series against the Philadelphia 76ers.

I think the Knicks are gonna win the series.

The Knicks won the series in 6 games on May 2nd, 2024.
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Big CatBig Cat

Jalen Brunson is a 'true 1A' superstar.

They've got a true leader. And I'll say it a true one A. I agree. Jalen Brunson a true one A.

Brunson finished 5th in MVP voting and made 2nd Team All-NBA in 2024, cementing his status as a top-tier star.
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Peter SchragerPeter Schrager

The Falcons drafted Michael Penix Jr. to avoid quarterback purgatory

This move to them ensures that no matter what happens in the next two to three years... they will not be in quarterback purgatory. They viewed Michael Penix as a top 10 prospect in this draft. They themselves do not see them being in the top 10 again now that they have Kirk Cousins.

This accurately reflects the reasoning later provided by Falcons GM Terry Fontenot.
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MaxMax

Joel Embiid is having a better series than Jalen Brunson

Joel Embiid is scoring 35 points a game. 45% from the field and a plus 34 when he's on the court... Jalen Brunson is scoring 33 points a game 40% from the field and is a minus three when he's on the court. And the difference that people are talking about Jalen Brunson and Joel Embiid is absolutely insane.

While the raw plus/minus favored Embiid, the Knicks won the series 4-2 and Brunson had several legendary performances (including a 47-point game) that led directly to wins.
Loss
MaxMax

The Sixers are a better basketball team than the Knicks, the Knicks just want it more

The Sixers are a better basketball team. It's just that [the Knicks] want it more. They are just dogs. They want, it's just that they want it more.

The Knicks finished higher in the regular season and won the head-to-head playoff series; in basketball, results usually define who the 'better' team is.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Rangers' status as a juggernaut is a direct result of Tom Wilson's hit on Artemi Panarin

The Rangers turned around their entire franchise a couple years ago when Tom Wilson in a horrifying act of violence threw Panarin into the ground... They fired their entire front office after that because they realized that they were a soft hockey team. Since that moment, the Rangers have turned it around.

It is a commonly held theory in hockey media that the Wilson incident served as a wake-up call for the Rangers to get 'tougher,' leading to the Chris Drury era.
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Big CatBig Cat

If a team gets eliminated within one week of the playoffs starting, the playoff appearance never really happened

I have a hard and fast rule when it comes to the playoffs. If you get eliminated within a single week, it never really happened... No one's gonna remember you're in the playoffs, which is probably for the better.

This is a subjective logic used for comedic coping.
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Alex CarusoAlex Caruso

The Timberwolves are the young team with the best chance to reach the NBA Finals

Based on how Minnesota's playing, I'd say the Wolves. Ant [Anthony Edwards] feels ready for the moment. Like he doesn't feel like he shies away, you know, make or miss and he's indifferent... I like how their team fits for the postseason.

The Timberwolves reached the Western Conference Finals (their first since 2004), confirming Caruso's view of them as a top-tier contender.
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Alex CarusoAlex Caruso

The Phoenix Suns' primary problem is the lack of a lead point guard

I think they're missing a point guard. Like a lead guard. Like somebody to organize everything to take some of the pressure off these other guys... they don't have a stable force.

This was the primary criticism of the 2023-24 Suns, and they subsequently signed Tyus Jones in the offseason to address exactly this.
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Big CatBig Cat

Caleb Williams' eccentric personality won't matter as long as he plays well

If he's good, none of it will matter... If he's not good, people will blame the nails. They'll say that like, oh, he's too crazy. He's too unique. And if he's good, no one will give a fuck because no one in that locker room will care.

This is a fundamental truth in sports history (e.g., Dennis Rodman).
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Peter SchragerPeter Schrager

Jalen Wright is the 'diamond in the rough' of the 2024 NFL draft

The running back on the Dolphins who they traded up to get in the fourth round, Jalen Wright out of Tennessee... This Jalen Wright averaged eight yards a carry at Tennessee is as fast as they come... That's my diamond in the rough.

Jalen Wright had a very quiet rookie season with the Dolphins in 2024, recording minimal stats. He was not a 'diamond in the rough' of the draft class.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Phoenix Suns' 'all-in' move is an all-time disaster

This has maybe been one of the greatest, like rich guy buys a team who thinks he's the smartest guy in the world... does a bunch of all-in moves and it blows up in record time. They have zero first round picks from 2025 to 2030. They have zero second round picks... They have one pick in the NBA draft between now and 2031. That's insane.

The Suns' pick cupboard is indeed bare due to the Kevin Durant and Bradley Beal trades, and getting swept in the first round with that roster is objectively a poor return on investment.
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HankHank

MLB will fix the uniform lettering and sweat-wicking issues by the 2025 season

There was a report that came out that basically said Nike fucked up the uniforms. We're working to fix 'em. We're gonna get the bigger names in the back of the jerseys and everything should be fixed at the latest, at the start of the 2025 season.

MLB confirmed they will be returning to larger lettering and better materials in 2025.
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Big CatBig Cat

Ryan Poles' trade with the Panthers is one of the greatest fleeces in NFL history

Ryan Poles, what he did to the Panthers... I actually feel bad for the Panthers. Like it's, it's, it's gross... DJ Moore, Darnell Wright, Tyrique Stevenson, Caleb Williams and a 2025 second rounder. And they got Bryce Young. Ryan Poles. And now Rome Odunze. David Tepper... Basically every quarterback that's ever put on a Bear's uniform has been not put in the a good situation to succeed. He's doing everything to make sure that Caleb Williams succeeds.

The trade is widely regarded as one of the most lopsided in modern NFL history given the haul of players and picks the Bears received versus Bryce Young's early struggles.
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Big CatBig Cat

Michael Penix Jr. to the Falcons is a baffling move that makes zero sense

The Atlanta Falcons who, if you remember, signed Kirk Cousins to $180 million deal what like a month and a half ago, selected Michael Penix Jr. with the eighth pick... It makes zero sense to do it. Now if he's a great quarterback, cool. I hope it pans out. But like when he, is he gonna start? Is he gonna sit for two years? Why you such a high pick for this? It, it just, you could've probably gotten him in the second round.

While Penix could be a future star, the process of paying $180M to Cousins and then using the #8 pick on his successor immediately was universally panned by analysts.
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Big CatBig Cat

Bo Nicks at 12 overall is a significant reach by the Broncos

Bo Nicks, which I think Bo Nicks is also one where I'm scratching my head being like, why, why would the Broncos take him at 12? ... If you need that many tweets and that many words to say, we took a quarterback at 12, that seems like a big reach. Bo Nicks' over under was 32 and a half to be drafted. Like it was a, it was a real conversation when he dip into the second round, they took him 12.

Correctness depends on Bo Nicks' eventual performance relative to other 2024 draft QBs.