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Take Slip·May 16, 2025
#PMT-2025-0516-942
Randy MossRandy Moss

The Triple Crown schedule must be adjusted as trainers will no longer run horses on two weeks' rest

The Preakness is a classic... but they think it is counterproductive to bring [Mystik Dan] back in just two weeks... It's gonna happen more and more frequently in the future until such time as the Triple Crown races become further apart on the calendar.

Discussions about extending the Triple Crown schedule are ongoing in the industry, but no official change has been made yet.
Loss
Take Slip·May 16, 2025
#PMT-2025-0516-943
Randy MossRandy Moss

Clever Again is a strong play to beat the favorite Mystik Dan in the Preakness

There's another horse in the race called Clever Again, trained by Steve Asmussen... he's got speed. He's coming off a really strong race. He's had plenty of rest... I think to take a shot against [Mystik Dan] on the theory that [Mystik Dan] might not perform quite as well in the Preakness as he did in the Derby.

Seize the Grey won the 2024 Preakness. Clever Again did not win.
Loss
Take Slip·May 2, 2025
#PMT-2025-0502-12392
Randy MossRandy Moss

Fierceness is two to three lengths better than any other horse in the Kentucky Derby field

I think [Fierceness] is two to three lengths better than any other horse right now in the field... I think if he's ridden properly, I think [Fierceness]'s, you know, clearly, clearly the horse to beat.

Fierceness was the heavy favorite but finished 15th in the 2024 Kentucky Derby.
Win
Take Slip·May 2, 2025
#PMT-2025-0502-12394
Randy MossRandy Moss

A prime Secretariat could not win a race with a 235-pound Big Cat in the saddle

No shot, Big Cat, no shot. I'm sorry to tell you that. [You would finish] probably dead last. Even if you were an accomplished equestrian, at that weight riding Secretariat? No. He'd be up the track.

Thoroughbreds carry ~120 lbs; 235 lbs would be a massive disadvantage that physics supports as race-ending.
Push
Take Slip·May 3, 2024
#PMT-2024-0503-9618
Randy MossRandy Moss

Forever Young has travel and track concerns heading into the Derby

Forever Young is the most accomplished Japanese horse that's ever come over here... but I've got two concerns... the travel bothered him... the other thing, the trainer seems to be borderline obsessive about keeping this horse out of this kickback spray in his face.

Forever Young actually ran very well, finishing 3rd in a photo finish, suggesting the travel concerns were minimal.
Win
Take Slip·May 19, 2023
#PMT-2023-0519-16370
Randy MossRandy Moss

National Treasure will win the Preakness Stakes

I'll take National Treasure. I think he's gonna control the pace... to me that gives him the edge.

National Treasure won the 2023 Preakness Stakes.
Void
Take Slip·May 5, 2023
#PMT-2023-0505-6092
Christian HornerChristian Horner

The F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix will be the biggest sporting event in the world in 2023

I think it's gonna be the biggest sporting event globally this year. I really do. I think that the interest and the hype around that race, I mean, a Saturday night race down the strip in Vegas, who doesn't wanna be there?

The inaugural Las Vegas GP was a massive financial and viewership success, though 'biggest globally' is subjective compared to the Super Bowl or Champions League final.
Void
Take Slip·Apr 3, 2023
#PMT-2023-0403-6343
Bobby HurleyBobby Hurley

Forte will be the Kentucky Derby favorite and has a great chance to win

I love Forte. I've watched Forte a few times... I think he'll be the Kentucky Derby favorite, right? Yeah, yeah, yeah. I mean, he's gotta win today. But yeah, I got a good feeling about Forte. Yeah. That's, that's my pick.

Forte was the betting favorite but was a late scratch on race day (May 6, 2023).
Void
Take Slip·Aug 26, 2022
#PMT-2022-0826-14223
Big CatBig Cat

McLaren is dead to me for dumping Daniel Ricciardo

Danny Ricciardo got dumped by McLaren. McLaren is dead to me now. I hate them. I always hated them, but now I really hate them. Kind of fucked up.

This is a personal subjective opinion on his fandom.
Void
Take Slip·Jul 18, 2022
#PMT-2022-0718-15914
Frankie MunizFrankie Muniz

IndyCar has a better pool of drivers than Formula 1 because of car parity

I would say the best series of drivers, in my opinion, and this might get me in trouble, is IndyCar. Because there's 24 guys who race every week and all 24 of them could win... Where in Formula 1, it really is contingent upon what car you're in.

The relative skill of drivers across different disciplines is an ongoing debate and cannot be definitively proven.
Win
Take Slip·May 20, 2022
#PMT-2022-0520-3099
Randy MossRandy Moss

Early Voting has a rest advantage that could challenge Epicenter in the Preakness

I agree with you. I think that [Epicenter] stands out in the field on paper, but Early Voting would have an edge he'll he'll probably set the pace. Epicenter should be right behind him. And Early Voting does have the edge of rest having not run since the Wood Memorial. So that will help his chances.

Early Voting won the 2022 Preakness Stakes, beating Epicenter.
Void
Take Slip·May 9, 2022
#PMT-2022-0509-6250
Big CatBig Cat

Rich Strike's 80-1 win saves the sport of horse racing

Wouldn't it be perfect if you have an 80 to one a shot that like everyone's going to look at and be like $30,000, we could have bought this horse. I guarantee everyone was saying that after. I think they're gonna, if there is something wrong here, they're just going to sweep it under the rug because it's the greatest story ever. So it's going to save horse racing this year.

A single race outcome's ability to 'save' a sport is inherently subjective.
Loss
Take Slip·May 6, 2022
#PMT-2022-0506-12064
Randy MossRandy Moss

The Japanese horse Crown Pride is a legitimate threat in the Kentucky Derby

Every day in the last two weeks, big cat, it is looking more and more possible... He has been sensational here in Churchill Downs. And this morning he had a workout... everyone was like, holy crap, did you see that Japanese horse work this morning? I mean, the horse looks great.

Crown Pride finished 13th in the 2022 Kentucky Derby.
Win
Take Slip·Jul 19, 2021
#PMT-2021-0719-454
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Max Verstappen is currently the best driver in the world

He's [Max Verstappen] the best in the sport right now. All time salty Instagram post after... but right now he's number one... Max Verstappen is the best racecar driver right the second.

Verstappen went on to win the 2021 World Championship, though in controversial fashion.
Void
Take Slip·Jul 19, 2021
#PMT-2021-0719-455
Big CatBig Cat

The crash between Lewis Hamilton and Max Verstappen was just a 'racing incident'

I actually took Lewis Hamilton's side. I thought that he—Robbins racing. They call it a racing incident... Like a bang-bang targeting call that isn't targeting... football incident. Let's keep playing. My whole thing is, I can't get up for the F1 races.

F1 stewards actually gave Hamilton a 10-second penalty for the incident, but many fans and analysts still debated if it was just a typical racing clash.
Push
Take Slip·Jun 28, 2021
#PMT-2021-0628-4292
Big CatBig Cat

Ferrari is going to be awesome in F1 next year due to new regulations

I heard on the street that Ferrari's going to be awesome. Oh, because of the new regulations or some shit. So we'll get in now, and then we look like geniuses. Just saying. That might just be big Ferrari, though.

PredictionRacingMediumSarcastic
Ferrari was indeed much better in 2022, winning multiple races early in the season and finishing 2nd in the Constructors' Championship, though they eventually fell behind Red Bull.
Void
#PMT-2021-0621-17945
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

F1 cars are too soft and need to be louder.

I think the cars are too loud. [Wait, no] make them a little bit softer or make them just really fucking loud... the cars are too soft. They're basically racing toy cars. It's the pussification of America, of Europe.

The 'loudness' of modern F1 cars has been a major point of debate among traditional fans since the 2014 engine change.
Win
Take Slip·May 21, 2021
#PMT-2021-0521-4643
Big CatBig Cat

Max Verstappen will eventually be the F1 World Champion

Max Verstappen is going to be world champion. That's what everyone says. I believe it as well.

Max Verstappen won the F1 World Championship in 2021 (and several years following).
Void
Take Slip·May 21, 2021
#PMT-2021-0521-4644
Christian HornerChristian Horner

F1 teammates in Europe generally hate each other because they are each other's biggest career threat

Call a teammate in Europe, they fucking hate each other. Because it's the one guy that's going to kill his career. So they play team, but the reality is they both want to beat each other.

This is a subjective claim from a team principal with decades of experience; it's considered an industry standard view in F1.
Void
Take Slip·May 14, 2021
#PMT-2021-0514-5085
Randy MossRandy Moss

Jockey changes among elite riders make zero difference in major races

When you're betting and you get into a race like the Kentucky Derby or the Preakness, the jockeys involved are all so good and so competent that the difference between jockey A and jockey B, jockey B and jockey C is negligible... just ignore the rider and focus on the abilities of the horse.

This is a fundamental handicapping philosophy that can't be objectively proven 'right' or 'wrong' but is a professional stance.
Void
Take Slip·Apr 30, 2021
#PMT-2021-0430-9868
Randy MossRandy Moss

Bob Baffert is the most successful horse trainer of all time

When Bob retires, I think he's in his late 60s, but he's going strong. He'll be the most successful horse trainer of all time.

Baffert holds the record for most Triple Crown race wins, though his legacy has been complicated by drug violations.
Loss
Take Slip·Apr 30, 2021
#PMT-2021-0430-9869
Randy MossRandy Moss

The #1 post position at the Kentucky Derby is not a disadvantage

There's this bs out there that's been out there for years that the number one post position is this horrible disadvantage and it's not... the advantage of saving ground being on the inside around the turns makes the horse run better than his odds would indicate.

Known Agenda, who ran from the #1 hole in 2021, finished 9th.
Loss
Take Slip·Apr 30, 2021
#PMT-2021-0430-9871
Randy MossRandy Moss

Bet on Endorsed in the 10th race at Churchill Downs on Saturday

There is a horse running Saturday in the 10th race... His name is Endorsed and I will endorse betting on Endorsed... I think the horse is an excellent play.

Endorsed finished 4th in the 2021 Churchill Downs Stakes.
Win
Take Slip·Jun 12, 2020
#PMT-2020-0612-16903
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

It is statistically more dangerous to be a spectator than a rider in the Tour de France

There have been 27 spectators that have died and three cyclists that have died [in the Tour de France]. So it's more dangerous to not ride in the Tour de France than it is to ride.

Historical data supports that spectator deaths (often from vehicles in the caravan) have outnumbered rider deaths in the Tour's history.
Win
Take Slip·May 22, 2020
#PMT-2020-0522-11888
Denny HamlinDenny Hamlin

iRacing takes the same skill set as real life racing

The thing is, is in iRacing, it takes the same skill set to be good in iRacing as it does in real life, where other sports like a football player doesn't mean he's going to be a good Madden player. ... You're using the same controls.

Many professional drivers use simulators for practice, and 'sim-to-pro' pipelines exist in racing, unlike Madden or FIFA.
Win
#PMT-2019-0508-5685
Big CatBig Cat

Country House skipping the Preakness is a smart move to protect his legacy

If I'm country house, if I'm that horse, I'd probably do the exact same thing. Because you're never going to top that. You are going out completely at the top of your game. You're a Kentucky Derby winner. And why would you ever try to follow that up?

Country House never raced again after the 2019 Derby due to various ailments, effectively ending his career at the peak as predicted.
Win
#PMT-2019-0506-6933
Big CatBig Cat

Maximum Security's disqualification from the Kentucky Derby was 100% the correct call

The actual change from Maximum Security getting kicked out of the race at the end, that was the correct call. 100%. You can't just drift in front of other horses. You have to give them a path.

Maximum Security was disqualified for interference, and despite appeals, the decision was upheld by racing commissions and courts.
Win
Take Slip·May 3, 2019
#PMT-2019-0503-10873
Randy MossRandy Moss

Bet against Bellafina in the Kentucky Oaks

She looks in those races in California... like a man against boys... [but] she doesn't look very good [at Churchill]. For a horse to have those negatives and to be the favorite, I think it's a good horse to bet against.

Bellafina finished 5th in the 2019 Kentucky Oaks, failing to live up to her favorite status.
Win
Take Slip·May 3, 2019
#PMT-2019-0503-10871
Randy MossRandy Moss

Maximum Security's Florida Derby win was 'phony' because he wasn't pressured

Let's make Maximum Security into the villain... there should be kind of an asterisk by his last win in the Florida Derby because the competition in that race just basically handed him the race... Everybody else just decided to take back, and all of a sudden this horse is just cruising.

Maximum Security finished first in the Kentucky Derby but was famously disqualified for interference, making the 'villain/asterisk' label quite prophetic.
Win
Take Slip·Feb 20, 2019
#PMT-2019-0220-5160
Michael JordanMichael Jordan

Denny Hamlin will win at least five NASCAR races in 2019

Hey, man, I'm proud of you, man. We bounced back after a tough year last year and started off right, so I expect at least five wins. [Hamlin]: That's the number for me. I put out there five and a half was the over-under.

Denny Hamlin won 6 races in the 2019 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series, hitting the 'at least five' mark.
Void
Take Slip·Feb 20, 2019
#PMT-2019-0220-5161
Denny HamlinDenny Hamlin

Fights are good for NASCAR and the league secretly loves them

Is it good for the sport? Absolutely. They secretly are high-fiving. You know, you don't want anyone to get hurt. They'll put out there that, you know, we don't like it. No way. It's like Dana White. They love it. Gets eyeballs.

NASCAR's marketing frequently uses footage of fights, supporting the idea that they value the drama and viewership they bring.
Loss
Take Slip·Jun 8, 2018
#PMT-2018-0608-8557
Randy MossRandy Moss

Justify may be running low on energy heading into the Belmont Stakes

In the Preakness, he wasn't quite as good as he was in the Kentucky Derby... Energy level might be getting a little bit low. He really needed that wire to come up when it did in the Preakness... How much he's got left in the tank is the big question.

Justify won the Belmont Stakes to secure the Triple Crown, proving he had enough in the tank.
Loss
Take Slip·Jun 8, 2018
#PMT-2018-0608-8558
Randy MossRandy Moss

Hofburg and Vino Rosso are the best horses to bet on to beat Justify

I think the two best horses to be betting on in this Belmont are Hofburg and Vino Rosso... Ten of the last 18 years, the Belmont has been won by horses that ran on Kentucky Derby weekend, skipped the Preakness, and waited for the Belmont to be rested.

Justify won the race. Hofburg finished 3rd and Vino Rosso finished 4th.
Loss
Take Slip·Jun 8, 2018
#PMT-2018-0608-8559
Randy MossRandy Moss

Gronkowski the horse does not have much of a chance in the Belmont Stakes

We talked to the trainer, and he doesn't even know what to expect... It's like he's been going up against Class A pitching, and now he's got to go against the Yankees. So you have no idea what to expect. Big, nice, good-looking horse. I don't think he has much of a chance.

Gronkowski actually finished a surprising 2nd in the Belmont Stakes, nearly pulling off the upset.
Win
Take Slip·May 4, 2018
#PMT-2018-0504-6552
Randy MossRandy Moss

The Curse of Apollo in the Kentucky Derby is absolute BS

To be honest with you, 2018, it's absolute BS. It should have gone up in flames six years ago with a horse named Bodie Meister... now this year there are two horses, Justify... and Magnum Moon... it matters not even a little bit.

Justify won the 2018 Kentucky Derby, becoming the first horse since 1882 to win without racing as a two-year-old, effectively ending the curse.
Loss
Take Slip·May 4, 2018
#PMT-2018-0504-6554
Randy MossRandy Moss

Midnight Bisou will win the Kentucky Oaks

I think the winner of the Oaks is going to be a horse named Midnight Bisou... She comes from behind, makes this electrifying move from off the pace.

Monomoy Girl won the 2018 Kentucky Oaks; Midnight Bisou finished third.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 22, 2017
#PMT-2017-1122-14916
Martin Truex JrMartin Truex Jr

LeBron James could never be a NASCAR driver because he is too tall

It'd never happen. Why? Because he couldn't even fit in the damn car. 5'11" is the perfect height. The tallest ever has been like 6'5". That's kind of max for the cars the way they're built.

The physical constraints of a NASCAR cockpit generally accommodate drivers up to 6'4" - 6'5". LeBron James is 6'9", making it physically impractical.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 3, 2017
#PMT-2017-1103-7452
Randy MossRandy Moss

Gun Runner has the best chance to beat Arrogate in the Breeders' Cup Classic

I think this is Gun Runner's race to lose... Gun Runner's got better, Arrogate seems to have gotten a little bit worse and I think this is Gun Runner's race to lose.

Gun Runner won the Breeders' Cup Classic on November 4, 2017.
Win
Take Slip·May 5, 2017
#PMT-2017-0505-19684
Randy MossRandy Moss

Classic Empire is bad value for the Kentucky Derby

He's going to be the favorite, and he might be the favorite, and he's not going to be worth the shorter price. [No bet on Classic Empire].

Classic Empire finished 4th in the 2017 Kentucky Derby, validating the 'no bet' advice as he didn't even hit the board for a win/place.
Loss
Take Slip·May 5, 2017
#PMT-2017-0505-19685
Randy MossRandy Moss

Hence is a strong value play at 20-1 for the Kentucky Derby

Whether it's muddy or whether it's not muddy, you want a horse that's got a good chance at a decent price. His name is Hence... He's going to be 20 to 1... Steve Asmussen has never won the Kentucky Derby, but he's one of the best trainers in America, and he's overdue.

Hence finished 11th in the 2017 Kentucky Derby.
Win
#PMT-2016-0801-14621
Big CatBig Cat

Nyquist the horse is officially finished

I'm going to say that Nyquist is finished. That horse is done. He's so finished that he's done.

Nyquist never won another race after the Kentucky Derby, eventually retiring later in 2016 due to injury.
Push
Take Slip·Jun 10, 2016
#PMT-2016-0610-18923
Randy MossRandy Moss

Destin is a better play to win the Belmont Stakes than Exaggerator

Destin, who ran in the Kentucky Derby, didn't have the best of trips... Todd Pletcher trains him. Now he gives him five weeks off, and he brings him back to the Belmont fresh. And I think that makes a horse like Destin a much better play than a horse like Exaggerator.

Destin lost by a nose to Creator. Exaggerator finished 11th. While Destin didn't win, Moss's 'better play' take was spot on as Destin nearly won while the favorite failed.
Win
Take Slip·May 20, 2016
#PMT-2016-0520-14084
Randy MossRandy Moss

Nyquist is not a slam dunk to win the Preakness due to weather

There's a probability that it's going to be a hellaciously rainy day on Saturday. [Nyquist] has never run in conditions like that before... Whereas Exaggerator, the horse that he beat in the Derby, has, and he won very impressively in conditions like that.

It rained heavily at Pimlico, and Exaggerator beat Nyquist, who finished third.
Loss
Take Slip·May 20, 2016
#PMT-2016-0520-14087
Randy MossRandy Moss

The horse Lani is a good play for third place in the Preakness

There is a horse that is going to be double digits that I think is set up to run pretty well here and is a good play for third behind the top two, and that would be the Japanese horse, Lani.

Lani finished 5th in the 2016 Preakness.
Push
Take Slip·May 6, 2016
#PMT-2016-0506-10287
Randy MossRandy Moss

Sudden Breaking News will be running faster than any other horse at the finish line

There's a horse... his name is Sudden Breaking News. I promise you, he may not win, he may not finish second, he may not finish third. But when the horses cross the finish line, he'll be running faster than any horse in the race.

Sudden Breaking News finished 5th and was indeed gaining ground late, but Nyquist won comfortably.