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Big CatBig Cat

The Bills are the #1 team in the league right now

My current BCS rankings have the Cardinals and the Bills, one and two. [But] the fun fact about the Bills, they have double the point differential than the second team not named the Cardinals... The Bills are plus 108. They are fucking killing people. We can agree. Bills should be at the top.

The Bills finished 11-6 and lost in the Divisional round, while the Rams won the Super Bowl and the Packers had the best record. The Bills were elite but arguably not #1.
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HankHank

The Red Sox will beat the Yankees 6-4 in the 2021 American League Wild Card game

I think it's going to be Red Sox 6, Yankees 4. Take the over. Red Sox money line.

The Red Sox won 6-2, so the winner and 'over' were correct but the score was off.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Buccaneers are going to kill the Patriots on Sunday Night Football

I think I do agree with you that the [Buccaneers] are probably gonna kill the Patriots. Do you think they're going to? The [Buccaneers] are sick. Yeah.

The Bucs won 19-17 in a much closer game than 'killing' them implies, but they did get the victory.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Kirk Cousins will turn back into a 'pumpkin' on Halloween against the Cowboys

I've actually identified exactly when [Kirk Cousins] is going to turn back into old Kirk Cousins... Halloween. I think he's going to have the entire month of October this year, and then on Halloween he's playing in against the Cowboys and he's got some tougher defenses that he's going to be going up against.

On Halloween 2021, the Vikings lost to the Cowboys 20-16. Cousins had a mediocre game with 184 yards and 1 TD, but it wasn't a total 'pumpkin' collapse, though they lost at home to Cooper Rush.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Eagles are being slept on and will likely win 11 games because no one expected it

I just think the Eagles have been slept on a little bit. I think their offensive line and defensive line are very good. And we went kind of deciding how the NFC East was going to go. Wouldn't it be perfect for the NFC East if the team that was least talked about going into the season? That's what always happens. All right, yeah, so they'll probably go 11-6 somehow.

The 2021 Eagles finished 9-8 and made the playoffs as a wildcard, while the Cowboys won the division. Big Cat was directionally right about them being better than expected but wrong on the 11 wins.
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Billy FootballBilly Football

I will 'wipe Jose Canseco off the face of the earth' and force him to retire from public life

If I beat up Jose Canseco and he loses his fight, I don't see how he can even show his face in public again. So I'm literally wiping him off the face of the earth. We're never going to hear from him again.

Billy did beat Jose Canseco in 15 seconds at Rough N' Rowdy 13. While Jose stayed in the public eye, his fighting 'career' essentially ended there.
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Big CatBig Cat

Frank Ragnow should sit out the rest of the season because playing with a fractured throat for a 5-11 Lions team is a losing proposition

Frank Ragnow who played last game for the Lions with a fractured throat... Frank, Calvin Johnson retired, Barry Sanders retired. They realized that this was a losing proposition to be on the Detroit Lions. You have a fractured throat on a 5 and 11 team. You can sit there. It's a weird throat to die on. No one would blame you if you sat out for the rest of the season.

Ragnow missed the following week but actually returned to play in the final two games of the season, defying Big Cat's advice.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Bills are going to crush the Steelers

I think the Bills are going to crush them, actually.

The Bills beat the Steelers 26-15, which was a solid win but not necessarily a 'crushing' blowout.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Michael Thomas is a terrible fit for Jameis Winston's deep-passing skill set

I can't think of a wide receiver that fits Jameis Winston's skill set less than Michael Thomas. Just running slants, just going as close to linebackers as possible. Bad, bad. Yeah, just tell him, I know that your captain slant runs straight downfield. Go deep, go deep.

Michael Thomas dealt with major injuries during the Winston era, but in their limited time, the connection never reclaimed Thomas's 2019 levels of production.
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Big CatBig Cat

Keeping Adam Gase is the smartest move for the Jets because he is a 'tank' that can't be accused of tanking

Keeping Adam Gase is the smartest thing you can do is GM because... it actually Adam Gase is your tank like he is your tank but not tanking. You can't be accused of tanking, but you are tanking when you have Adam Gase there.

The Jets did nearly secure the #1 pick but accidentally won two games late in the season, losing out on Trevor Lawrence to the Jaguars.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Browns will beat the Bengals because they'll run for over 200 yards

I think the Browns are going to smoke the Bengals because I think they're just going to run the ball... the last time these two teams played the Browns were able to run the ball I think like 250 yards. So I would imagine it's going to be... if Baker Mayfield doesn't have to throw more than 20 times... I think the Browns can have some success.

The Browns beat the Bengals 37-34, but they only rushed for 82 yards. Baker Mayfield actually threw the ball 28 times, which contradicts the logic of the take despite the win.
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Big CatBig Cat

If the Cowboys don't cover the spread against the Giants, they aren't a real team.

If the Cowboys don't cover the nine and a half against the Giants. I'm just going to cross them off as not real team. So it's like a statement game you either. Tell me that you're real or not. But otherwise, I'm moving on.

The Cowboys won 37-34 but failed to cover the 9.5 point spread, and Dak Prescott's season-ending injury in that game effectively confirmed they were no longer a real contender.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Vikings are a very bad football team and the Colts are better than they looked in Week 1

I think the Vikings are very bad. I think they're worse than they looked last week. I think the Colts are better than they look [last week]... I still think that the Minnesota Vikings defense is going to figure out they're gonna be really good. I they're young and I know Mike Zimmer, but they're young and well, they're right now they're missing a lot of guys.

The Vikings started 1-5 and finished 7-9, missing the playoffs after a successful 2019 season. The Colts went 11-5 and made the playoffs.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Rams are going to be spicy this year and Jared Goff is figuring it out

The Rams I think are better even than they look last year. I think the Rams gonna be good this weekend this year. I think they're going to be spicy. I think our boy [Jared Goff] is figuring out. Oh, yeah. Hell yeah [Goff].

The Rams went 10-6 and won a playoff game, but Goff's performance was inconsistent enough that he was traded to the Lions for Matthew Stafford after the season.
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Big CatBig Cat

Tom Brady will have a massive 'get right' game against the Panthers

I think Tom Brady's going to eat this week and everyone's like, oh my God Tom Brady's back. Yeah Bruce Arians did the classic Bruce Arians thing where he just spent the entire week making fun of Tom Brady.

The Bucs won 31-17; Brady was solid (217 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT), though Leonard Fournette did most of the scoring 'eating'.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Buccaneers and Patriots Week 1 results will be a referendum on Tom Brady's legacy

What has to happen is we need the Buccaneers to win and the Patriots to lose or the Patriots to win the Buccaneers to lose so we can really hammer into that story. Storylines cannot be taken back. This weekend is a referendum on the life-altering change of course that Tom Brady made.

The Patriots won their opener while the Bucs lost theirs, leading to a week of 'Brady was the problem' takes before the Bucs eventually won the Super Bowl.
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Big CatBig Cat

I will bet on any NFL team that was bad the previous year in Week 1

My week one strategy is just basically bet on the teams that sucked last year.

The strategy had mixed results in Week 1 2020, with teams like Washington and Jacksonville winning outright as big underdogs, but others like the Jets and Browns getting blown out.
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Billy FootballBilly Football

Bears recycle their urine and feces into carbohydrates while they hibernate

They recycle their poop and pee while they hibernate... we don't poop and they turn it into more carbohydrates while they hibernate.

Bears do recycle urea back into proteins (not exactly carbohydrates) to maintain muscle mass while hibernating, and they do not defecate or urinate.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Chiefs will win Super Bowl 54 and Tyrann Mathieu will have a turnover

I'm also taking the Chiefs. I have a lot of conviction in that bet... The Honey Badger is making the difference in this game. He's going to have at least one turnover. He has been the key to the Chiefs defense stepping up.

The Chiefs won the Super Bowl, but Tyrann Mathieu did not record an interception or fumble recovery in the game.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Ryan Tannehill is peaking and will never play better than he is right now

We're in the process of watching Ryan Tannehill as good as he's probably ever as good as his body is capable of playing football. That's how he's playing. The best will ever get it's probably not going to get any better than this.

Tannehill continued to play well in 2020 (33 TDs, 7 INTs), which arguably rivaled his 2019 efficiency, though 2019 remains his highest yards-per-attempt and passer rating season.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The New Orleans Saints will blow out the Atlanta Falcons

I think that the wonky game already happened with the Saints and the Falcons. I think the Saints are going to blow them out.

The Saints won 26-18. While they won, an 8-point margin is hardly a 'blowout', though they controlled the game.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Texans are going to stomp the shit out of the Raiders

The Raiders and the Texans [game], and the Texans are going to stomp the shit out of them.

The Texans won by only 3 points, not a blowout.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Bills-Titans game will eventually decide who gets a wildcard spot in the AFC

Bill's Titans is my loser leaves town game because... whoever wins this game is going to have the tiebreaker. And I think this could be the game that eventually decides who gets that wildcard spot.

Both teams actually ended up making the playoffs (Bills 10-6, Titans 9-7), so the game didn't function as a true 'loser leaves town' or single-spot decider.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Teddy Bridgewater can't throw the ball more than 10 yards down the field

I don't think Teddy Bridgewater can throw the ball more than 10 yards down the field. So I like that under.

While Bridgewater was conservative in 2019, he did complete passes longer than 10 yards, though his average intended air yards were among the lowest in the league.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Buccaneers' offense will be a lot better this year because of Bruce Arians.

I like Bruce Arians. I like Jameis Winston more than I like them last year. I think that the offense is going to be a lot better.

The Bucs offense was high-scoring but led the league in interceptions (30), making it a volatile mixed bag rather than a strictly 'better' unit.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Dolphins will hit the Over on their 2019 win total

The fact that there was only one person that picked their team to finish with a worse record than Vegas, that means that we have to take the over for the Dolphins. We got to fucking hammer that over on Dolphins.

The Dolphins' over/under was 5. They finished 5-11, resulting in a push for most bettors, though some lines were 4.5 or 5.5.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Bears are officially good if they can beat the Patriots

If the Bears can beat the Patriots, then they're officially good. It's going to be a big test.

The Bears lost to the Patriots 38-31, but they finished 12-4 and won the division, proving they were indeed 'good' even in a loss.
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HankHank

Josh Rosen will be exposed as a fraud against the Seahawks

My pick's going to be the Seahawks, minus three... the Cardinals. Yeah, Josh Rosen's going to throw like four picks... After this week, he'll be exposed.

The Seahawks won 20-17. Rosen didn't throw 4 picks, but his rookie season was disastrous.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Josh Gordon won't succeed in New England if he couldn't in Cleveland

If you can't get your shit together enough to play for the Browns and for the Browns to release you—I think that if you can't get your shit together enough to be able to play on the Browns for six years, then you're probably not going to be able to play for Bill Belichick.

Gordon played 11 games for the Patriots in 2018 but then left the team to focus on mental health before being suspended again. He never achieved long-term stability there.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Warriors will beat the Cavs in the Finals in only three games

I'm going Cavs-Warriors again, and the Warriors win in three games.

While you can't win a series in 3 games, the Warriors did sweep the Cavs in 4 games.
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Big CatBig Cat

I like the Vikings and the Over in the NFC Championship

I like the Vikings, and I like the over. Over-under is 39... I think there's going to be a couple big plays that are just random.

The Eagles won 38-7. Big Cat was wrong on the side (Vikings lost) but correct on the Over as the total was 45 (Over 39).
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HankHank

I'm taking the Eagles and the Under against the Vikings

I like the Eagles and I like the under, but I want the Eagles to lose in a heartbreaker just so we can get a bunch of drunk Philadelphians walking around with dog masks all night.

The Eagles won 38-7. Hank was correct on the side but incorrect on the Under as the total of 45 went over 39.
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Big CatBig Cat

Cam Newton stinks again

Cam Newton stinks again. Well, that's not entirely true. Okay. He kind of stinks. He likes to go up and down. I feel like when Cam, when everyone's like, ooh, Cam's putting it all together. He's like, hey, guys, watch this. Hey, hold my avocado. Watch this. Because he's a millennial. He's going to fucking just throw three interceptions and look like trash.

Newton's 2017 season was uneven; he threw 22 TDs and 16 INTs, a decline from his MVP peak but far from 'stinking' (he led them to the playoffs).
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Big CatBig Cat

Gonzaga is a team of destiny because they absorbed Northwestern's power

I do believe in teams of destiny absorbing the teams they beat and their destiny... So they took out Northwestern, which was a true team of destiny, and they absorbed all that destiny. They're double the destiny.

OpinionCBBMediumSarcastic
Gonzaga did reach the championship game in 2017, their first ever Final Four.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Steelers will cover the +5.5 spread and the Falcons will beat the Packers to advance to the Super Bowl

I'm taking the Steelers and the Falcons. I like the [Steelers] five and a half. I think that's enough. I think this game is going to come down to last possession type of game.

The Falcons won their game decisively, but the Steelers lost by 19 points and failed to cover the 5.5 spread.
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Big CatBig Cat

This week in the NFL will be a 'wonky' week where crazy things happen

I think there's gonna be a wonky week. It's one of those weeks where it's just like crazy things happen I just have a feeling... I just I feel like this is gonna be a wonky week.

NFL Week 13 2016 saw some upsets (Chiefs over Falcons, Bucs over Chargers), but wasn't exceptionally 'wonky' relative to NFL norms.

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