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PMTPMT DB

Takes

Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Mike Tomlin and the Steelers are likely to break up after this season

My Hot Seat is Mike Tomlin and the Steelers. Because I actually think that he might, this might be it... they don't change anything. And it's, I mean, TJ Watt said it. I think the bills ran the same play 27 times on Sunday. Yeah. That's insane. It feels like this is finally [the end].

Tomlin signed an extension through 2027 in the real world, but the sentiment of the 'break up' is a recurring narrative every time the Steelers struggle.
Loss
ZacZac

Baker Mayfield's poor performance was due to helium-filled footballs

The rational side of the internet and sports fans understand that this is an inflategate situation. Those balls were getting thrown high for a reason, and I think it might be helium based... I think a back room equipment room job might have went down.

The balls were not actually filled with helium; this is a comedy bit.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Commanders' ceiling this season is a second-round playoff loss

I think at the best this team is going to be good enough to lose in the second round of the playoffs. That's the ceiling. I think that's the ceiling this year.

The Commanders didn't even make the playoffs. They collapsed and were eliminated in Week 14. Far worse than a second-round loss ceiling.
Loss
ZacZac

The Buccaneers could make a Super Bowl run

My Cool Throne for today is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Because after watching Baker go over to top to Buca and, you know, Buca didn't get a ton of yards, but he was fighting for every yard that he got. I keep watching clips and I keep, I keep having this thought in the back of my head. Like, we could just, we might, we could just make a run... it could go to the Super Bowl.

The Bucs were a competitive playoff team but did not reach the Super Bowl in the 2024 season.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Terry McLaurin will sign his new contract today

I think Terry [McLaurin] is going to sign my prediction. My official prediction. I think he's signing today. Whoa. I think he's signing on Wednesday... The crazy bird inside my own brain is telling me he's going to sign today.

Terry McLaurin did eventually sign a 3-year, $96 million extension with the Commanders, but it was in late August 2025, not on the specific day PFT predicted.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Justin Herbert will have a breakout season because he's dating Madison Beer

I agree. I think this is actually Justin Herbert's breakout season. Yeah. Yeah. I like this like getting the hot girlfriend. He's now he's around.

Justin Herbert is not publicly known to be dating Madison Beer; this is part of the episode's rumor/future mill.
Loss
ZacZac

Baker Mayfield will be the #1 player in the NFL Top 100 next year

Baker Mayfield has made it to num number 50 spot on the NFL top 100 list... I not being on the list. So math tells me next year he's number one.

While Mayfield has improved, reaching the #1 spot in the player-voted Top 100 is highly unlikely given the presence of Mahomes, Jackson, etc.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

TJ Watt is unhappy in Pittsburgh and wants to leave

TJ Watt... he's gonna cost a lot of money. I think he's unhappy and I think he wants to go... I could imagine TJ Watt wearing a Green Bay Packers jersey.

TJ Watt remained with the Steelers and did not request a trade to Green Bay or Washington.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Rob Gronkowski is considering an NFL comeback with the Denver Broncos

Rob Gronkowski is considering a return to the NFL and that he would like to potentially play for the Denver Broncos... I'm told he loves Denver and Quarterback Bo Nix... He's gonna be a Bronco. There's no other way for him to do this than be a Bronco.

Gronk has been retired since 2022 and there is no substantiated evidence he is returning to play for Bo Nix.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Bears will beat the 49ers this week because they'll play hard for Thomas Brown

I actually think the Bears are gonna win that game. I think they're gonna play for Thomas Brown.

The Bears played the 49ers on Dec 8, 2024. The 49ers won 38-13.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Chargers at 45-to-1 to win the Super Bowl is an incredible value

I've decided to put a future on the Chargers to win the Super Bowl. They're 45-to-1. I don't think they're gonna win the Super Bowl. I do think we'd get in a spot where they get to the playoffs and we could potentially hedge. This is Jim Harbaugh's team. This is Jim Harbaugh's football team. I think they're gonna get to 10 wins.

The Chargers made the playoffs (11-6) but lost in the Wild Card round to the Texans 12-32. They didn't come close to winning the Super Bowl, so the 45-to-1 bet did not pay off.
Loss
HankHank

The 'walls' at Barstool Sports say Christian McCaffrey might retire

The walls at Barstool Sports have been saying... Christopher McCaffrey might retire. Double Achilles tendonitis is not good... he's definitely not gonna play this season.

McCaffrey did not retire in 2024 and returned to play, though the 'walls' rumor about the severity was somewhat accurate regarding his time missed.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Zach Wilson is genuinely in the mix for the starting job in Denver over Bo Nix

Zach Wilson is currently in the mix for the starting job in Denver. Which is crazy because Sean Payton, he compared Bo Nix to Peyton Manning and Drew Brees. So imagine how good Zach Wilson has to be to be competing to start over a combination of Peyton Manning and Drew Brees.

OpinionFootballMediumSarcastic
Bo Nix was named the starter for Week 1, as most expected, despite the 'competition.'
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Michael Penix Jr. probably had an AARP card in his backpack during his scouting meetings.

An a a RP card. That's what Michael Penix had without a [doubt].

Likely incorrect as he was only 23-24 at the time, though comedic hyperbole.
Loss
Jake MarshJake Marsh

The Broncos will beat the Lions because Russell Wilson will have 'baby bump' luck from his new child

Next on [the Lions] schedule is the Denver Broncos and Russell Wilson has the baby bump. [Big Cat:] Yep, yep, yep. He had a baby. [Jake:] Yes. So that's Saturday night.

The Lions defeated the Broncos 42-17 on December 16, 2023.
Loss
HankHank

The Bills will make the Super Bowl and lose to the Cowboys

My overly direct take is that I think the Bills are gonna make the Super Bowl... And then lose to the Cowboys... I think they're gonna rally and and make a deep run.

Neither team made the Super Bowl. The Bills lost in the Divisional round and the Cowboys lost in the Wild Card round.
Loss
Jake MarshJake Marsh

Joe Flacco will lead the Browns to an AFC North title

My overly direct take guys, is that Joe Flacco will lead the Cleveland Browns to an AFC North Division Championship.

The Baltimore Ravens won the AFC North. The Browns finished second and entered as a Wild Card.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Jerry Jones wants the Cowboys to run the Iowa offense with an all-tight end focus

Jerry Jones went on radio and said something ridiculous... They asked him about getting CeeDee Lamb more involved and Jerry Jones said, 'I don't know about that. I like seeing the ball go to tight ends.' Oh, your star wide receiver? That is a mismatch. Nope. Let's go tight ends. Jerry Jones, he wants to run the Iowa offense.

Lamb eventually became the focal point of the offense and had a career year.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The future of the Green Bay Packers looks bleak

I'm actually gonna go with the Green Bay Packers. Oh, I like it. Just strictly based on what we saw on Monday night.

Incorrect. The Packers went on a tear in the second half of the season, finished 9-8, and destroyed the Cowboys in the Wild Card round, establishing Jordan Love as a franchise star.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Baker Mayfield will win NFL Comeback Player of the Year

I put a little future on Baker [Mayfield] Win Comeback Player of the year. And I, for whatever reason, I just think that I, maybe it's that game that he had on, was it Christmas? Yeah. The Christmas game sold me.

Joe Flacco won the 2023 NFL Comeback Player of the Year. Mayfield was a finalist and had a great season, but did not win the award.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Buccaneers' depth chart 'OR' listing is bad news for Baker Mayfield

My Hot Seat is the Bucks. ... At the quarterback position they have Baker Mayfield or Kyle Trask listed as QB One. ... I feel like this is bad news for Baker. 'cause most people assume that Bake was gonna be QB one, right? ... This is telling me that Baker, they want Baker to be the QB one, but he's stunk in training camp, so they're like, well we can't demote him yet, so we'll just make it an or.

Baker Mayfield won the starting job and led the Buccaneers to the playoffs with a career-best season, effectively disproving the idea he was 'stinking' or in real danger of losing to Trask.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Carson Wentz is a bad backup quarterback

I still think Carson Wentz, even though he is better than a lot of backup quarterbacks, probably doesn't fill the backup quarterback role very well. ... You want your backup quarterback to be able to fill in for like one game. ... Chase Daniel is way better than Carson Wentz at the role of backup.

Wentz eventually signed with the Rams as a backup and played well in a Week 18 start, showing he could handle the one-game fill-in role effectively.
Loss
Billy FootballBilly Football

Davante Adams will be traded to the Jets at the deadline

Aaron Rogers took a $35 million pay cut. Right. Davante Adams... I'm very happy with the contract. I feel great about it on his contract. So hypothetically at the trade deadline, something were to happen. Like we have super teams now.

Davante Adams was not traded to the Jets during the 2023 season. He remained a Raider until 2024.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Almost every NFL team would immediately fire their coach to hire Bill Belichick if he became available

How many teams currently would fire their coach to hire Bill Belichick? Everyone would love him. It would be everyone but maybe the Chiefs and the 49ers. It can't be more than like five teams total that wouldn't fire their current coach... that's why you don't fire Bill Belichick. He would get a job instantly.

The Patriots and Belichick parted ways after the 2023 season, and he notably did not get hired by any team for the 2024 season, making this claim incorrect.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Chief Aholic is a modern-day Robin Hood who we shouldn't be castigating

Chief Aholic is basically a modern day Robin Hood. Stole from the banks, gave to himself and we're, we're castigating him for it. We're throwing him in jail maybe for the rest of his life. It feels messed up.

Chief Aholic (Xaviar Michael Babudar) was sentenced to prison in 2024 for a multi-state bank robbery spree.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Rams at Saints game will be flexed out of Thursday Night Football

I predict right now Ram Saints, that's gonna be flexed.

The Rams vs. Saints game in Week 16 was NOT flexed; it played on Thursday night as scheduled.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Dan Snyder should be arrested and put in jail for tampering with Andrew Luck

Just arrest Dan Snyder. And I think that would be fine. I think that would satisfy all parties. [regarding allegations the Commanders contacted Andrew Luck].

OpinionFootballHotSarcastic
Tampering is not a criminal offense that leads to jail time in the NFL.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Eric Bieniemy might be bombing head coaching interviews on purpose to stay with the Chiefs

I think he's bombing him on purpose. I really do. Because I think that being the offensive coordinator of the Kansas City Chiefs is better than being the head coach of like 20 franchises. So he's like, yeah, I'll just go through the motions bomb this interview, and then I'll get to go be the offensive coordinator of Patrick Mahomes and, and keep piling up Super Bowl wings rings.

Shortly after this episode, Bieniemy left the Chiefs to become the OC of the Washington Commanders, proving he was willing to leave to prove himself elsewhere.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Aaron Rodgers will come out of his darkness retreat and realize it's cool to just keep making $40 million to play for the Packers

Aaron Rods is doing his annual, I left the last game of the Packers saying, I don't know what's in the future. I'm gonna go into a four day silent hut and, and do drugs... congratulations Aaron Rods in advance for coming out of his retreat and realizing that Yeah. It's pretty cool to make 40 million a year to be the quarterback of the Green Bay Packers.

Rodgers did come out and request a trade to the Jets shortly after, moving on from the Packers.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Tom Brady is not actually retired

This was my hot seat because I actually think it's hot seat. The Tom Brady retirement. He's not, he's spending an entire year off. He's basically admitting that he's not gonna start broadcasting games till 2024. He's not retired... This feels like he's just leaving the door a little bit open.

Tom Brady did not return to the NFL and transitioned to his broadcasting role as planned in 2024.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I am fading the Chiefs until Chiefaholic is released from prison.

Chief's Twitter went into a panic trying to find out where Chiefaholic was. ... stopped in Bixby, Oklahoma real quick as one does, robbed the bank, got caught, and now he's in, I believe federal prison awaiting sentencing. ... I plan on fading the chiefs until they release Chiefaholic from prison.

PredictionFootballHotSarcastic
The Chiefs went on to win the Super Bowl that same season despite their superfan being in prison.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

I bet Tua Tagovailoa to win the MVP at 16 to 1

I made another bet—Tua [Tagovailoa] to win the MVP 16 to one. What's gonna, if Josh—this is, it is also based like, I hope Josh Allen's not hurt, but if he is hurt, Tua feels like he's got a lot of, lot of like people feel bad about the concussions. He's gonna have some, a lot of numbers.

Patrick Mahomes won the 2022 NFL MVP. Tua did not win.
Loss
Billy FootballBilly Football

Sam Ehlinger is a better quarterback than Trevor Lawrence

The original take was Sam Ehlinger was a better quarterback than Trevor Lawrence. Right. If Sam Ehlinger even looks he won the bracket. If they finish above 500, I think you get a dub.

Trevor Lawrence established himself as a franchise QB while Ehlinger failed to keep the starting job long-term.
Loss
Billy FootballBilly Football

Baker Mayfield will 'fuck up' the Cleveland Browns in Week 1

My hot seat are the Browns. Baker Mayfield... was quoted saying 'I'm going to fuck them up' in regards to the Browns. That's my hot seat Baker.

Baker Mayfield and the Panthers lost to the Browns 26-24 in Week 1. He did not 'fuck them up' in the box score.
Loss
HankHank

Saquon Barkley's 'kill mindset' quote will be used against him as soon as he has a bad game

My cool throne is the Giants fantasy people that are gonna draft Saquon Barkley. He said, it's kill mindset now. It's like, fuck everybody. I'm sure that won't be like a quote that gets turned around when it's like that quote and then him going like, 14 rushes for 60 yards.

Saquon Barkley had a highly successful 2022 season, silencing doubters and justifying his confidence.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Desmond Ridder 'is him' and is already NFL ready

My hot seat is Marcus Mariota... I watched the Jets Falcons game last night. I think Desmond Ridder is that guy. I think he is him... I think I'm ready to say based off watching him one time in the preseason that this is gonna be a guy that I will believe in for the next four years.

Ridder failed to secure the Falcons' starting job long-term and was eventually traded after several benchings.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Geno Smith should be a first-half specialist and Drew Lock should be the closer

Geno Smith, I think plays pretty well based on recent experiences in like the first half. And then Drew Lock is good in garbage time. So I think they should put Geno Smith in, in the first half as the first half specialist. Drew Lock comes in as the closer.

Hot TakeFootballHotSarcastic
Geno Smith became the full-time starter and NFL Comeback Player of the Year, making this two-QB system unnecessary.
Loss
Billy FootballBilly Football

Mekhi Becton's shattered kneecap could be good for his career

I think maybe this time will do him well, mature, and we'll see him this year. The shattered kneecap could be really good for his NFL career is what I'm trying to say, trying to be optimistic.

Becton missed the entire 2022 season and was eventually let go by the Jets after years of injuries; a shattered kneecap is rarely 'good' for a 350lb lineman.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Rams would have won the Super Bowl by more if Jared Goff was the quarterback instead of Matthew Stafford

Trading for Matthew Stafford was a bad idea. They would've won the Super Bowl by more if Jared Goff was our quarterback. Matthew Stafford was a bad idea.

The Rams won the Super Bowl in Stafford's first year as starter, and Goff was traded away specifically to upgrade the position; there is no evidence the team would have been better with Goff.
Loss
Billy FootballBilly Football

The New York Jets are an absolute wagon this year

My hot seat is the AFC East today. I visited Jets camp and I have to say they are all totally on the hot seat because the Jets are an absolute wagon. And their offense looked electric. Seriously.

The Jets started 7-4 but lost their final six games to finish 7-10 and missed the playoffs.
Loss
Billy FootballBilly Football

Elijah Moore is a step above everybody else in the NFL

I saw [Elijah Moore] today in person and he was making grabs all over the field. It was like, that guy is a different kind of player. Like he's a step above everybody else.

Moore had a disappointing 2022 season (446 yards, 1 TD) and was traded to the Browns the following offseason.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Dan Snyder will finally be convicted of perjury this year

This is the year sir resign, sir. I'd like to see old Dan Snyder wiggle his way out of this one... I will find a way that he is committing perjury. I will find it. I will, I will get Dan Snyder convicted on perjury somehow some way.

Dan Snyder was never convicted of perjury, though he eventually sold the team in 2023.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

N'Keal Harry will be a stud and a weapon for Justin Fields

My cool throne is the bears are back because we got N'Keal Harry who he's awesome... another weapon for Justin Fields. N'Keal Harry, he's going to be a stud he's first round draft pick.

N'Keal Harry had only 7 catches for 116 yards in his one season with the Bears and was not a 'stud'.
Loss
Billy FootballBilly Football

Zach Wilson is looking extra crispy in Jets training camp

Cool throne, Zach Wilson has been having great training camp. He went for nine 11 on 11 drills. So we're saying that he's looking extra crispy in camp. It's a pretty serious.

Zach Wilson had a poor 2022 season, finishing with a 72.8 passer rating and being benched for Mike White, proving he was not 'extra crispy' when it mattered.
Loss
Billy FootballBilly Football

The Jets are a wagon and will beat the Patriots in Week 8

Jets are a wagon, calling it. Week 8 at MetLife, they're beating the Pats, calling it right now. We're updated, upgraded... we don't have Mr. INT anymore.

The Patriots beat the Jets 22-17 in Week 8 (Oct 30, 2022). Billy's prediction was incorrect.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Kyler Murray will go play baseball when he's 28 years old

It's wild. I don't know how this, I mean, yeah, they're going to pay him and then he's going to be upset and he's going to be more upset and they're not going to win. He's going to be more upset. And then he's going to, I feel like when he's like 28, he's gonna be like, I'm going to go play baseball.

Kyler Murray turned 28 in August 2025 and did not leave to play baseball. He suffered a lisfranc injury in Week 5 and was shut down for the season, but remained an NFL player with the Cardinals.
Loss
MemesMemes

Sean McVay should retire and join ESPN's Monday Night Football for more money and fewer hours

I'm going with the ESPN Monday night crew on the hot seat because supposedly if McVay wants out, ESPN wants him in for Monday night football. Tony Romo makes 18 million... Why would he want to work? Like 100th of the amount of hours and time and stress for, for more money? Yeah. I, I think that's a pretty good deal.

McVay did not retire and stayed with the Rams.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Defense no longer wins championships in the modern NFL

I did, did you guys see that, that one tweet where someone was like, this must be what it feels like for kids to find out Santa Claus isn't real. And it was a text someone shared from their dad saying defense no longer wins championships.

The Rams won Super Bowl LVI shortly after this, largely due to a defensive line that recorded 7 sacks and held the Bengals to 20 points.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Andy Reid's food metaphors mean the entire NFL is in trouble

Andy Reed really put cake on the hot seat... He just thinks of everything his life as it's related to food. Once he starts thinking about food, he physically gets hungry and then he's going to mentally get hungry. And then the entire NFL, next thing he knows in trouble.

The Chiefs did not win the Super Bowl this year (lost to Bengals in AFC Championship), but Reid's dominance remained high in subsequent years.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The new Washington team name will be the 'Red Hogs'

I'm thinking it's going to be the red hogs, which I, which I love actually, because you're given a throwback to the hogs, the old offensive line. And you can do so much cool shit with pissed off looking pigs.

The team officially became the Washington Commanders on February 2, 2022.

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