PMTPMT DB

Takes

Win
Take Slip·Jan 23, 2026·Picks
#PMT-2026-0123-5849
Big CatBig Cat

The Seahawks are primed to win the Super Bowl because they eliminated the 49ers

Seven of the last eight teams to eliminate the 49ers have gone on to win the Super Bowl. That's kind of crazy. ... The Seahawks are primed to win the Super Bowl 'cause they have eliminated the 49ers.

The trend mentioned is statistically real in the context of recent NFL seasons.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 16, 2026·Picks
#PMT-2026-0116-6991
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Drake May is the worst quarterback in the NFL when facing third-and-six.

Drake May is the worst quarterback in the NFL on third and sixth. And it's not close Since, since he got, where did you get this? Since he got into the league... He's 36th in the NFL... five for 18. 27%. The league average, I believe is 40.

PFT is citing a specific stat from 'Stat Hole'. Based on the 2025/2026 context of the show, this is presented as a true statistical ranking.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 16, 2026·Picks
#PMT-2026-0116-6996
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Matt Stafford is unreliable when protecting a lead in the second half.

Matt Stafford, when he has a lead at halftime, his record against the spread in the second half. The second half spread 35% of the time, he covers only 35%. Pretty bad.

This is a verifiable betting statistic regarding Stafford's career performance.
Open
Take Slip·Dec 5, 2025·Picks
#PMT-2025-1205-6225
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Joe Burrow has started eight games in the last year and is 8-0 as a starter

In the last 12 months, Joe Burrow has started... He is eight and oh as a starter in the last calendar year. Since this date, December 2nd, the last 367 days.

This fact claim relates to the fictional 2024-2025 Bengals season context.
Open
Take Slip·Dec 5, 2025·Picks
#PMT-2025-1205-6226
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Sam Darnold is 10-0 straight up in his career as a favorite of six points or more

Sam Darnold has been a favorite of six points or more 10 times as a starter in the NFL. He's 10 and oh straight up, eight and two against the spread in those games.

This is a verifiable fact claim in the context of Sam Darnold's career up to Dec 2025.
Open
Take Slip·Dec 5, 2025·Picks
#PMT-2025-1205-6227
Big CatBig Cat

The current Seahawks defense is playing better than the Legion of Boom did in any seven-game stretch

The Seahawks defense in terms of... a seven-game stretch, they have actually played better in a seven-game stretch this year than the best seven-game stretch of the Legion of Boom.

This is a statistical claim that would require comparing 2025 metrics to Legion of Boom peaks.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 17, 2025·Picks
#PMT-2025-1017-1229
Dianna RussiniDianna Russini

The Eagles are not currently trading AJ Brown

Right now, I will tell you 'cause it just was something that I was part of the last few hours. They they are not trading [AJ Brown].

This is direct reporting on a specific point in time.
Win
Take Slip·Sep 19, 2025·Picks
#PMT-2025-0919-15355
Big CatBig Cat

Jalen Hurts is a winner who doesn't care about anything but the final result

Jalen Hurts in games that he has started and finished. He's 18 and oh in his last 18 games that he started and finished... The, the Eagles. And he doesn't give a fuck about how they just keep winning.

The stat was accurate at the time of the recording for regular season games he completed.
Win
Take Slip·Sep 12, 2025·Picks
#PMT-2025-0912-18526
Big CatBig Cat

A Bengal tiger would kill a Jaguar in a fight every single time

I just looked at AI and a Bengal would kill a Jaguar like a hundred out of a hundred times. A Jaguar does have one of like the the fiercest bites in the animal kingdom. The problem is the Bengal outweighs the Jaguar by like 200 pounds.

Biological facts support that Bengal tigers are significantly larger and more powerful than Jaguars.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 17, 2025·Picks
#PMT-2025-0117-12181
Big CatBig Cat

Patrick Mahomes is basically lights out in the Divisional Round

He plays in this divisional round and he's basically just, he's, I mean he's undefeated. He lights out. That's just what happens. He is six and oh. He has 1,813 total yards, 16 touchdowns... zero interceptions.

Mahomes was 6-0 in divisional games prior to 2025. In the 2025 divisional round, the Chiefs beat the Texans, making him 7-0.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 20, 2024·Picks
#PMT-2024-1220-4841
Big CatBig Cat

Joe Mixon is a bust whenever he plays a top-12 rush defense

Kansas City has the seventh ranked rush defense, according to DVOA Joe Mixon rushing... Anytime he's had to play a top 12 rush defense... he has been bust. And if the Texans can't run the ball, I really don't like this offense.

In the game following this take, Mixon had 12 carries for only 36 yards (3.0 avg) against the Chiefs' elite run defense, confirming the trend.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 20, 2024·Picks
#PMT-2024-1220-4847
Big CatBig Cat

Any quarterback who loses their first Super Bowl appearance never returns to the big game

The curse of Jim Kelly is a curse that just hit the internet... essentially it's any quarterback that goes to a Super Bowl and loses their first one never goes back to the Super Bowl. Jalen Hurts did that... Stan Humphreys, Neil O'Donnell, drew Bledsoe... Joe Burrow. Jalen Hurts. Brock Purdy.

Historically, since Jim Kelly, this trend has held remarkably steady for almost all QBs on the list.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 15, 2024·Picks
#PMT-2024-1115-11474
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The 49ers' offense is the second best in the NFL even without Christian McCaffrey

The 49ers are getting better on offense. So their offense without Christian McCaffrey for most of the season, they are plus 1.4 net yards per play, which is the second best offense in the NFL.

The 49ers consistently ranked top 5 in yards per play throughout the 2024 season.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 15, 2024·Picks
#PMT-2024-1115-11478
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Chargers' defense is legitimately elite

The Chargers are the fourth team in the last 40 years to hold opponents under 21 points in their first nine games of the season. Only been done four times. Defense is legit. Legit.

The stat is accurate, and the Chargers defense remained the #1 scoring defense deep into the 2024 season.
Loss
Take Slip·Nov 8, 2024·Picks
#PMT-2024-1108-9178
MemesMemes

Aaron Rodgers is currently top five in every major passing statistical category

Aaron Rodgers still top five in everything right now... touchdowns top five... yards top five... [I must have looked at it before they updated it].

At the time of the claim, Rodgers was not top 5 in yards, touchdowns, completion percentage, or QBR.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 15, 2023·Picks
#PMT-2023-1215-11067
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Birds stand facing into the wind because they like 'adversity'

Did you know that? You can tell which way the wind is blowing by how birds are standing. Birds always stand facing into the wind. Oh, they like the adversity. They don't wanna get blown away too. Because if they, if the wind kind of gusts, then they just take off and fly away.

Fact ClaimLifeMildSarcastic
Birds do typically face into the wind to keep their feathers from being ruffled and for easier takeoff, though they don't do it for 'adversity'.
Loss
Take Slip·Sep 29, 2023·Picks
#PMT-2023-0929-6144
Big CatBig Cat

Jameis Winston is the greatest quarterback in Buccaneers history

Jameis Winston holds all the records for the Bucs. He holds the yards record, the touchdowns record, the completions record. He's the greatest quarterback in Bucs history.

Statistically he holds several franchise records, but Tom Brady won a Super Bowl with the franchise, making the 'greatest' claim logically incorrect.
Void
Take Slip·Sep 22, 2023·Picks
#PMT-2023-0922-9462
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Patriots' lighthouse is not a 'real' lighthouse because it's not visible from a federal body of water

It's not a lighthouse if it's not visible from a federal body of water... It's a fucked up stupid lighthouse. They call it a non-traditional lighthouse. A.k.a. not a lighthouse.

The Coast Guard definition PFT cites is technically for 'federal aids to navigation.' Whether the public considers it a 'lighthouse' is subjective.
Win
Take Slip·Sep 15, 2023·Picks
#PMT-2023-0915-19718
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The torch on the Statue of Liberty makes it the biggest lighthouse in America

It's actually the second biggest lighthouse in America. The Statue of Liberty is the biggest lighthouse. It was used as a lighthouse. You fucking moron. It's not a lighthouse American history. It was used as a lighthouse. There's a light at the top of that thing. It's the torch. The torch. It's the most famous torch in America.

The Statue of Liberty was officially a lighthouse from 1886 to 1902, though it is no longer one.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 13, 2023·Picks
#PMT-2023-0113-14424
MemesMemes

Tom Brady has won the Super Bowl every other year since 2013

Tom Brady's won the Super Bowl every other year since 2013. [2014, 2016, 2018, 2020].

This was a correct statement of fact about past performance, though the pattern did not continue in 2022/23.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 30, 2022·Picks
#PMT-2022-1230-20075
Big CatBig Cat

Eliminated teams playing teams that need to win in the final weeks are a 63% ATS betting lock

The eliminated teams playing teams that need to win over the final two weeks of this season are 63% against the spread since 1990. So essentially any team that needs to win and you're playing a dead dog team, it just always, it, it, it usually works out that the dead dog team's a little livelier than people realize.

This is a historical stat claim that is verifiable and accurate within the sports betting community.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 4, 2022·Picks
#PMT-2022-1104-546
Big CatBig Cat

Teams that play the Panthers lose their following game

Do you know that teams that play the Panthers the next week, they're 0-7. Every team that's played the Panthers the following week, they lose their next game... You either you get beaten up by them and you're still sore going to the next game or they're just so bad that you think that this is what NFL football is like.

The Falcons played the Panthers in Week 8 and played the Chargers in Week 9. The Falcons lost to the Chargers, making the streak 0-8.
Push
Take Slip·Oct 21, 2022·Picks
#PMT-2022-1021-9818
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Jaguars have never had a good tight end in their franchise history

I don't think the Jaguars have ever had a good tight end ever. Yeah. Like Mercedes Lewis. Lewis is the only one I could think of. But when he was on the Jaguars, I think he was just mostly a blocking tight end... The Jaguars have never had a good tight end ever.

Marcedes Lewis had 700 yards and 10 TDs in 2010, which constitutes a 'good' season, though the overall history is indeed thin.
Loss
Take Slip·Sep 30, 2022·Picks
#PMT-2022-0930-2567
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Ravens purple jerseys are a brighter shade this season

I have noticed one thing about the Ravens, I think, and I don't think this is just me being weird about it. Their jerseys are brighter this year. Their purple jerseys. I think it's actually a completely different purple.

There was no official change to the Ravens' primary purple Pantone color for the 2022 season, though lighting on broadcasts can vary.
Win
Take Slip·Sep 23, 2022·Picks
#PMT-2022-0923-4697
Big CatBig Cat

Betting the under on NFL prime-time games is a proven winning strategy

My under I'm gonna do the Broncos Niners under 44 and a half. Tommy gave us a stat. It was something like the last 45 prime time games, it's 30 and 15 to the under. And I was like, oh, that's why I lose all my money. So I'm done. I'm gonna try to ride the wave now.

The 2022 season was historically low-scoring, and prime-time unders were a massive winner (nearly 60% hit rate). The specific game (Broncos-Niners) finished 11-10, easily hitting the under.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 17, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-1217-13124
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Josh Allen is the quarterback who gets screwed over most by the referees

Number one quarterback in the entire league [for coverage penalties bailing them out]... It's Aaron Rogers by a long shot. Last place in the entirely... Josh Allen it's Josh Allen gets fucked more than any other quarterback in the NFL. And Aaron Rogers gets bailed out all the time.

The stat itself was accurate for that specific timeframe in the 2021 season.
Void
Take Slip·Nov 12, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-1112-5481
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The NFL covered up Aaron Rodgers ignoring COVID protocols for ratings

I'm pretty sure that the NFL, according to their own rules, should have suspended Aaron Rodgers. Should have fined him. And they're covering up the fact that he just ignored all the protocols because he's Aaron Rodgers and the rules don't apply to him. And they're like, 'You know what? We could have Aaron Rodgers sit out for multiple weeks, but I really like ratings.'

While the NFL did fine Rodgers, the claim of a 'cover up' for ratings is a subjective interpretation of league business, though the fine was notably small.
Void
Take Slip·Sep 24, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-0924-828
Billy FootballBilly Football

Zach Wilson's interceptions were caused by a groin injury.

The groin really impacts your ability to drive your hips into throws. Those last two interceptions were both just short arms, short throws that got picked off.

Wilson was dealing with various ailments, but attributing specific picks to a groin injury is speculative.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 22, 2021·Picks
#PMT-2021-0122-755
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The NFL will let Patrick Mahomes play in the AFC Championship regardless of his concussion status

I forgot that Roger Goodell was in charge of the NFL. Yeah. You thought for a second that we actually cared about player safety. Roger Goodell probably would delay the game by week... just to make Patrick Mahomes play... their star player is going to play and they'll find any way to spin it that it wasn't a concussion.

Fact ClaimFootballHotSarcastic
Mahomes was cleared from concussion protocol on the Friday before the game and played in the AFC Championship.
Loss
Take Slip·Nov 20, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-1120-12944
Billy FootballBilly Football

A parlay strategy involving five underdogs has a 50% likelihood of profit

I plugged in 32 outcomes, and then once each outcome happens, you see how much money you stand on winning in that moment... this actually has a 50% likelihood of being positive.

Standard gambling math shows that multi-leg parlays are negative expected value bets. Billy's specific formula was widely debunked by listeners following the episode.
Win
Take Slip·Mar 30, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-0330-14759
Billy FootballBilly Football

Bears in zoos do not hibernate because they have constant access to food and warmth

Animals in zoos do not hibernate. Bears in zoos don't hibernate if they have plenty of food and water and warmth. They don't hibernate. Hibernation is only in a state of cold.

This is scientifically accurate; zoo bears typically remain active year-round if conditions are favorable.
Push
Take Slip·Mar 30, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-0330-14760
Billy FootballBilly Football

Bears recycle their urine and feces into carbohydrates while they hibernate

They recycle their poop and pee while they hibernate... we don't poop and they turn it into more carbohydrates while they hibernate.

Bears do recycle urea back into proteins (not exactly carbohydrates) to maintain muscle mass while hibernating, and they do not defecate or urinate.
Loss
Take Slip·Jan 24, 2020·Picks
#PMT-2020-0124-4145
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I am a better kicker than the kickers at Alabama

Alabama could do a lot worse. Dude, I'm a better kicker than Alabama. Saban would have another chip if he had you as a kicker. That's a fact.

Alabama had significant kicking struggles around this time, but PFT is not a D1-caliber athlete.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 13, 2019·Picks
#PMT-2019-1213-17881
Big CatBig Cat

Kirk Cousins cannot win games in California

Cousins can't play on the Left Coast though. He is something like 0-8 in California.

The Vikings beat the Chargers 39-10 in Carson, CA, just two days after this episode, ending his winless streak in the state.
Loss
Take Slip·Nov 8, 2019·Picks
#PMT-2019-1108-1167
HankHank

Baker Mayfield has a broken hand

Baker's hand might be broken. That's why he's not playing so well... Are you reporting that Baker Mayfield might have a broken hand? From sources.

Fact ClaimFootballHotSarcastic
Mayfield did suffer a hand injury on Dec 1, 2019, later in the season, but there was no broken hand at the time of this episode (Nov 8).
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 21, 2018·Picks
#PMT-2018-1221-16546
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The 2018 Bears defense is statistically better in every category than the 1985 Bears

What I found was this team [2018 Bears] is statistically better in every single defensive category than the 1985 Chicago Bears. This is the best defensive team that Chicago has ever seen.

While the 2018 Bears were the #1 defense in several categories, the 1985 Bears are widely considered superior in points allowed per game and other advanced metrics when adjusted for era. The '85 team allowed 12.4 PPG; the 2018 team allowed 17.7 PPG.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 14, 2018·Picks
#PMT-2018-1214-18971
Big CatBig Cat

The Dolphins always lose the week after beating the Patriots

this game will be interesting because the Dolphins, after a win against the Patriots, they stink, historically. Last three games, three times they beat the Patriots. That's their Super Bowl. 24-16, they lost. 29-10, they lost. 19-0, they lost.

The Dolphins did indeed lose their next game after beating the Patriots, falling 41-17 to the Vikings.
Win
Take Slip·Mar 26, 2018·Picks
#PMT-2018-0326-19399
Big CatBig Cat

I bet $100 on the Washington Capitals to win the Stanley Cup

I had Hank get us a future. Me, Bubba, and Hank each put in $100. We got a future... The Washington Capitals outright winner... We'll win $4,800 if the Caps win.

The Washington Capitals won the 2018 Stanley Cup.