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Takes

Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Packers will cover +4 against the Dolphins and make the playoff race interesting

My underdog is going to be the Green Bay Packers plus four. ... My spidey sense is saying the Packers are gonna make these things, make this stretcher run interesting.

The Packers beat the Dolphins 26-20 on Christmas Day.
Loss
HankHank

The Saints and Browns will go over the 32-point total despite historically bad weather

I'm going lowest to the low. Ground Saints 32. Deshaun Watson unders have been the easiest bet since he started three, three easy unders. He's due for an over. And weather doesn't matter.

The final score was 17-10 (27 points), meaning the game went under.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Jared Goff will win his first career game in cold weather against the Panthers

Jared Goff has never won a cold game. ... And I think this is the week that he does it. I think Jared slowly become like a Detroit guy.

The Lions lost to the Panthers 37-23 in Charlotte.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I will give Billy $10,000 if the Buccaneers beat the Cardinals 14 or 15 to 12 exactly

I will give you $10,000 if that's what happens in this case... 14 or 15 to 12 Bucks. Beat the Cardinals. Yes. For $20,000. Christmas.

The Buccaneers beat the Cardinals 19-16 in OT.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Giants defense will allow a big explosive run to Dalvin Cook

We should have Dalvin Cook in our Mount Rushmore because the Giants defense gives up big explosive runs.

Dalvin Cook's longest run in that game was 13 yards; he did not have an 'explosive' run per typical definition (20+ yards).
Void
Tom FornelliTom Fornelli

Michael Penix Jr. has a stronger arm than Josh Allen

Michael Penix was convinced to come back to Washington... he's not Josh Allen as far as total overall skillset as far as the size. But as far as arm strength is concerned, this kid might have a stronger arm than Josh Allen. ... you can't believe a human is able to throw a football that hard on a line like that.

This is a matter of biomechanics and scouting opinion, though Josh Allen's arm strength is legendary in the NFL.
Win
Tom FornelliTom Fornelli

Ohio State is being written off as a bad team prematurely after the Michigan loss

I think that there's been a large overreaction to Ohio State losing to Michigan. I think that Ohio State suddenly sucks in the mind of a lot of people because they lost to Michigan two years in a row. ... I think the Buckeyes are still very good. They could win this game [against Georgia].

Ohio State lost 42-41 to Georgia in a game that came down to a missed field goal, proving they were indeed very competitive.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Ryan Day is effectively on the hot seat if Ohio State gets blown out by Georgia

I think this game's really important for Ryan Day. ... I don't think they have to win it, but I think if they get blown out after coming off the Michigan [loss]... he's kind on the hot seat now. ... You can't lose to Michigan if you're the Ohio State coach. Not anymore.

Day remained the coach after a narrow loss to Georgia, though pressure intensified further in 2023 after another loss to Michigan.
Win
Tom FornelliTom Fornelli

The Tulane vs. USC game is a lock to go over the point total

My favorite bet, honestly, the over in Tulane USC. ... Way too low. They're gonna get in seventies for this one.

Tulane won 46-45, for a total of 91 points, easily clearing the total in the low 60s.
Push
Big CatBig Cat

I am going to lose more weight than you can imagine after football season

I'm gonna lose so much fat fast. ... I'm just saying I'm gonna lose more weight than you could even imagine. ... Once football's over, I'm back.

Big Cat's weight fluctuates annually with his 'diet season' and 'football season' cycle, but he rarely loses 'more than you can imagine.'
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Packers are not going to run the table and make the playoffs

I promise you. I promise They've got a really tough schedule. Yeah, they, they've got the Dolphins. They've got the Lions... I'm just, this guy's [Rodgers] never, yeah, Hank just, Hank just looked up. He's like, Ooh, they could win all those guys. Nah.

The Packers won their next four games but lost to the Lions in Week 18, missing the playoffs. PFT was correct that they would not run the table.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Trevor Lawrence would be drafted ahead of Justin Fields to start a franchise today

I I think Trevor Lawrence right now, I I'm being honest, would be ahead of him [Justin Fields]. I'm just wondering how high up Trevor Lawrence would be... I do think that that Trevor Lawrence is a, has shown more this year in terms of passing and like how much better he's gotten versus Justin Fields.

Subjective value judgment, though Lawrence's playoff success and market value generally remained higher than Fields' over the following year.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I would draft Justin Fields over Trevor Lawrence to start a franchise today.

I actually do disagree with you [Big Cat] though. I would take Justin Fields over Trevor Lawrence. Because I think that you can get better as a passer in the NFL. We've seen a couple guys do it and weapons around him. It's possible if you have good coaching around you, you've got good weapons, you can improve. ... I would rather have Justin Fields and Trevor Lawrence.

This remains a subjective debate, though Lawrence has achieved more playoff success while Fields has since been traded to the Steelers.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Packers will lose to the Dolphins on Christmas Day.

The Packers are in the primed to make a run position. So like if they go down to Miami, they win this game, then Yeah. Watch out the Packers. They might run the table. I don't think they're gonna win this game.

The Packers defeated the Dolphins 26-20 on Christmas Day 2022.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Jalen Hurts would be playing against the Cowboys if Dallas hadn't lost to the Jaguars.

I do kind of think that it was... if the Cowboys hadn't lost the Jaguars, I think Jalen Hurts would be playing in this game. That's what I feel like it's, it's one of those situations why potentially having to maybe play them a third time in the playoffs. Why give them anything, take care of business against the Saints the week after.

This is a counterfactual that cannot be verified, though Hurts did return for Week 18 to clinch the seed.
Win
MaxMax

Jalen Hurts' shoulder injury will only sideline him for one to three weeks

It's a sprained shoulder. People sprain their shoulders all the time. What's the one to three weeks? One to three weeks. It's one to three weeks. Take the three weeks, give you the fourth. Take the bye from the first week of the playoffs.

Hurts missed two games (Dec 24 and Jan 1) and returned for the regular season finale on Jan 8, exactly within the 3-week window.
Void
MaxMax

Jalen Hurts is elite because of his running ability, and people shouldn't complain when he gets hurt doing it.

I'm sick of people online getting all pissed off that Jalen Hurts runs that. Because that's the number one thing is that, oh, this is what happens when you have running quarterback. They're just gonna get hurt. ... That's what makes Jalen Hurts good. Jalen Hurts is good because he can throw the ball and because he can run. And if you don't run then you don't get the good parts with Jalen Hurts.

Subjective philosophy on player usage and risk management.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I am fading the Chiefs until Chiefaholic is released from prison.

Chief's Twitter went into a panic trying to find out where Chiefaholic was. ... stopped in Bixby, Oklahoma real quick as one does, robbed the bank, got caught, and now he's in, I believe federal prison awaiting sentencing. ... I plan on fading the chiefs until they release Chiefaholic from prison.

PredictionFootballHotSarcastic
The Chiefs went on to win the Super Bowl that same season despite their superfan being in prison.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Charlie Woods could win the Masters right now if they let him in

Charlie Woods could win the Masters right now if you wanted to. Is there a way that if they let him in, he could win it? ... Charlie Woods is gonna be the greatest. He's next up. We've always said that on this podcast. He is now he's him.

Charlie Woods is a talented junior golfer, but at 13-14 years old, he would not be competitive in a professional major field.
Open
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Charlie Woods will win at least two major championships in his career.

Will Charlie Woods win a major? I would say yes. Hammer absolutely. Multiple over one and a half. Yeah. Majors over for Charlie Woods. ... Just bet on him to be better than Tiger. Charlie Woods's gonna be the greatest.

Charlie Woods is still a youth golfer; this will take over a decade to resolve.
Win
Andrew WhitworthAndrew Whitworth

Every offensive lineman's job is to be a world-class holder

If you're an offensive lineman, you gotta become a world-class holder. Yeah. That's your job. Yeah, right. We're basically really high paid bouncers. That's, that's literally all we are. You're, you're figure out how to hold people.

This is a widely acknowledged 'open secret' among NFL players and coaches regarding technical proficiency at the position.
Win
Andrew WhitworthAndrew Whitworth

The Detroit Lions' offensive line is one of the best in the NFL and doesn't get enough credit

The Lions group, I mean Yeah. You know, people keep talking about, you know, Jared Goff's playing his best and the weapons they have offensively... but you also just played a Jets defense that's been getting after people and they didn't touch Jared. I mean, no Sacks, you know, barely hit him at all. That group doesn't get talked about enough, in my opinion, just because of the team's record.

The 2022-2023 Lions O-line was consistently ranked in the top 5-10 by PFF and other metrics.
Void
Andrew WhitworthAndrew Whitworth

Zach Wilson failed as a leader by not taking accountability for his poor performance against the Patriots.

You look at the Zach Wilson situation... he didn't feel like, 'Hey dude, could you not feel this entire locker room feels like, Hey man, you gotta play better for us.' And you missed a moment to like just, even if you don't agree with it, 'I just need to be better. Bottom line, I need to be better. And we can't leave the defense in that situation.' And that's really one of those moments where it's like you can't miss those as a leader.

Subjective leadership critique, though widely shared by the locker room and media at the time.
Win
Andrew WhitworthAndrew Whitworth

NFL players wake up feeling significantly better playing on grass versus turf

When I play on grass, there is a drastic difference really how I wake up the next day. Like just my body in general, like how I can work out, how I can train it. It's night and day different. ... The argument is I know that after I play a game on turf, I feel awful for three or four days. Your knees, your joints, your body, like, you just feel terrible.

This aligns with broader NFLPA sentiment and player polling regarding injury risk and recovery on artificial surfaces.
Void
CH
Chad Henne

Ryan Mallet's arm was so strong that it sounded like a 'shotgun' going off when he threw.

I remember the first day [Ryan Mallet] came in, I felt like I had a strong arm. He threw like a 10 yard out route, went right through the receiver's hands and like pelted the wall. Sounded like a shotgun went off. I was like, 'Geez, this kid's gonna be special.'

Mallet's arm strength was widely considered elite by scouts and peers, making this a well-supported claim.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Pissing in the kitchen sink is a reward for doing the dishes

I would say I'm still, probably two times a week I piss in my sink. ... Kitchen? What? No, that's what I finished doing the dishes late at night. I, I actually think that this is, and then I just run the, run the water. ... It's a reward. It's a, it's whatever. I like it.

This is a subjective lifestyle choice, though hygienically questionable.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Jeff Saturday should be fired as the Colts interim head coach

Jeff Saturday, I like Jeff Saturday, seems like a good guy, he should probably be fired as interim head coach.

Jeff Saturday was not retained as the head coach after the season; the Colts hired Shane Steichen.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Vikings will be 'frauds' in January, but fans should enjoy the ride now

I wanna fess up to Vikings fans... at the end of the day we will be right [about them being frauds], but we don't have to keep talking about how we will be right... I need to just let you guys enjoy the ride. They're a fun team. Very fun. We can just leave [the fraud talk] aside and bring it back up in the playoffs.

The Vikings finished 13-4 with a negative point differential and lost at home in the Wild Card round to the Giants, proving Big Cat right.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Jaguars will win the AFC South if they run the table

Week 18, that's gonna be an awesome one. Yes, it could—that might be for all the marbles for the division. If the Jaguars run the table, they're gonna be in the playoffs.

The Jaguars did run the table, winning their final five games including a Week 18 win over the Titans to clinch the division.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Detroit Lions are officially a good football team

Lions 20, Jets 17. The Lions are good. The Lions are good. They're winning games all types of ways. They've covered six straight games for the first time since the Super Bowl was invented. They are a fun team.

The Lions finished the season 9-8 and went on to win the NFC North and reach the NFC Championship the following season.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

The 2022 Texans are the best 1-win/loss team in NFL history

Should we start the conversation, are the Texans the best one win loss team of all time? I think the Texans without question are the best one 12 and one team, that's a fact, of all time. They play competitive football and they lose and they do a great job of losing.

While subjective, the Texans did hold second-half leads against several top teams despite their record, fitting Big Cat's 'good bad team' description.
Void
Billy FootballBilly Football

Sam Darnold and Mike White are on the same talent tier

I would say Mike White and Sam Darnold are on the same sort of echelon. Mike White, Sam Darnold, then a big drop off to Zachary [Wilson].

Sam Darnold found some success as a starter/high-end backup (later with the 49ers and Vikings), while Mike White remained a journeyman backup, suggesting Darnold may actually be a tier higher.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Chargers will finish the season 11-6

Uhoh, the Chargers are back. Chargers go 11-6. They're gonna go 11 and 6. Nine, 10, 11. They're gonna go 11 and 6.

The Chargers finished 10-7, failing to reach 11 wins.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Tennessee Titans are officially a 'bummer' team that needs to change everything

The Titans, it feels like they just need to change everything. Change everything except a few pieces and Mike Vrabel and start fresh... the Titans are a bummer at this point. They've lost four in a row. It just feels like the wheels [are off].

The Titans did fire their GM Jon Robinson mid-season and missed the playoffs, confirming the 'bummer' trajectory.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

No quarterback has been screwed over more than Mac Jones this year

I actually think in a wild twist of fate, last year was all about Mac Jones being in the perfect setting. I don't think there's been a quarterback who's been screwed over more than Mac Jones this year. He's been fucked.

Jones's regression in 2022 and 2023 led to his eventual trade to the Jaguars as a backup, confirming the consensus that the 2022 coaching situation damaged his trajectory.
Loss
HankHank

The Buccaneers will beat the Cowboys in the first round of the playoffs

If they play against the Cowboys, then yes, bet on the Bucs. They're gonna beat the Cowboys in the playoffs. It would be the perfect Mike McCarthy giant collapse.

The Cowboys defeated the Buccaneers 31-14 in the Wild Card round, making this take incorrect.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The NFL is officially rigged after the Commanders-Giants game

The NFL is rigged. I'm boycotting the NFL. Clear as day, the NFL is a rigged league. That's why they classify it as entertainment and not as a sport, so they can fake all of it. There's a script. The NFL is out to screw over owners like [Robert] Kraft and [Dan] Snyder.

The NFL is legally classified as entertainment, but there is no evidence the games are pre-scripted or rigged by the league office.
Open
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Charlie Woods has more natural ability and will be better than Tiger Woods

I love Charlie Woods. I think Charlie's gonna be better than Tiger. I think that even Tiger would admit, Charlie's got more natural ability than Tiger ever had in his life.

Charlie Woods is a talented junior golfer, but matching Tiger's 15 majors and 82 PGA Tour wins is statistically one of the most unlikely outcomes in sports history.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Lionel Messi is the undisputed GOAT after winning the World Cup

Messi is the goat. I mean, Ronaldo, I mean, there's nothing left. Messi has literally won it all. That game was fucking incredible... I'm happy for Messi. I, he's always been my goat and this was literally the last thing he had to win.

Messi won the 2022 World Cup, completing the collection of every major trophy available to him in world football.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Brock Purdy walked into the best situation a low-drafted quarterback could ever have

I don't think there's a better situation that a Mr irrelevant low drafted quarterback could ever walk into than not only Kyle Shanahan, but this specific 49ers team that just has so much talent everywhere. Like their defense is great. Their running game is great. He's not really getting hit that much.

Purdy's continued success and the 49ers' dominant system support the idea that the environment was perfectly constructed for a QB of his profile.
Push
Big CatBig Cat

The Seahawks are running out of gas because they lack top-end talent

It feels like they're just running outta gas in terms of talent. Their defense getting gashed on the, like last week the Panthers had 240 yards tonight. The Niners ran for five yards of carry. It just, it feels like it's getting to the end here where, where like the fact they don't have a ton of top end talent is hurting them.

The Seahawks did struggle late in the 2022 season, losing 5 of their last 8, but they actually managed to sneak into the playoffs at 9-8.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

You cannot stop the run if you wear the Seahawks' full lime green color rush jerseys

I hope you're saying what I'm gonna think thinking, but you cannot stop the run if you're wearing those jerseys... You gotta commit to it. It's Thursday night football baby. And even if you do commit to it, I still think that you're gonna get gashed on the ground. Yeah. If you're wearing those jerseys... those are jerseys that'll just get run on.

The 49ers ran for 170 yards (5.0 avg) against the Seahawks in those jerseys this game. Historically, uniform-based performance is subjective but the literal claim that they'd get run on was true that night.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

I predict Argentina will win the World Cup final

I want messy to win so bad so that idiots who don't know Ball. Speaking of not knowing ball, like Hank have to fucking eat it. I, I'm predicting I'm predicting Argentina.

Argentina defeated France in the 2022 World Cup Final on penalty kicks after a 3-3 draw.
Loss
HankHank

The World Cup final will end in a 4-4 draw and France will win on penalty kicks

Four four penalty kicks... I think we'll go one each and extra time... And then France wins one gold to nothing in penalty case.

The game ended 3-3 after extra time, and Argentina won on penalties. France lost, and the score was not 4-4.
Push
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Vikings will beat and cover against the Colts because their offensive line is healthy

I love the Minnesota Vikings this weekend. Ooh. Minus four and a half. I think it's perfect spot for the Vikings against the Colts. The offensive line is healthier this week for the Vikings... I am confident that they'll be able to beat the Colts.

The Vikings won 39-36 in overtime after trailing 33-0. While they won, they did not cover the 4.5 point spread.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

I'm betting the Bills -7 over the Dolphins because Tua Tagovailoa can't play in the cold

I had no idea they went to seven, Tua has played 63 games in college and pro and never started a game that's been under 36 degrees. Yep... He's not a cold weather guy... This is going to be a big time fish outta water studio. Yes. And he also, he started three games with the temperatures under 50 degrees. Oh three straight up and against the spread... Bill's my seven, my pick.

The Bills won 32-29, so they failed to cover the -7 spread.
Push
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Titans will cover +3 against the Chargers because Derrick Henry will dominate their poor run defense

My underdog this week is gonna be the Tennessee Titans. Oh. Plus three. This feels like, this feels like a tractor CTO game... The Chargers run defense sucks dick. Derrick Henry's just gonna run it down their throats... that's Vrabel town.

The Chargers won 17-14. Since the spread was Titans +3, this resulted in a 'push' (tie) for bettors. Henry did have 100+ yards and a TD, but it wasn't enough to win.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Jaguars will cover +4.5 against the Cowboys because Dallas is in a look-ahead spot

I'm going to take the Jacksonville Jaguars plus four and a half Cowboys in look ahead. Big time. Look ahead with, I kinda like Eagles. Yeah. It's just, I feel like it's one of those games I'll know right away... Trevor Lawrence, I don't hate it. I'm riding big time look ahead game.

The Jaguars actually won the game outright 40-34 in overtime, easily covering the spread.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Zach Wilson being benched for Mike White might actually light a fire under him and lead to a comeback

Big time with Zach Wilson being QB two now. I know. So there's a little fire underneath him... And then they win. And Billy Football's like Zach Wilson, future Patrick Mahomes. Zach's been begging to get let back in the house... they cracked the door. They're like, I know you're homeless. You can come inside, but you're sleeping on the couch.

OpinionFootballMediumSarcastic
Wilson eventually got back on the field due to injuries but his performance didn't significantly improve in 2022 or 2023, eventually leading to him being traded.
Win
HankHank

Weather is not real and the Bills vs. Dolphins game will go over the total

Hank weather isn't real. Also over 44... This is going way over. I'm a big believer in, it's one thing I know... Saturday night. Great game weather doesn't matter. This is going way over.

The total score was 61 (32-29), easily clearing the 44-point total. Hank was right about the score, despite his absurd reasoning.

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