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PMTPMT DB

Takes

Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Chiefs essentially won another Super Bowl by trading for Xavier Worthy

The bills traded their pick to the chiefs who moved up and everyone knew what was gonna happen. ... The chiefs move up. In my opinion that's worse than trading inside the division is the bills trading with the Chiefs. ... Xavier Worthy is, I mean, with him, him with Mahomes. Why'd you let them do that? Congratulations to the Chiefs on winning the Super Bowl next year.

The Chiefs reached the Super Bowl but lost to the Eagles 22-40. Drafting Xavier Worthy did not equate to 'essentially winning another Super Bowl.'
Void
HankHank

I am officially retiring the 'Cocky Hank' persona and giving up on 'Championship or Bust'

After the game one of the Bruins and the Celtics, I made a mistake and I'm here to admit and moving forward say that I will no longer be cocky. I've given up being cocky. ... Championship or bust is is no longer. It's just, it's Win this series. Whoa. And then let's win the next series. Whoa. Let's win the next series. Whoa. I'm not focused on the nuggets. I'm not focused on the Western conference. I'm just focused on Saturday against the heat.

This is a shift in personal attitude and show character, though it didn't last long in practice.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Joel Embiid is one of the dirtiest players in the NBA

Joel Embiid was incredible. He also was maybe the dirtiest player I've ever seen on a basketball court. ... Joel Embiid basically did Draymond Green's career highlights in one game. The play on Mitchell Robinson, when he tried to grab him by the legs, that was, that should have been an ejection. And then he kicked Mitchell Robinson in the nuts. He kicked, he kneed Isaiah Hartenstein in the, in the nuts.

The dirtiness of a player is subjective, though the specific physical acts described were widely criticized.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Barry Bonds belongs in the Hall of Fame and needs a 'Reggie Bush' style pressure campaign

We need to now focus all of our energy because I I did say right after it happened, it's like a dog chasing a car. You catch it and you're like, what do we do now? Barry Bonds Hall of Fame. Easy. Barry Bonds Hall of Fame should be all the energy of the sports world. Right that wrong. Barry Bonds, the best baseball player of all time is not in the Hall of Fame. ... We can do anything with mob mentality. We can do anything.

Barry Bonds was on the 2026 Contemporary Baseball Era ballot but was not inducted into the Hall of Fame.
Void
Dan SoderDan Soder

Nikola Jokic is one of the greatest big men of all time and plays like he's in a pool

Jokic plays basketball like he's in the pool with his kids. Like he's waiting above the water and he is like just putting it above him. Just the way he puts it back in his shot. ... He plays pool basketball... he's one of the best big men of all time. ... The Jokic family, all they wanna do is go race horses. And he just happens to be one of the greatest NBA players.

Jokic's historical standing is subjective, but he is widely regarded as an all-time great.
Void
Dan SoderDan Soder

Brock Purdy is a top 5 NFL quarterback

I think he's top five. Here's the thing about Brock Purdy. I think he's, you know, talent wise, I think like actual arm speed, all that. Maybe not. He's just got this dog mentality. ... Jimmy [Garoppolo] would just take sacks. And then Brock, they were playing the Raiders and Max Crosby just came through and Brock just did this one move and sidearm it to CMC and it was like a 45 yard gain. And you're like, that was the one play where I was like, this guy can just do it.

Ranking of quarterbacks is subjective.
Void
Dan SoderDan Soder

Queens of the Stone Age are the best American rock band of the last 40 years

I could argue they're the best American rock band in the last 40 years. ... And I'll go album for album with anybody. They're album because they evolve. ... You wanna see people evolve. You wanna see people try stuff that maybe sometimes doesn't work, but then you get to see 'em try stuff that does work. And you're like, yeah, this shit rules.

Subjective musical opinion.
Loss
HankHank

I will give it my all and I believe I will be able to dunk

I'm in it. The bet's out there. It's 20, it's 20 k. ... I'm going to give it my all to be able to dunk. I think I'm gonna be able to do it. I know the haters and you guys and everyone in the world doesn't think I'm going to, but I I welcome that. I welcome that. ... The only way that's gonna stop me is injury.

Based on available evidence, Hank was unable to dunk a basketball. Instagram posts reference 'Hank might not be able to dunk' and his 2025 resolution was still listed as 'Dunk,' indicating he did not accomplish it by the deadline.
Open
MaxMax

Caleb Williams is the Ben Simmons of the NFL

I've been thinking about Caleb Williams. There's, there's a player that he reminds me of. Little bit of a diva off the court. Really big into the fashion life, the pop star life. A can't miss prospect. ... Ben Simmons. Ben Simmons was the next LeBron. ... Ben Simmons was a can't miss prospect. ... Both teams missed the [college] playoffs... Think about Ben Simmons.

This will only be resolvable after Caleb Williams' career progresses to see if he 'quits' or underperforms like Simmons.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Phoenix Suns are officially dead

The Suns are dead. I proclaimed it. The Suns are dead. They don't look like they have any life to him whatsoever. They look anemic. Bradley Beal looks pretty bad. No trade clauses, by the way, for Bradley Beal. So yeah, I think he's like the sixth highest player in the NBA. They're gonna be stuck with that for a little bit.

The Suns were swept by the Timberwolves in the first round and appeared totally dysfunctional.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Devin Booker is a worse player when he wears a headband

I also have a vibe stat for this game. And it has nothing—it's based on absolutely nothing. I'm sure someone will actually give me the stats and say I'm wrong. I don't think Devin Booker's good when he wears a headband. I just don't. I don't know why... I think maybe his head is too constricted.

This is inherently subjective and based on 'vibes', though Booker's 2024 playoff performance while wearing the headband was indeed poor.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Therapy would make Luka Doncic a worse basketball player

My take was that Luka, I think Luka desperately needs therapy, but I also think that it would be very, very bad for him as a basketball player. I feel like that shit that he has makes him excellent, but he's just, he's always angry.

This is a psychological opinion about a player's motivation and cannot be objectively proven.
Loss
MaxMax

The 76ers will win their series against the Knicks despite being down 2-0

And then the final act, new tweet: Sixers will win this series.

The Knicks defeated the 76ers 4-2 in the series.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Lakers-Nuggets series is over

I think this series is definitely over. Yeah. Well, no, well, what's gonna happen is the Lakers, Sixers might, the Lakers are gonna play great in some more games that they're also going to lose. Right. That's what's gonna happen.

The Nuggets won the series 4-1.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

The Broncos released bad jerseys to distract fans from the Zach Wilson trade

They actually are really smart with what they did because they released Bad Jerseys and then they traded for Zach Wilson all on the same day. And you don't know which one to be mad at. They just split the vote. Like that was so smart of them to do those in basically a matter of hours with each other where they're like, which one you want to choose?

This is a marketing/PR theory that is likely coincidental but fits Big Cat's cynical view of front offices.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Kevin Durant will 100% return to the Oklahoma City Thunder

Kevin Durant is 100% going back to the Thunder. Yes. They're doing some trial balloons... it was a video narrated by KD talking about Chet Holmgren and the city of Oklahoma City... I'm absolutely for it because I think that would be a very cool, like if he won, wins a title with the Thunder. Kind of everything's forgiven.

Kevin Durant was traded to the Houston Rockets in a seven-team trade in July 2025, not to the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Loss
Kirk GoldsberryKirk Goldsberry

The only real threat to the Denver Nuggets winning the title is the injury bug

The number one threat to the Denver Nuggets is the injury bug. Oh yeah. I think they're that good. Yeah, I really do. I think Jokic is just, they deserve that kind of dodgy, cute answer. If I have to answer... I just don't see anybody taking out Jokic in seven games, beating them four times in seven games.

The Nuggets were healthy but were defeated by the Timberwolves in the Western Conference Semifinals.
Win
Daniel JeremiahDaniel Jeremiah

Michael Penix Jr. could be drafted before JJ McCarthy

I was sniffing around this morning 'cause I had, there's so much stuff flying around and like one of the teams had told me like, 'Hey, I wouldn't be surprised if when it was all said and done if Penix went over McCarthy.'

Penix Jr. was drafted 8th by the Falcons; McCarthy was drafted 10th by the Vikings.
Open
Daniel JeremiahDaniel Jeremiah

The 2024 draft class has 10-12 second-contract caliber wide receivers

I was strict with it. So you can, you can extrapolate this beyond this, but like a con—like my confidence level's high. Wide receivers, 10 to 12 of them. Wow. Like there's 10 to 12 that I feel pretty confident they're gonna, they're second contract, same team, commit to 'em type players.

Too early to tell; second contracts for the 2024 class won't happen until 2028.
Win
Field YatesField Yates

Jaden Daniels will be the number two overall pick in the NFL Draft

I feel good about Jaden Daniels going number two. You know, this past week was interesting obviously—mostly incited by Jaden Daniels' agent taking to Twitter... but I do think Jaden Daniels ends up going number two overall.

Jaden Daniels was selected 2nd overall by the Commanders.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Clippers are going to win the Western Conference

The Los Angeles Clippers are going to win the West. Ooh. Not that they're gonna compete. That they're gonna compete. Hey, I, I said that mostly just to get Hank's hopes up because Hank is grasping at all the straws.

The Clippers lost in the first round of the 2024 NBA playoffs to the Dallas Mavericks.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Cleveland Cavaliers have never won a playoff series without LeBron James

Fun fact, little fun fact. The Cleveland Cavaliers, Dan Gilbert has never won a playoff series without LeBron James.

This was correct at the time of the episode. The Cavs had not won a series without LeBron since 1993, which predates Dan Gilbert's ownership (2005).
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Anthony Edwards is now a legitimate NBA superstar

Anthony Edwards is is a legit superstar Now. [Durant] he he couldn't do anything about it. Yeah. He was like, yeah, you're right. You're kind of, you're kind of dunking on me right now.

Edwards led the Timberwolves to the Western Conference Finals in 2024, cementing his superstar status.
Win
HankHank

Joel Embiid is made of glass

I don't want to, I don't wanna be a hater, but it's like... the playoffs, if you make it to the finals, it's a long run. Like how many games do you think [Embiid] has in him? ... I don't want Embiid to get hurt. I can just look at data and history and acknowledge that he's made of glass.

Embiid played 6 games in the 2024 playoffs but clearly struggled with injuries throughout.
Loss
MaxMax

The Sixers will win their series against the Knicks

Sixers are gonna win the series. Oh plus I think it was plus two 50... I'm already really invested so I don't think that I have to do any bets.

The Knicks defeated the Sixers in 6 games.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

LeBron James lacks the stamina to play at an elite level for four quarters

LeBron is doing at 39. He does not have the stamina to do it for four quarters. Like you saw it, he scored I think maybe two or four points in garbage time with like the under a minute left in the fourth quarter. He runs out of gas and no one else... the other guys have to do stuff and they're not able to.

LeBron's stats consistently dipped in fourth quarters throughout the 2024 series against Denver.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Jerry Reinsdorf is the worst owner in the NBA

The Chicago Bulls are a joke of an organization. Jerry Reinsdorf is one of the worst owners, if not the worst in the NBA. He's a fucking clown... the Chicago Bulls have made the playoffs two times in the last nine seasons. Two times they've back to back nine 10 game champions and that's it.

Subjective ranking of owners, though the Bulls' lack of success is factual.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Capitals would have won Game 1 if they could remove any three minutes of play

If you take out like three minutes in the second period, we actually tied this game. One. One. ... If you take out that 10 seconds and the two and a half minutes in the second period, the caps actually won. This game one nothing in a series where nobody thought that we could come within three goals of beating the Rangers.

Hot TakeHockeyFireSarcastic
This is a logical fallacy and cannot be factually correct.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Ryan Garcia is the new face of boxing

Garcia was awesome and he, he might be the new face of boxing 'cause he is, he's crazy. He's like the perfect amount of crazy fun to watch. Was throwing bombs... he's something else.

Subjective, but Garcia's subsequent PED controversy and erratic behavior have polarized his 'face of boxing' status.
Win
Todd McShayTodd McShay

Caleb Williams entering the Chicago Bears is the best situation for a #1 pick in a long time

Caleb comes in and you've got DJ Moore, Keenan Allen, Deandre Swift... this is as good as situation as we've seen in a long time. ... You have to go back a while to say which quarterback was in this good of a situation that Caleb Williams is entering into as the number one overall pick in the draft.

The offensive weapons surrounding Caleb Williams (Moore, Allen, Odunze) are statistically much better than typical #1 pick environments.
Win
Todd McShayTodd McShay

Jayden Daniels is clearly the #2 quarterback in the draft over Drake May

There isn't one person I've spoken to that believes that Drake May should be drafted number two over Jaden Daniels. ... That first tier has has been for for teams has always been kind of Caleb and Jaden. And then the second tier is Drake.

Jayden Daniels was indeed drafted 2nd overall by the Commanders, and Drake May 3rd by the Patriots.
Void
Todd McShayTodd McShay

JJ McCarthy will have the best rookie season of any quarterback if he lands in Minnesota

JJ McCarthy could have the best rookie year of all the quarterbacks if he lands in Minnesota, that that's the most desirable spot for these rookie quarterbacks.

McCarthy suffered a season-ending meniscus injury in the preseason and will not play his rookie season.
Loss
Todd McShayTodd McShay

Byron Murphy could be a surprise top 10 pick and the first defensive player drafted

The more people I've talked to in the league, the more I get the sense that Byron Murphy defensive tackle from from Texas could be, and, and, and I, I don't wanna say it's most likely, but if there's gonna be a surprise in the top 10, it's Byron Murphy.

Byron Murphy II was drafted 16th overall by the Seahawks. Laiatu Latu (15th) was the first defensive player drafted.
Loss
Todd McShayTodd McShay

Lad McConkey will be a first-round draft pick

Lad McConkey from Georgia is, is so dynamic in terms of his route running ability... I'm gonna say he's going in the first round.

Ladd McConkey was drafted with the 34th pick, which is the beginning of the second round.
Loss
Todd McShayTodd McShay

Bo Nix is a second-round talent and will not be drafted in the first round

Bo Nix, everyone puts him at 12 to the [Broncos] ... But Bo Nix, if he doesn't go 12 to Denver is a second round pick according to everybody. ... I think there are five quarterbacks that are gonna go. Caleb Williams, Jaden Daniels, JJ, Drake May, JJ McCarthy and Michael Penix. And I think round two is where you'll see Bo Nix.

Bo Nix was drafted 12th overall in the first round by the Denver Broncos.
Push
HankHank

I'd much rather the Celtics play the Bulls in the first round because it's a free win

I mean the Heat obviously have had success against us. No Jimmy Butler... but still it's like, you just don't mess with [the Heat]. Forget about the Heat. Don't mess with it. If you play the Bulls, it's much better... I just want the free win.

The Heat beat the Bulls in the play-in for the 8-seed, so the Celtics played the Heat. The Celtics won the series 4-1, proving that even the Heat weren't a major threat.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Bulls-Heat game will be a one-possession game with three minutes left

I honestly just, if my, if I had to give you my take on the game, it's gonna be a one possession game with three minutes left and then who the fuck knows?

The Heat blew out the Bulls 112-91. It was not a one-possession game late.
Win
HankHank

Robert Kraft is going to start getting booed at Patriots events

He is entering territory where it's like he's gonna start getting like boos, which is insane. But like he is, he has set himself up for that... and I could see there being like boos or, or something where like that's gonna, that's gonna rattle him.

Kraft was notably booed during the Tom Brady Roast on Netflix shortly after this and has faced increased scrutiny during the 2024 season.
Win
HankHank

JJ McCarthy is my 5th ranked QB because he's a game-managing system quarterback

JJ McCarthy... is the bottom... He doesn't throw, he didn't see any long balls or all the long balls are wide open. Short throw. Short throws... he's seen the, he, he was a game manager. System quarterback.

JJ McCarthy was drafted 10th overall by the Vikings, lower than the big 3 and Penix, which aligns with Hank's ranking (5th among the top group).
Loss
HankHank

Drake Maye looks short on film and the ball looks heavy in his hands

Drake Maye... This was the biggest, the biggest deterrent and, and the thing that I see happening the most, the ball seems very heavy in his hands... It just seems like it takes him a long time to get the ball up and out... [He] looked short in the film that I was watching.

Drake Maye is 6'4'', which is tall for a QB, and his arm strength is considered elite by actual scouts, making the 'heavy ball' take highly subjective and likely incorrect.
Loss
HankHank

My best-case draft scenario is drafting Marvin Harrison Jr. and trading up for Michael Penix Jr.

If it were up to me. Marvin Harrison, Jr. Trade up Michael Penix. That's, that's my best case scenario draft... trade up to... get Penix Jr.

The Patriots stayed at 3 and drafted Drake Maye, ignoring Harrison Jr. and Penix Jr.
Push
Big CatBig Cat

Sportsbooks might stop offering props on fringe/bench players to prevent manipulation

I wouldn't be shocked if there is maybe a little bit of a correction where some of the fringe players don't have props on a night to night basis. Just because those are the guys... who knows that if he bets something, checks into a game for a minute and then comes out, he can win.

While props are still widely available, some books have become more selective with bench player lines and lower limits, though a universal ban on fringe players hasn't occurred.
Win
Joe MazzullaJoe Mazzulla

The more successful you are, the closer you are to losing

The closer you are to winning, the closer you are to losing. Right? So like, you saw it at UFC 300... most people can't handle the fact that you think you beat your opponent, but now you still have to fight them.

This is a philosophical principle that Mazzulla successfully applied to lead the Celtics to a championship shortly after this interview.
Void
Joe MazzullaJoe Mazzulla

I refuse to walk through revolving doors because you are a sitting duck if they get stuck

I won't walk through revolving doors. Because like one of them gets stuck, then you're just a sitting duck. Avoid them. Get stuck, you're, you're screwed.

While technically a safety preference, the risk of being a 'sitting duck' in a stuck revolving door is a highly subjective and extreme survivalist view.
Void
Joe MazzullaJoe Mazzulla

I never sit with my back to the door in restaurants so I can always have a vantage point

I never sit with my back to the door like you in a restaurant. I never sit with my back to the door. You always gotta sit to where You can have a vantage point of like, everything that's going on around you.

This is a personal habit rooted in safety/strategic thinking and cannot be objectively proven correct or incorrect.
Win
Michael MaloneMichael Malone

Victor Wembanyama is the future of the NBA and has no weaknesses

Yes, you're watching Wembanyama and you're saying, wow, this guy is a future of the NBA... Wendy's ability to be a playmaker. His passing ability, he was making all his teammates better... he's gonna get stronger, but I, I don't see any weaknesses in his game.

Wembanyama unanimously won Rookie of the Year and finished 2nd in DPOY voting, largely validating this take.
Push
Michael MaloneMichael Malone

The Oklahoma City Thunder aren't too young to win a title

I don't buy into the hole, they're too young to win it. Last year people thought, well, we've never won a championship. They can't win a finals... They have the talent, they have the coaching, and I think these Western conference playoffs are just gonna be so fun to watch.

The Thunder won their first-round series but lost in the second round to the Mavericks, showing they were capable of winning playoff games but not yet a title.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

The Pelicans would have beaten the Lakers if Zion Williamson had stayed in the game

I think the Pelicans win that game if Zion stays in the game. They had, Brandon Ingram wasn't good... and Zion was like, I'm putting the whole team on my back. And he almost beat the Lakers by himself.

The game was tied 95-95 with 3:13 left when Zion exited; the Lakers eventually won 110-106. While unprovable, it is a widely held 'what if'.
Loss
HankHank

The Lakers are going to beat the Nuggets in their playoff series

I think they could be the nuggets... Championship experience, you know... [They've] got the players of all time. Anthony Davis, all stars, all NBA players. Why not?

The Nuggets defeated the Lakers 4-1 in the first round of the 2024 playoffs.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Capitals are going to be killed by the Rangers in the first round

Bad news is they have to play the Rangers who won the President's trophy, which is, you know, basically impossible to lose in the playoffs if you're that good of a team... there's like no chance that we can beat the Rangers, but I'm just glad to be there.

The New York Rangers swept the Washington Capitals 4-0 in the first round.