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Takes

Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The guy in charge of measuring arm lengths at the NFL Combine is bad at his job.

There's a big story that's brewing under wraps at the combine... the guy that measures arm length at the combines is not good at measuring arm length. This is going to be two years in a row where the arm length that's measured at the combine does not add up to what happens at the individual workouts or the guy's pro days. He's got a short measurement.

This is an unverifiable claim about the consistency of a specific anonymous official's measurements.
Win
MM
Mike Macdonald

Drake Maye struggles disproportionately on third-and-six.

On [Drake Maye's] scouting him on third down, they were like undefeated on third and two, third and three. They're nasty. But on third and six, he struggles. Third and six is the one down and distance he struggles with disproportionately... just that one yard. Third and six struggle.

This is a fact claim about a fictional future season (2025) within the episode's timeline.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The NFL Tush Push is not in danger of being eliminated

The tush push is not in danger of being eliminated, I don't think. It sounds like they're not proceeding with any votes to get it out.

The NFL has not banned the play as of the latest league meetings.
Win
Timm WoodsTimm Woods

The Kansas City Chiefs are incorporating Dungeons and Dragons into their operations

If anyone's been noticing the Chiefs recently ran D&D on my and like put it up on social media and stuff. All I will say right now is I'm talking to some teams.

The Chiefs social media did indeed feature D&D content with Timm Woods.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Sam Darnold is officially confirmed as a franchise 'guy' per the Todd Bowles 100-game rule

Did you see Todd Bowles was prophetic... after Sam Darnold was drafted... they asked him do they have a guy? And he said, 'I don't know if we have a guy, ask me again in like a hundred games.' The Super Bowl was [Sam Darnold's] hundred and first game. So we do confirmed to have a guy. Todd Bowles saw it. Yes.

Sam Darnold won the Super Bowl in his 101st game, fulfilling the condition of Todd Bowles' famous quote about evaluating quarterbacks.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I lost a $40,000 bet on the Patriots money line in Super Bowl 60.

I did lose $40,000 today. Yeah, it's a lot of money. Dude, that's a car. I could get a sick car with $40,000. I could get a new El Camino with that.

The Patriots lost, and PFT claimed he bet on them. Within the context of the show, he lost.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Patriots are now the most losing Super Bowl franchise in NFL history.

The Patriots, they are the all time most losing hist Super Bowl franchise in NFL history. Crown 'em. [They are] six and six, 500 in the Super Bowl. The LeBron of football teams.

With this loss in 2026, the Patriots move to 6-6 in Super Bowls. Their 6 losses tie them for the most all-time (surpassing the Broncos' 5).
Win
Chris BermanChris Berman

The Seahawks were the one seed because of a single two-point conversion against the Rams

If that two point conversion doesn't work, they're playing in Chicago and the Rams are home. Yeah. Think about that. Yeah. One, one play changed the whole thing.

This is a factual recap of the playoff seeding scenarios resulting from the Week 18 results of the 2025 season.
Open
Mike FlorioMike Florio

17 NFL teams will be playing in domes within the next 10 years

Seventeen teams are gonna be playing in domes within the next 10 years. The way things are currently going, the Chiefs are moving into a dome.

This is a forward-looking projection about stadium construction that will take years to verify.
Win
Mike FlorioMike Florio

The Giants are 'all in' with Jim Harbaugh and have given him unprecedented leverage for a coach

Harbaugh, he wanted separate tracks, he reports to ownership, GM Joe Schoen reports to ownership... The Giants, to their credit, they understand they need to do significant things in order to become a consistent contender. So they are all in with Jim Harbaugh.

The reporting structure of the Giants organization under Harbaugh is a verifiable fact.
Win
DeAndre HopkinsDeAndre Hopkins

I am not retiring from the NFL

I am not retiring. I averaged 15 yards a catch last year, man. People don't retire off that shit.

Hopkins remained active in the NFL following this interview.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Sam Darnold is the first quarterback from the 2018 draft class to reach the Super Bowl

The 2018 NFL draft for QBs was incredible. And Baker Mayfield, Josh Allen, Josh Rosen... Lamar Jackson and Sam Darnold. And Sam's the first one to reach the Super Bowl. Thinking about how many playoff games Baker, Josh, and Lamar have all played. And Sam Darnold's gonna be the first one there.

In this fictionalized Jan 2026 timeline, Sam Darnold has indeed reached Super Bowl 60, while Allen, Jackson, and Mayfield have not reached a Super Bowl yet.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Seahawks are primed to win the Super Bowl because they eliminated the 49ers

Seven of the last eight teams to eliminate the 49ers have gone on to win the Super Bowl. That's kind of crazy. ... The Seahawks are primed to win the Super Bowl 'cause they have eliminated the 49ers.

The trend mentioned is statistically real in the context of recent NFL seasons.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Adam Thielen becoming a Steeler was the fulfillment of a Mike Tomlin 'soup spoon' prophecy

Mike Tomlin will say something like, 'we can't eat soup with forks, we need spoons.' Then the Steelers will sign a 2018 Pro Bowler... You [Adam Thielen] were a Pro Bowler in 2018. This tweet was put up on November 30th, 2025. You became a Steeler December 2nd.

The timeline of the tweet and the signing is factually verifiable as accurate.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Drake May is statistically the worst quarterback in the NFL on 3rd and 6

We've discovered that Drake May is statistically the worst quarterback in the NFL over the past two seasons... on third and six. I think he's 34th or 36th in the league. And he has a 27% completion percentage. League average is about 50.

This is a verifiable statistical claim regarding Drake May's performance on a specific down and distance over a two-season sample.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Seahawks just played the most perfect game in NFL history

If you look at the stats, they basically played a perfect game. They scored 40 plus points. They rushed for 150 yards. They had zero turnovers, allowed zero touchdowns, had less than 10 penalty yards, scored a special teams touchdown. No other team in the NFL's history has done all of that in any game. Regular season or playoffs.

While 'perfect' is subjective, the specific combination of stats (40+ pts, 150+ rush, 0 turnovers, 0 TDs allowed, <10 penalty yards, ST TD) is a verifiable fact claim regarding NFL records.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Drake May is the worst quarterback in the NFL on third-and-six since entering the league.

Drake May is the worst quarterback in the NFL on third and sixth. And it's not close. Since he got into the league... minimum of 10 attempts at third and sixth... He's 36th in the NFL. He is five for 18. 27% [completion percentage].

This is a statistical claim at the time of the podcast. Verification would require access to the specific database cited (Stat Hole).
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Matt Stafford is unreliable when protecting a lead in the second half.

Matt Stafford, when he has a lead at halftime, his record against the spread in the second half. The second half spread 35% of the time, he covers only 35%. Pretty bad.

This is a verifiable betting statistic regarding Stafford's career performance.
Void
Kyle LongKyle Long

The Broncos' wide defensive line alignment gives Josh Allen a free pass to scramble up the middle.

They line up super, super wide and when you line up super wide... it gives Josh Allen free reign to look at the guards, look at the center, figure out where he is gonna go... Josh is a guy who can drop back in a non non scheme anything and just be like, oh, the ends are by me. I'm gonna take what's given to me.

This is a tactical observation about defensive alignment giving Josh Allen scramble lanes. It is a schematic analysis that cannot be objectively resolved.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The 2025 Cowboys defense is one of the four worst in the last 40 years

I saw there was a, I think it was in DVOA Aaron Schatz stat. The Cowboys had the fourth worst defense in the last like 40 years. Pretty impressive.

While specific DVOA ranks change, the 2025 Cowboys were statistically abysmal, often ranking at or near the bottom of historical defensive efficiency metrics.
Push
Big CatBig Cat

The Seahawks should try to lose in Week 18 to ensure a Super Bowl trip via the Pope correlation

2005 new Pope is elected... Seahawks win 13 games advance to the Super Bowl. 2013 new Pope is elected... Seahawks win 13 games, win the Super Bowl. 2025 new Pope is elected Seahawks win 13 games and... Should the Seahawks try to lose on Sunday to stay at 13 games so that it guarantees they at least get to the Super Bowl?

The historical dates and game counts for 2005 and 2013 are correct. The 2025 outcome is speculative.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Road teams have a significant advantage in NFL games played on Christmas Day

Remember last year Christmas, the lesson that we learned... you fade the home team because they're doing all the family stuff, eating big meals on Christmas Eve. The road team has the advantage on Christmas Day.

On Christmas Day 2025, all three road teams won: Cowboys beat Commanders 30-23, Vikings beat Lions 23-10, and Broncos beat Chiefs 20-13. Road teams went 3-0.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The NFL engineered the Steelers' Monday Night Football winning streak

The NFL has engineered this streak for the Pittsburgh Steelers. The win-loss record, the winning percentage of opponents that the Steelers have played during the streak on Monday night football is 40%. That is by far the weakest schedule of any team that's played on Monday Night Football.

While the opponent winning percentage can be calculated, 'engineering' implies intent which is a subjective conspiracy claim common to the show.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

If the Panthers beat the Saints, next week's game against the Buccaneers is for the NFC South

With a win over the Saints on Sunday, the Carolina Panthers can make next week's game a clinching game... If the Panthers beat the Saints this weekend in New Orleans, that makes next week's game, which I believe is in Charlotte against the bucks that would be for the NFC South.

The math correctly reflected the state of the NFC South race in late 2025 where the Panthers surged.
Win
HankHank

Jalen Hurts without Lane Johnson is statistically identical to 2022 Justin Fields

Blind resume QB one [Jalen Hurts without Lane Johnson]: 17 games, 2,700 passing yards, 16 touchdowns, 13 interceptions, 78.2 passer rating. QB two [Justin Fields in 2022]: 15 games, 2200 yards, 17 touchdowns, 11 interceptions, 85.2 passer rating.

The stats provided are cherry-picked and comparison-based, but reflect real historical data trends for Hurts without Johnson.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Colts GM Chris Ballard is on the hot seat because he hasn't won the AFC South in nine years

My Hot Seat is Chris Ballard. I'm gonna put him back on the Hot Seat. The GM for the Colts... has been the GM for the Colts since 2017, nine years. He has never won the AFC South. He's never won the AFC South.

Ballard was hired in 2017. As of the end of the 2024 season, the Colts had not won the AFC South during his tenure (the last title was 2014).
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Joe Burrow has started eight games in the last year and is 8-0 as a starter

In the last 12 months, Joe Burrow has started... He is eight and oh as a starter in the last calendar year. Since this date, December 2nd, the last 367 days.

PFT's claim that Joe Burrow was 8-0 as a starter in the last calendar year (from approximately Dec 2, 2024 to Dec 5, 2025) checks out. From December 2024: Burrow started and won 5 games (Weeks 14-18: Cowboys, Titans, Browns, Broncos, Steelers). In 2025: he won Weeks 1-2 (Browns, Jaguars) then missed Weeks 3-12 with turf toe, returning to win on Thanksgiving vs Ravens (32-14). That's 8 starts, 8 wins.
Open
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Sam Darnold is 10-0 straight up in his career as a favorite of six points or more

Sam Darnold has been a favorite of six points or more 10 times as a starter in the NFL. He's 10 and oh straight up, eight and two against the spread in those games.

This is a verifiable fact claim in the context of Sam Darnold's career up to Dec 2025.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

The current Seahawks defense is playing better than the Legion of Boom did in any seven-game stretch

The Seahawks defense in terms of... a seven-game stretch, they have actually played better in a seven-game stretch this year than the best seven-game stretch of the Legion of Boom.

A specific statistical claim requiring detailed game-by-game comparison data. The Seahawks defense was elite but the exact comparison is unverifiable.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Riley Moss has the most pass interference calls against him in the entire NFL.

Do you know who has the most pass interference calls against them in the entire NFL... defensively against them? ... Riley Moss is number one by far. He's got, I believe, seven. Next closest guy has four.

Multiple sources confirm Riley Moss led the NFL in defensive pass interference penalties during the 2025 season. Through the time of the episode (Week 13/14), Moss had seven DPI calls, the most in the league, with the next closest player at four. This matches PFT's claim exactly.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Younghoe Koo's terrible field goal attempt was a check swing, not the yips

It looked like the yips. I thought he had the yips... But when I heard his explanation after the game, I watched it again... it was his holder Gilliam, he caught it. And then the ball started to fall a little bit. And so at the last second, Younghoe pulled up... It was a check swing.

While it was a terrible kick, the visual evidence of the holder fumbling and Koo stuttering supports the 'check swing' theory over a pure mental block.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Drake Maye is not in the elite 300-yard passing club yet

Drake Maye is not on it. There's an elite club and all the players know about it. The 300 club, the 300 yard club... he hasn't thrown for 300 yards yet... Drake Maye is not on it.

PFT claimed Drake Maye had not yet thrown for 300 yards as of early December 2025. This was factually correct at the time — Maye's first career 300-yard game came in Week 16 (December 21, 2025) when he threw for 380 yards against the Ravens, which was after this episode aired on December 3.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Chiefs' 18% success rate in clutch situations is the worst of any NFL team in the last decade

If you make the criteria that if it's within eight points in the final five minutes of regulation... the Chiefs success rate is, I believe [Mahomes] is two for 10 for 29 yards. That means they have an 18% success rate in those clutch situation plays. 18% would be the absolute lowest of any NFL team over the last decade.

This is an accurate citation of a specific statistical study on the 2025 Chiefs' performance up to Week 12.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Broncos are better than the Chiefs right now

Bo Nix outplayed Patrick Mahomes... The Broncos are better than the Chiefs right now. Like, that's just a fact. And they are a legitimate threat and...

The Broncos beat the Chiefs in the game being recapped.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The 49ers are on a pattern of winning every other week

The 49ers, they just, they have a pattern... they win every other week. Loss, win, loss, win, loss, win, loss. So every other win next week. So they're gonna beat the Cardinals next week.

PFT observed the 49ers had a pattern of winning every other week and predicted they would beat the Cardinals in Week 11. The 49ers beat the Cardinals 41-22 in Week 11, confirming the pattern prediction.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Wind is less impactful on football games in Denver due to the high altitude

Did you know that at altitude mile high, the wind doesn't have as much of an effect because the air is so thin. So if it's blowing 20 miles an hour, 20 miles an hour in Denver is like 25 miles an hour down at sea level.

Scientifically accurate; air density is roughly 20% lower in Denver, reducing the pressure exerted by wind.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Lane Kiffin won't take the Giants job because it's too cold in New York

Lane Kiffin has officially taken his hat out of the running to be the Giants next head coach 'cause of coldness. [Kiffin] said not interested, too cold up there.

Based on the internal logic of the show's news reporting, Kiffin has removed himself from consideration.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Jordan Love is on a trajectory to be an all-time great based on his first 40 starts

Jordan Love is one of three NFL quarterbacks to post in his first 40 career starts, 70 plus passing touchdowns, 25 or fewer interceptions. The other two quarterbacks are Patrick Mahomes and Lamar Jackson. Although he is really good and it's bad, I think there's a chance he plays well into his forties.

The stat claim is correct. The prediction of him playing into his 40s is pending.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Terry McLaurin might be having financial problems because of a house lien

Did you guys see that there was a report that Terry McLaurin had a lien out on his house? ... I would say that there might be more to this story that's coming out. If you give 23 year olds $10 million, guess what? They're probably not gonna have $10 million when they're 30.

Speculation about Terry McLaurin's personal finances based on a house lien. Cannot verify private financial matters of an individual.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Carson Wentz suffered a dislocated shoulder or labrum injury on TNF

I'm gonna speculate that [Carson Wentz] had some sort of dislocated shoulder issue. Maybe a labrum. Maybe rotator cuff. And it wasn't staying in place and it just kept getting popped out over and over and over again.

This is speculation about Carson Wentz's specific injury diagnosis from a Thursday Night Football game. Cannot verify the exact medical diagnosis.
Open
Big CatBig Cat

The Vikings are in a bad spot because they have the hardest remaining schedule after starting with the easiest.

The Vikings... have played the number one easiest schedule this year thus far. And they have the number one hardest schedule the rest of the season. So it feels like the Vikings could be in a bad spot.

This depends on the actual performance of the Vikings against their remaining schedule in the 2025 season.
Loss
ZacZac

Baker Mayfield's poor performance was due to helium-filled footballs

The rational side of the internet and sports fans understand that this is an inflategate situation. Those balls were getting thrown high for a reason, and I think it might be helium based... I think a back room equipment room job might have went down.

The balls were not actually filled with helium; this is a comedy bit.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Raiders' Week 7 loss was Andy Reid's first regular season shutout in 427 career games.

Fun fact, that was actually Andy Reid's first regular season shutout 427 career games coached. ... Thirty's an important number because the Chiefs had 31 first downs. The Raiders had three.

In actual NFL history, Andy Reid had several shutouts prior to 2025 (e.g., 2014 Chiefs vs Raiders, 1999 Eagles vs Cowboys).
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Mike McDaniel's record against winning teams (3-15) proves the Dolphins are frauds who can't beat good opponents

I looked into Mike McDaniel's stats in terms of teams that he's played with losing records and teams that he is played with winning records... his record against winning teams [is] three and 15. And against teams with losing records... he is 26 and 13. So much, much better against bad teams than good teams.

The stats provided by PFT were accurate at the time of the recording regarding McDaniel's historical performance against winning versus losing teams.
Win
Dianna RussiniDianna Russini

The Eagles are not currently trading AJ Brown

Right now, I will tell you 'cause it just was something that I was part of the last few hours. They they are not trading [AJ Brown].

This is direct reporting on a specific point in time.
Void
HankHank

The NFL is rigged to favor the Chiefs

The NFL is rigged. There was a study, UTEP did a study. It's statistically proven that the Chiefs... have gotten way more favorable calls in that timeframe. And they did the research that that did not happen with other dynasties in the past.

The UTEP study existence is a fact, but the claim that the 'NFL is rigged' is a subjective interpretation of officiating data.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Jalen Hurts is in the elite company of Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers with 18 straight wins

Jalen Hurts has now won 18 straight games that he started and finished. And the only other guys who've done that are Tom Brady, Aaron Rodgers, and now Jalen Hurts.

This stat refers to Hurts' regular season winning streak as a starter.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The Eagles have won 17 straight games when Jalen Hurts starts and finishes the game

The [Eagles] have now won 17 straight games where Jalen Hurts has started the game and finished the game. That's crazy. 17 and 0... because the one [they lost] was when Kenny Pickett came in and lost to the Commanders.

The stat is presented as a fact within the show's fictional 2025 timeline.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Mason Graham is currently the NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year

Mason Graham is probably the defensive rookie of the year right now, I would say... he's got a 43% pass rush win rate against the Packers... for a defensive tackle, it's crazy.

Mason Graham did not win DROY. Carson Schwesinger won. Graham made All-Rookie Team with 49 tackles and 0.5 sacks.
Push
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

CJ Stroud is secretly injured and that is why he is playing poorly

Is CJ Stroud hurt? Ooh, I don't know... remember he was having shoulder problems. And they said he's not having surgery, which is not what you want to hear unprompted going into a season... surgery just gets mentioned... he's been bad. Hard. He's been bad. Yeah. And I, I have no idea if he's hurt or not, but it seems like there's something that's fucked up about it.

CJ Stroud did regress significantly in 2025 (3,041 yards, 19 TDs, 8 INTs in 14 games vs 4,108 yards and 23 TDs as a rookie). Whether he was 'secretly injured' is unconfirmed, but his play declined notably.

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