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Takes

Void
Big CatBig Cat

Jimmy Butler culture has officially superseded Heat culture.

Maybe we were right because it's not Heat culture, it's Jimmy Butler culture. Jimmy Butler culture is now over Heat culture. Jimmy Butler did that.

This is a subjective branding debate about the identity of the Heat during the Butler era.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

The Golden State Warriors do not truly start their postseason until Draymond Green gets suspended.

I think it's just like the Warriors don't start the playoffs until Draymond gets suspended. And then they just, and then they're ready to kick it into gear.

While the Warriors did win three straight after the Draymond suspension in this series, it isn't a literal rule of basketball.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

If the Kings advance past the Warriors, basketball fans will eventually regret not having the Warriors in the later rounds.

If the Kings advance, we're gonna be caught up again on the Beam team. We're gonna be very excited about them moving on to the second round. And then they're gonna start actually playing the second round, and I'm gonna be like, I really wish that this was the Warriors playing.

The Warriors won the series, so this scenario never played out.
Void
Carson PalmerCarson Palmer

Quarterbacks should take less on-field money to play for the Cowboys because the off-field marketing revenue is massive.

If you play for the Dallas Cowboys, whatever you don't make on the field, you can make up off the field on the mattress company that Dak [Prescott] is promoting. I think it's worth it to take a little less money on the field, have better players on the field, and open up even more doors if you win a Super Bowl off the field to making money marketing-wise in Dallas.

This is a business strategy opinion that depends on a player's risk tolerance and personal brand.
Win
Carson PalmerCarson Palmer

Bryce Young has the lowest ceiling among the top 2023 QB prospects because he is a 'finished product' coming out of Alabama.

I think at the end of the day, if you're Carolina, you want a guy that's gonna play week one. And the guy that's most ready to play in week one is Bryce. But he is also got the lowest ceiling because he's been coached by the best of the best at Alabama... you're getting a finished product. He doesn't need to be coached a ton. He doesn't need to be taught a ton... there's not a ton of upside like there was with Josh Allen five years ago.

Young's struggles as a starter for the Panthers led to his benching in 2024, suggesting Palmer's concern about his ceiling/upside was prescient.
Push
Carson PalmerCarson Palmer

If a quarterback has not learned how to fall correctly by the time they reach the NFL, they will continue to get injured.

If you're trying to figure out how to fall correctly at 24 in year three in the NFL, that's a problem. You learn how to absorb hits in junior high and high school. If you are trying to figure it out and trying to perfect that part of the game in year 2, 3, 4 in the NFL, you're probably gonna be getting hurt a lot.

Tua Tagovailoa notably stayed healthy for the entire 2023 season after this training, though he suffered another major concussion in 2024, leaving the efficacy of the training debated.
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Carson PalmerCarson Palmer

Troy Polamalu and Ed Reed are the two most fearsome defenders in NFL history.

It's not one guy. It's two guys. It's Troy [Polamalu] and Ed Reed. They both played the same position, but you had to prepare for them totally differently... I had weeks where we were playing the Steelers, if Troy was on the right and the play was called to the right, I had at the line of scrimmage to change it to the left.

Polamalu and Reed are both Hall of Famers and widely considered among the best ever, though 'most fearsome' is subjective.
Win
Carson PalmerCarson Palmer

Caleb Williams would be the first overall pick in the 2023 draft if he were eligible

Caleb Williams... He'd be the first pick in this year's draft if he could come out... there's not a clear cut. If he was in this draft it would be Caleb Williams and then everybody else. He's that good.

Caleb Williams was indeed the consensus #1 pick in the 2024 draft and was widely considered a better prospect than those in the 2023 class.
Void
Carson PalmerCarson Palmer

Bruce Arians was never wrong; even if he was berating you in front of your peers, he wouldn't do it unless you actually screwed up.

Even if he's embarrassing you in front of the media or in front of your teammates, at the end of the day, if the guy's right and you are incorrect, it kind of just is okay because he wouldn't do it unless you screwed up... He was never wrong. So he got on you, he was hard on you, but it's because you deserved it.

This is Palmer's personal experience with Arians' coaching and film room habits.
Void
Jake MarshJake Marsh

Age and gender do not matter in pickleball

I'm telling you, if you play pickleball, you know that age, gender doesn't matter. Everyone plays together. Age is not a thing in pickleball. If you're good, you're good, you can hang.

While physically diverse, at high levels, age and physical capability certainly matter in pickleball as they do in all sports.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

I am heavily thinking about betting on the Milwaukee Bucks to win the series against the Heat

I am heavily thinking about betting on the Milwaukee Bucks to win the series still. I think it's like plus 1 15, 1 20. I know that's a short price. I still think they'll probably win it.

The Bucks lost the series to the Heat in 5 games, so a bet on them to win the series would have lost.
Void
HankHank

The Atlanta Hawks might be a better team without Dejounte Murray

They might be better without [Dejounte Murray]. I'm already thinking that like, hopefully he comes back and they're back to being discombobulated.

The Hawks won Game 5 without Murray but were eliminated in Game 6 upon his return, giving this take a shred of credibility at the time.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Nuggets will beat the Suns in six games

I'm just, I'm calling it right out. Nugs and six.

The Nuggets defeated the Suns in exactly 6 games.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Jimmy Butler is officially back to being the most underrated player in the NBA

Jimmy Butler is officially back to being maybe the most underrated player in the nba in the playoffs. It's playoff Jimmy.

Butler went on to lead the 8-seed Heat to the NBA Finals, cementing his status as an elite playoff performer.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

I'm officially on the 'Lakers might be really good' train

LeBron proved that he's still got a lot of gas in the tank. And I am officially on like, Lakers might be really, really good watch.

The Lakers reached the Western Conference Finals as a 7-seed.
Loss
Billy FootballBilly Football

The Jets are definitely going to the playoffs and might make a Super Bowl run

Jets are definitely gonna go to the playoffs. They might make a run Super Bowls. I'm actually so hyped. They top five defense. They have weapons and they have Aaron Rodgers. I really don't see how this goes wrong.

Aaron Rodgers tore his Achilles in the first game, and the Jets finished 7-10, missing the playoffs.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Jordan Love is not that guy

Jordan Love not that guy. I'm just gonna enjoy it until he proves that he eventually obviously is gonna become that guy. Cause that's what the Packers do. But I have a little window here where I can talk shit and be like, maybe I'll be right.

Jordan Love had a stellar 2023 season, leading the Packers to a playoff win over the Cowboys and proving he is indeed 'that guy.'
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Aaron Rodgers will date or sleep with Zach Wilson's mom to establish dominance as the Jets' alpha

I think [Aaron Rodgers] is gonna fuck Zach Wilson's mom. Just get it out of the way. Be an alpha. Because I mean, Zach said he is gonna make whoever's gonna be the starting quarterback, he's gonna make their life hell.

There is no evidence this happened.
Loss
Jake MarshJake Marsh

The Pittsburgh Pirates are actually a really good baseball team

Just tip of the cap to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Yeah. With the Sacramento Kings doing that nba, they've been made fun of. They've been bad. The pirates have been awful. And they're... the pirates are really good. The Pittsburgh Pirates.

The Pirates cooled off significantly and finished the 2023 season with a losing record of 76-86.
Win
Todd McShayTodd McShay

The 2023 NFL draft class features the best tight end group in over 20 years

This might be the best tight end group that I've been a part of in the NFL draft in 22 years of doing it. Everyone knows about Dalton Kincaid from Utah... Michael Mayer from Notre Dame is gonna be a stud... Luke Musgrave, Sam LaPorta... the list goes on and on.

The 2023 tight end class proved to be historically productive, with Sam LaPorta and Dalton Kincaid having immediate high-level impacts as rookies.
Loss
Todd McShayTodd McShay

The Houston Texans will not take CJ Stroud at number two

I'm not hearing that anymore. I'm hearing it's coming down to Tyree Wilson from Texas Tech... or Will Anderson, the outside linebacker. I'll be surprised if they take a quarterback at two.

The Texans selected CJ Stroud with the second overall pick.
Win
Todd McShayTodd McShay

CJ Stroud is definitively the best pure pocket passer in the 2023 NFL draft class

I mean, find me a better tape than [CJ] Stroud versus Georgia. I mean, that's an NFL defense. And what he did, he just ripped them apart. He almost ended the Georgia run. And I just think he's the best pure pocket passer in the class.

Stroud's historic rookie season in Houston proved him to be an elite pocket passer immediately.
Loss
Todd McShayTodd McShay

Will Levis will be drafted by the Indianapolis Colts at number four

I still, all the information I'm getting is that Will Levis is gonna go [number] four [to the Colts].

The Colts selected Anthony Richardson at #4. Will Levis fell out of the first round entirely and was taken #33 by the Titans.
Win
Todd McShayTodd McShay

Jalen Carter is the most talented player in the draft but could fall to the Chicago Bears at number nine

Jalen Carter, arguably the best player in this draft, I would say from talent standpoint, my tape study, he's the best player in the draft. But if [Carter] doesn't go five six... Jalen Carter... could go number nine to Chicago.

Jalen Carter was indeed drafted at #9, though the Eagles traded up with Chicago to take him there.
Win
Todd McShayTodd McShay

Aaron Rodgers will officially be a New York Jet by Wednesday

He will be a jet by Wednesday. Ooh. Ooh. Ooh. So when this runs Aaron... I will be shocked if the two teams have not agreed the terms on Aaron Rodgers going to the New York Jets.

The trade was finalized and reported shortly after this interview was recorded.
Win
Todd McShayTodd McShay

There will be two running backs drafted in the first round

There's gonna be two running backs taken in the first round this year. So if, if you got one of those prop bets and it's one and a half, I believe take the over, it's gonna be two in the first round.

Bijan Robinson (#8) and Jahmyr Gibbs (#12) were both first-round selections.
Loss
Daniel JeremiahDaniel Jeremiah

Zay Flowers will be the first wide receiver drafted

I think Zay Flowers from Boston College can be the first receiver picked ahead of Jackson Smith-Njigba, which I think would surprise a lot of people.

Jackson Smith-Njigba was the first WR taken (#20), followed by Quentin Johnston (#21) and Zay Flowers (#22).
Win
Daniel JeremiahDaniel Jeremiah

The Houston Texans will draft CJ Stroud with the second pick

The quarterback thing. I feel like Rice [Young] is going one and then after that... I'm just gonna kind of trust my gut and go back to what makes the most logical sense. And I'm just gonna put Stroud to Houston [at #2].

The Texans selected CJ Stroud at #2.
Win
Daniel JeremiahDaniel Jeremiah

Big 10 offensive linemen with over 40 starts are incredibly safe NFL prospects

If you get offensive linemen that started in the Big 10 for like 40 games, they might not ever be a great NFL player, but they're gonna play because they're all gonna be smart and tough and you can play with them.

The Big 10 continues to be a primary pipeline for reliable NFL offensive line starters.
Win
Daniel JeremiahDaniel Jeremiah

The New England Patriots will trade back from the 14th pick

Belichick loves to just trade back and accumulate fifth rounders. I don't think that they're gonna pick at 14.

The Patriots traded down from 14 to 17 with the Steelers.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Dillon Brooks is an all-time fraud and a fake tough guy

Dylan Brooks is an all-time fraud. He is a fraud. He's a fake tough guy. He decided that he wanted to be a villain... but you have to at least own up to the fact that not only did you touch LeBron James in the penis, but you also shot your team out... You are a complete fraud when it comes to this stuff.

The Grizzlies eventually lost the series and then moved on from Brooks in the offseason, citing the 'poked the bear' situation.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Dillon Brooks has not demonstrated the body of work required to be a real NBA villain

You can't just say like, I'm a villain now. That's too, it's, you have to demonstrate a body of work to become a villain. And he hasn't done that yet. He's not built up the rap sheet necessary to become a true villain.

This is a subjective assessment of Brooks' career trajectory as a heel.
Win
MaxMax

Joel Embiid will play in the next series despite his knee injury

He'll be ready to go. I know Docs have given the whole 50-50 that he's gonna play. [Doc Rivers is saying] he's not gonna play. [I'm saying] he's gonna fucking play.

Embiid missed Game 1 of the Celtics series but returned for Game 2.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

You cannot win high-level basketball with Spencer Dinwiddie as a focal point

If you actually play with [Spencer Dinwiddie], you realize like, this dude, we cannot win with this guy.

The Nets were swept in the series with Dinwiddie as a primary option.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Kawhi Leonard and Paul George pairing is in the running for biggest bust of a dream pairing ever

The Clippers dream team is, they're in the running for like biggest bust of a dream pairing ever. Right?

The duo eventually split in 2024 (George to Sixers) without ever reaching an NBA Finals.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Chris Paul's career will be a failure if he doesn't win a title this year

Chris Paul looks fantastic and it would be an utter disappointment if he didn't win a championship this year. Like complete, complete career defining disappointment... he's a 'Yeah but' guy at that point.

The Suns lost to the Nuggets in the second round, and Paul still lacks a championship.
Win
HankHank

The Celtics' loss to the Hawks was just a wake-up call, they are fine

It was a good wake up call. They can't play defense like that to win in the playoffs. They got, you know, it was a wake up call. They, and now they're good back on track.

The Celtics won the series in 6 games.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Chris Webber's timeout is the ultimate 'ball don't lie' moment in sports history

The Chris Webber timeout thing... that fake timeout that didn't exist, that is maybe the ultimate 'ball don't lie' moment. Because Webber got the ball on the inbounds pass and he traveled, he clearly walked, the refs didn't call it. And then he goes down and does [the timeout]. That's number one.

This is a subjective evaluation of sports karma and historical moments.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Steph Curry is no longer underrated; he is now perfectly rated

There was a portion [where he was underrated]... recently when they missed the playoffs. But then I think last year was it. There's no one that underrates him anymore. Right now he's exactly correctly rated. Perfect. He's the perfect rated right now.

Subjective opinion on public perception and player legacy.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Draymond Green is on another level defensively and changes games more than people realize

I don't think, because he gets talked about for all the other shit... sometimes we forget how, just how game changing he is defensively and his passing.

Subjective appreciation of a player's skill set.
Win
HankHank

You should bet every NHL playoff game to go into overtime

I hope there's people listening that listen to me. I didn't listen to myself. But if you bet it [overtime], it cashed a lot. So I hope people listened and bet it.

The 2023 playoffs did see an unusually high number of overtime games in the first round.
Loss
MemesMemes

The Islanders will win three games in a row to take the series from the Hurricanes

Win on Tuesday. Win on Thursday. Win on Saturday... blowouts happen all the time in the playoffs... we'll just do it.

The Islanders lost the series 4-2 to the Hurricanes.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Liver knockouts are the best type of knockout in combat sports

There was also a sick, sick liver knockout. Which is my favorite type of knockout. It is the best. I love to just watch YouTube compilations of liver knockouts because... you get hit in the stomach and then you take two steps back and then it's just debilitating pain that just paralyzes you.

Purely a matter of personal preference.
Win
Peter SchragerPeter Schrager

Bryce Young is 90% likely to be the #1 pick for the Panthers

90% I would say right now as we record this, yes he's a panther, but crazy stuff does happen... but as of right now, Bryce Young's a panther.

Bryce Young was indeed drafted #1 overall by the Panthers.
Loss
Peter SchragerPeter Schrager

The Texans might draft Tyree Wilson over Will Anderson at #2

The four down defensive lineman is Tyree Wilson, that's the guy. And the highest paid defensive line coach in the league is this guy Chris Kociurek... he's a Texas Tech guy. And he would know Tyree Wilson... I'm not just saying because one guy went to Alabama [Anderson], they're taking Will Anderson.

The Texans drafted Will Anderson at #2 (after drafting C.J. Stroud). Tyree Wilson went #7.
Win
Peter SchragerPeter Schrager

Jalen Carter will not fall out of the top 10 in the draft

I'd be shocked, shocked if Jalen Carter fell out of the top 10. The Seahawks at five, Jalen Carter's a perfect fit... You go right down to the Eagles at 10.

Carter was drafted 9th overall by the Philadelphia Eagles.
Loss
Peter SchragerPeter Schrager

The Vikings are a team to watch for trading up to draft a quarterback for the future

Another team that I would keep an eye on... Kirk Cousins' contract is done after this year... if the Vikings are looking for the future and one of these guys starts slipping past 10, past 11, past 12... maybe they move up and they go and make a move and get one of them. I wouldn't be shocked with that.

The Vikings did not trade up for a QB in 2023; they stayed at 23 and drafted WR Jordan Addison.
Win
Peter SchragerPeter Schrager

Either Jaxon Smith-Njigba or Jordan Addison will be the first wide receiver off the board

Stone cold lock first wide receiver off the board, him [Jaxon Smith-Njigba] or [Jordan] Addison. The wide receiver class... there are no blue chips. There are no top 10 picks. It is a different deal than last year where there was like six names that there was a run on them.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba was the first WR taken at pick 20, followed by Quentin Johnston and Jordan Addison.
Win
Peter SchragerPeter Schrager

Both Bijan Robinson and Jahmyr Gibbs will be first-round picks

I've heard [Bijan] Robinson and [Jahmyr] Gibbs, the running back from Alabama, are both first round picks. I just don't know where they're gonna go. And that's kind of the fun of it. But yeah, I think anywhere from six to 15 for Bijan Robinson.

Robinson went 8th (Falcons) and Gibbs went 12th (Lions), both comfortably in the first round.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Five quarterbacks will be selected in the first round of the 2023 NFL Draft

Five quarterbacks will go in the first round. Can I say that confidently? ... [The league] is now, three of the last five years, there'll be five quarterbacks drafted in the first round.

Only three QBs went in the first round (Young, Stroud, Richardson). Will Levis fell to the second round and Hendon Hooker fell to the third.

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