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Randy MossRandy Moss

The Triple Crown schedule must be adjusted as trainers will no longer run horses on two weeks' rest

The Preakness is a classic... but they think it is counterproductive to bring [Sovereignty] back in just two weeks... It's gonna happen more and more frequently in the future until such time as the Triple Crown races become further apart on the calendar.

This is a long-term industry trend that is still unfolding, though the Preakness already saw multiple Derby winners skip it in following years.
Push
Randy MossRandy Moss

Clever Again is a strong play to beat the favorite Journalism in the Preakness

There's another horse in the race called Clever Again, trained by Steve Asmussen... he's got speed. He's coming off a really strong race. He's had plenty of rest... I think [he's] a good play to take a shot against Journalism.

Clever Again finished 3rd in the Preakness, while Journalism finished 4th. Neither won, making the take partially correct as an underdog value play.
Loss
Randy MossRandy Moss

Fierceness is two to three lengths better than any other horse in the Kentucky Derby field

I think [Fierceness] is two to three lengths better than any other horse right now in the field... I think if he's ridden properly, I think [Fierceness] is, you know, clearly, clearly the horse to beat.

Fierceness finished 15th in the 2024 Kentucky Derby.
Loss
Randy MossRandy Moss

I would bet against the favorite Good Cheer in the Kentucky Oaks

In the Kentucky Oaks, the big favorite is Good Cheer. I think she's worth taking a shot against just because her numbers are not all that great. There's a horse in there named Quiet Side that I think would be worth the play, despite her number 14 post position.

Good Cheer, the favorite, won the 2025 Kentucky Oaks by 2.25 lengths, remaining undefeated at 7-for-7. The bet against Good Cheer would have lost.
Loss
Randy MossRandy Moss

Castle Chaos has a great chance to win the Knicks Go at a big price

In the fourth race in the Knicks Go, there's a horse called Castle Chaos... he's 20 to one in the program. I'm telling you, he's got a hell of a chance to win the Knicks Go at a... I'm expecting more like 10 to one, 12 to one. But still, I mean, I think Castle Chaos has a big shot.

Castle Chaos finished 5th in the 2025 Knicks Go Overnight Stakes at Churchill Downs. Liberal Arts won the race. Castle Chaos did not have 'a big shot' to win as predicted.
Loss
Randy MossRandy Moss

Fierceness is the best horse in the Kentucky Derby by three or four lengths

If all the horses run their best races, Fierceness wins the race, hands down. Talent wise, Fierceness is probably three or four lengths better than any other horse in the field.

Fierceness finished 15th in the 2024 Kentucky Derby after a disappointing performance.
Loss
Randy MossRandy Moss

Coppi is my favorite bet of the weekend in the Distaff Turf Mile (Race 7) on Saturday

The horse I like the most in the two days for betting purposes is running on Saturday in the seventh race. It's a race called the Distaff Turf Mile and her name is Coppi... The reviews of this horse back at the barn in the mornings have been absolutely glowing.

Coppi finished 7th in the Longines Churchill Distaff Turf Mile Stakes on May 4, 2024.
Win
Randy MossRandy Moss

National Treasure will win the Preakness Stakes

I'll take National Treasure. I think he's gonna control the pace... to me that gives him the edge.

National Treasure won the 2023 Preakness Stakes.
Loss
Randy MossRandy Moss

Faiza is the standout favorite for the Black-Eyed Susan Stakes

I think Faiza is a standout in the Black-Eyed Susan... Peterson said no, I'm staying loyal to [Baffert]... she's undefeated.

Faiza finished 3rd in the Black-Eyed Susan Stakes; Taxed won the race.
Void
Christian HornerChristian Horner

The F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix will be the biggest sporting event in the world in 2023

I think it's gonna be the biggest sporting event globally this year. I really do. I think that the interest and the hype around that race, I mean, a Saturday night race down the strip in Vegas, who doesn't wanna be there?

The inaugural Las Vegas GP was a massive financial and viewership success, though 'biggest globally' is subjective compared to the Super Bowl or Champions League final.
Void
Bobby HurleyBobby Hurley

Forte will be the Kentucky Derby favorite and has a great chance to win

I love Forte. I've watched Forte a few times... I think he'll be the Kentucky Derby favorite, right? Yeah, yeah, yeah. I mean, he's gotta win today. But yeah, I got a good feeling about Forte. Yeah. That's, that's my pick.

Forte was the betting favorite but was a late scratch on race day (May 6, 2023).
Win
Randy MossRandy Moss

Early Voting has a rest advantage that could challenge Epicenter in the Preakness

I agree with you. I think that [Epicenter] stands out in the field on paper, but Early Voting would have an edge he'll he'll probably set the pace. Epicenter should be right behind him. And Early Voting does have the edge of rest having not run since the Wood Memorial. So that will help his chances.

Early Voting won the 2022 Preakness Stakes, beating Epicenter.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Rich Strike will not win the Preakness

Rich Strike is a dog. Hold on. Horse racing needs a bad boy... but he's not going to win the Preakness. So it will be, it will go away quickly.

Rich Strike did not win the Preakness because the owner chose to skip the race entirely to rest for the Belmont Stakes.
Loss
Randy MossRandy Moss

The Japanese horse Crown Pride is a legitimate threat in the Kentucky Derby

Every day in the last two weeks, big cat, it is looking more and more possible... He has been sensational here in Churchill Downs. And this morning he had a workout... everyone was like, holy crap, did you see that Japanese horse work this morning? I mean, the horse looks great.

Crown Pride finished 13th in the 2022 Kentucky Derby.
Loss
Randy MossRandy Moss

Epicenter is my pick to win the Kentucky Derby

Epicenter is the perfect horse to take advantage of an inside post position because he has tactical speed... I think it's a great post position for Epicenter, probably why that's why I'm picking him.

Epicenter finished second in the 2022 Kentucky Derby, losing to long-shot Rich Strike.
Loss
Randy MossRandy Moss

Nest is an absolute standout to win the Kentucky Oaks.

I love Nest. Nest is the program favorite, which surprised me... she was the two-year-old filly champion. I think Nest is an absolute standout to win the Kentucky Oaks.

Nest finished 2nd in the Kentucky Oaks, losing to Secret Oath.
Loss
Craig EngelsCraig Engels

A Kenyan runner will win the 1500m gold at the Tokyo Olympics

If someone put out betting odds and there's a Kenyan guy and it's going to win it [the 1500m gold].

Jakob Ingebrigtsen of Norway won the gold medal. Timothy Cheruiyot of Kenya won the silver.
Push
Big CatBig Cat

Ferrari is going to be awesome in F1 next year due to new regulations

I heard on the street that Ferrari's going to be awesome. Oh, because of the new regulations or some shit. So we'll get in now, and then we look like geniuses. Just saying. That might just be big Ferrari, though.

PredictionRacingMediumSarcastic
Ferrari was indeed much better in 2022, winning multiple races early in the season and finishing 2nd in the Constructors' Championship, though they eventually fell behind Red Bull.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Max Verstappen will eventually be the F1 World Champion

Max Verstappen is going to be world champion. That's what everyone says. I believe it as well.

Max Verstappen won his first F1 World Championship later that year in 2021.
Win
Randy MossRandy Moss

Medina Spirit will almost certainly be disqualified from the Kentucky Derby

If the split sample comes back, the second sample that Baffert is sending out to verify the presence of beta-methasone in the horse's system, if it comes back positive, the horse is going to be disqualified almost certainly from the Kentucky Derby... I feel pretty confident in saying that the horse will probably be disqualified.

In February 2022, Medina Spirit was officially disqualified from the 2021 Kentucky Derby.
Win
Randy MossRandy Moss

Bet against Medina Spirit in the Preakness because his Kentucky Derby victory was due to an fluke easy pace

If you're a better player, and the odds of the horse in the Preakness reflect what he did in the Kentucky Derby when he got away with such an easy, advantageous trip... then you're supposed to bet against horses like this. So that's the justification against Medina Spirit.

Correct. Medina Spirit finished third in the Preakness Stakes, losing to Rombauer.
Loss
Randy MossRandy Moss

Bet on a Sacred Life and Some Like It Hot Brown exacta in the Dinner Party Stakes

Chad Brown has a horse in there named Sacred Life that looks like an absolute standout... I think if you hook him up in an exacta with the number one horse, Some Like It Hot Brown... I like the 5-1 Exacta, Sacred Life and Some Like It Hot Brown in the race before the Preakness.

Sacred Life finished 4th and Some Like It Hot Brown finished 2nd. The exacta did not hit.
Win
Randy MossRandy Moss

Essential Quality will NOT win the 2021 Kentucky Derby

I can't tell you who I'm going to pick, but it's not Essential Quality.

Essential Quality finished 4th (eventually 3rd after disqualification), so Moss was correct that he did not win.
Loss
Randy MossRandy Moss

Bet on Endorsed in the 10th race at Churchill Downs on Saturday

There is a horse running Saturday in the 10th race... His name is Endorsed and I will endorse betting on Endorsed... I think the horse is an excellent play.

Endorsed finished 4th in the 2021 Churchill Downs Stakes.
Loss
Denny HamlinDenny Hamlin

I guarantee a victory on Sunday at Charlotte

I'll do it, man. I got a new set of paint scheme. We're thanking small businesses out there. So yeah, I'm in. I'm in on the guarantee.

Denny Hamlin finished 29th in the 2020 Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte on May 24, 2020. Brad Keselowski won the race.
Open
KB
Kyle Busch

I have at least 10 years of racing left in my career

[I have] probably 10 [years left]. I'm 34... I would like to think I got a few more years left in me and definitely a few more Championships.

The take is still pending as he is still active in NASCAR as of 2024.
Open
KB
Kyle Busch

I will win at least four more NASCAR championships

[I'll win] four more. That would be sweet. Yeah four more would be getting six times [total].

As of 2024, Busch still has 2 championships (2015, 2019). He hasn't won another since this take.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

USA Rugby Sevens will be in striking distance of first place going into the Paris tournament

The point is that this is the penultimate. So it's the second to last tournament. If we're in striking range going into Paris. We already are. We're in first. Which is the last leg. I might pull a Hong Kong and just fly over to Paris. ... I'm going to say it right now. We'll be in fucking striking distance because I have faith in our boys.

USA finished second in the overall standings in 2019, maintaining 'striking distance' throughout the final legs.
Loss
Randy MossRandy Moss

Game Winner is the best of Bob Baffert's three Kentucky Derby contenders

Game winner, trained by Bob Baffert... I think he's the logical horse. Game winner to me is the best one of the three. He's 0 for 2 this year, but he should have won both those races. I think he's coming up to the race in good fashion.

Game Winner finished 5th in the 2019 Kentucky Derby. Improbable (4th) actually finished ahead of him.
Loss
Randy MossRandy Moss

Win-Win-Win and By My Standards are the best long shots in the Kentucky Derby

Win-win-win and a horse named By My Standards, who won the Louisiana Derby... anywhere from 18 to 25 to 1. That's about the price win-win-win is going to be, too. I think [Win-win-win] is set up to run a pretty good race.

Win-Win-Win finished 9th and By My Standards finished 11th. Neither hit the board.
Win
Randy MossRandy Moss

Bet against Bellafina in the Kentucky Oaks because she doesn't like the track at Churchill Downs

The favorite in the Oaks is going to be a horse named Bellafina... The only bad race Bellafina has ever had in her life was... here at Churchill Downs. She doesn't look very good [this week]... for a horse to have those negatives and to be the favorite, I think it's a good horse to bet against.

Bellafina finished 5th in the Oaks as the favorite, making Randy's advice to bet against her correct.
Win
Michael JordanMichael Jordan

I expect Denny Hamlin to win at least five races this year

Hey, man, I'm proud of you, man. We bounced back after a tough year last year and started off right, so I expect at least five wins.

Denny Hamlin won exactly six races in the 2019 NASCAR Cup Series season.
Win
Denny HamlinDenny Hamlin

Toyota will have a big year in NASCAR in 2019

Is this going to be a big year for Toyota? Should be. That was the other thing. We got four great drivers... we only had four or five cars, but we found a way to finish one, two, three [at Daytona].

Toyota won the 2019 NASCAR Cup Series Manufacturers' Championship, and Toyota driver Kyle Busch won the Drivers' Championship.
Loss
Randy MossRandy Moss

Hofburg and Vino Rosso are the best horses to bet on to beat Justify

I think the two best horses to be betting on in this Belmont are Hofburg and Vino Rosso... Ten of the last 18 years, the Belmont has been won by horses that ran on Kentucky Derby weekend, skipped the Preakness, and waited for the Belmont to be rested.

Justify won the race. Hofburg finished 3rd and Vino Rosso finished 4th.
Loss
Randy MossRandy Moss

Free Drop Billy is a strong longshot bet to finish in the Belmont Stakes superfecta

There's another horse in there that fits that profile that's probably going to be 20-1. His name is Free Drop Billy... I think he's got a good shot to be part of, let's say, the Superfecta at a big price.

Free Drop Billy finished 9th out of 10 horses in the 2018 Belmont Stakes.
Win
Randy MossRandy Moss

Call to Mind is the top horse to bet in the Belmont Gold Cup

The horse's name is Call to Mind, M-I-N-D, Call to Mind, number one in the Belmont Gold Cup tomorrow. I don't know what the price is going to be... but there's another horse if you want to hook that one up in some exotics.

Call to Mind won the 2018 Belmont Gold Cup Invitational Stakes on June 8, 2018.
Win
Randy MossRandy Moss

Justify is the most likely winner of the Kentucky Derby

I think Justify is probably the most likely winner, although he's going to be the favorite.

Justify won the 2018 Kentucky Derby and went on to win the Triple Crown.
Loss
Randy MossRandy Moss

Midnight Bisou will win the Kentucky Oaks

I think the winner of the Oaks is going to be a horse named Midnight Bisou... She comes from behind, makes this electrifying move from off the pace.

Monomoy Girl won the 2018 Kentucky Oaks; Midnight Bisou finished 3rd.
Loss
Denny HamlinDenny Hamlin

I will win the 2018 Daytona 500

Yes, I would [guarantee a victory this Sunday]. Starting on the front row, we're starting second with our FedEx Camry... I think that we got just a good, if not better, shot because obviously our car is faster.

Austin Dillon won the 2018 Daytona 500. Hamlin finished 3rd.
Win
Randy MossRandy Moss

Rushing Fall is the horse to watch in the Friday Breeders' Cup races

There's a horse named Rushing Fall, trained by Chad Brown... She's had two starts. She won them both. Last time out, she looked like an absolute superstar. I think she is on her way to maybe some spectacular things.

Rushing Fall won the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf on November 3, 2017.
Win
Randy MossRandy Moss

Gun Runner has the best chance to beat Arrogate in the Breeders' Cup Classic

I think this is Gun Runner's race to lose... Gun Runner's got better, Arrogate seems to have gotten a little bit worse and I think this is Gun Runner's race to lose.

Gun Runner won the Breeders' Cup Classic on November 4, 2017.
Loss
Randy MossRandy Moss

Highland Reel could repeat in the Breeders' Cup Turf if he goes wire-to-wire

Well, Highland Reels back again. So it's going to be interesting to see, with a short stretch especially, if he can blast off like that again and be able to do the same thing a year later. [Last year] Seamus Heffernan, his Irish jockey, opened up like eight lengths on the field... The horse went wire to wire.

Highland Reel did not repeat his win; he finished 3rd in the 2017 Breeders' Cup Turf (won by Talismanic).
Win
Randy MossRandy Moss

Patch (the one-eyed horse) has zero chance of winning the Kentucky Derby.

What I told the people at NBC, if that horse [Patch] wins the Kentucky Derby, I'm going to immediately jump off the set. The heck with the TV show. I'm going to run down to the winner's circle and get my picture made with Patch. I love the horse, [but he's going to be 40-1].

Patch finished 14th in the 2017 Kentucky Derby.
Win
Randy MossRandy Moss

Classic Empire is bad value for the Kentucky Derby

He's going to be the favorite, and he might be the favorite, and he's not going to be worth the shorter price. [No bet on Classic Empire].

Classic Empire finished 4th in the 2017 Kentucky Derby, validating the 'no bet' advice as he didn't even hit the board for a win/place.
Loss
Randy MossRandy Moss

Hence is a strong value play at 20-1 for the Kentucky Derby

Whether it's muddy or whether it's not muddy, you want a horse that's got a good chance at a decent price. His name is Hence... He's going to be 20 to 1... Steve Asmussen has never won the Kentucky Derby, but he's one of the best trainers in America, and he's overdue.

Hence finished 11th in the 2017 Kentucky Derby.
Win
Randy MossRandy Moss

Looking at Lee is a great longshot to include in trifectas and superfectas for the Kentucky Derby.

I think the most likely [longshot] is a horse it's going to be a big price, his name is Looking at Lee. He'll like the distance, he'll just keep coming, keep coming. And he's a good horse to put in third and fourth in those trifectas and superfectas.

Looking at Lee finished 2nd at 33-1 odds, making Moss's value assessment very accurate.
Win
Randy MossRandy Moss

Abel Tasman is a strong play to win or run well in the Kentucky Oaks.

Another [horse] called Abel Tasman, trained by Bob Baffert. Those are two horses that have also run pretty well from slightly off the pace, and that ought to play pretty well in the Oaks.

Abel Tasman won the 2017 Kentucky Oaks at 9-1 odds.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Number 37 car will win the NASCAR race in Las Vegas this Sunday

We have a Natty Light Barstool race car in the Cobalt 400 on Sunday. We're going to be live there... Number 37 car. He's going to win. I feel good about it. I'm going to guarantee it for him.

Chris Buescher in the #37 car finished 23rd in the 2017 Cobalt 400 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway.
Push
Randy MossRandy Moss

Destin is a better play to win the Belmont Stakes than Exaggerator

Destin, who ran in the Kentucky Derby, didn't have the best of trips... Todd Pletcher trains him. Now he gives him five weeks off, and he brings him back to the Belmont fresh. And I think that makes a horse like Destin a much better play than a horse like Exaggerator.

Destin lost by a nose to Creator. Exaggerator finished 11th. While Destin didn't win, Moss's 'better play' take was spot on as Destin nearly won while the favorite failed.
Win
Randy MossRandy Moss

Nyquist is not a slam dunk to win the Preakness due to potential rain

There's a probability that it's going to be a hellaciously rainy day on Saturday. [Nyquist] has never run in conditions like that before... Whereas Exaggerator, the horse that he beat in the Derby... he won very impressively in conditions like that.

The Preakness was run in a downpour; Exaggerator won the race while Nyquist finished third.

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