PMTPMT DB

Takes

Win
Take Slip·Feb 9, 2026
#PMT-2026-0209-8681
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The valuation of the Seahawks franchise will skyrocket now that they have won a Super Bowl.

I'm very happy for the current ownership group who will now get to put up for sale a Super Bowl champion team. Price of the bag just went up for the Seahawks. Big time.

Seahawks are Super Bowl champions in this timeline. The sale price would naturally increase.
Open
Take Slip·Aug 15, 2025
#PMT-2025-0815-4489
Big CatBig Cat

Sports fans will eventually be forced back to cable bundles due to the high cost of streaming

It sucks what they're doing to us as sports fans overall. Where we have to have every subscription, a million different channels... I think the government is gonna try to break 'em up... No, we're going back to cable. Yeah. We have to go back to cable. Yeah. They're gonna bundle 'em.

The trend in sports media is shifting toward 'Venu' and other bundles that resemble the old cable model.
Open
#PMT-2025-0618-19700
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Brian Rolapp is being sent to the PGA Tour to eventually facilitate Saudi investment in the NFL

What's the biggest challenge facing golf right now? Getting everyone to play in one league. He's being brought in I think in large part to figure out that framework, make a deal so that Liv and PGA get back together... and then he is gonna come back to the NFL in a few years and be like, okay, we're opening up the potential investors in NFL teams to foreign investment funds.

This involves long-term multi-year league policy shifts.
Open
Take Slip·Feb 12, 2025
#PMT-2025-0212-19923
Adam SilverAdam Silver

NBA broadcasts will soon allow fans to toggle sports betting information on or off

I think we're not that far away where you're just gonna go click. And if you don't want any information about sports betting, you won't have to look at it. On the other hand, if you're someone in a state where it's illegal and you can get, get a bet on sports, you'll see a lot more information if that's what you want.

Streaming platforms like Prime Video and various RSN apps are already testing these interactive overlays.
Open
#PMT-2025-0120-3019
HankHank

TikTok will never actually get banned

I think they said they're, they're doing like a 90 day extension and then it might be banned again, but there's just no way that it ever gets banned.

As of the current date, TikTok has faced multiple ban threats that have been delayed or mitigated.
Open
Take Slip·Jun 7, 2023
#PMT-2023-0607-1957
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Foreign investment funds will eventually buy American sports teams as prices exceed what US billionaires can afford

As the teams get more and more expensive, there's fewer and fewer people who can afford to pay for these teams. At some point, the foreign investment funds are gonna become part of the shrinking pool of available billions that can buy American sports teams. We might be on that slide down there.

The NBA and other leagues have already started relaxing rules for sovereign wealth fund investments in minority stakes.
Win
#PMT-2023-0412-9144
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Bar managers will be completely lost on Week 1 of YouTube Sunday Ticket

They are going to have to figure out how to get YouTube on all their TVs at once. And they, they are gonna be completely lost week one of next year... Bar owners week one. It's gonna be a shit show.

There were numerous reports of technical difficulties and confusion for business owners during the initial transition in Fall 2023.
Loss
Take Slip·Jun 8, 2022
#PMT-2022-0608-16724
Will LevisWill Levis

Shiba Inu cryptocurrency will eventually go back up

I get them to get back on the Shiba Inu train, man. I mean, it's last summer. I think he got some hype earlier this year, but it's always going to come back up. Stocking crypto only goes up as we all know, you're gonna, you're gonna make a lot of money.

PredictionBusinessFireSarcastic
Shiba Inu, like most memecoins, remained significantly down from its 2021/early 2022 highs throughout 2022 and 2023.
Loss
#PMT-2022-0119-12608
Billy FootballBilly Football

5G radars will ground all US air travel

Turns out a bunch of the airline CEOs said that the new 5G radars that are getting put on for telecommunications, once they get turned on, it's going to affect a bunch of their planes landing. And that they're going to have to ground all US air travel tomorrow.

While there were some flight delays and cancellations, US air travel was not grounded 'all' at once, and 5G rollouts were managed with buffer zones around airports.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 27, 2021
#PMT-2021-1027-7735
Mike FlorioMike Florio

There is a greater than 50% chance Dan Snyder is forced to sell the Washington Football Team

I'd say once somebody with the power to get to the bottom of it gets involved [Congress], it gets north of 50... Once we know about some of the things that Beth Wilkinson, the investigator found, yeah, I think it becomes untenable at that point publicly for Snyder to continue.

Dan Snyder was eventually forced to sell the team in 2023 for $6.05 billion.
Win
#PMT-2021-0908-5783
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Spirit Halloween will have a massive year because of vacant retail space

I think also this is going to be a huge year for Spirit Halloween because we had so many businesses that totally went out of business over the last year. There's so much more retail space. There could be one on every single block.

Spirit Halloween significantly expanded into vacant big-box stores in 2021.
Open
Take Slip·Apr 23, 2021
#PMT-2021-0423-6288
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Mark Davis will eventually have to sell the Raiders because he won't be able to afford the inheritance tax.

And then when Mark gets the team, he's not going to have the money to pay the inheritance tax on it. Correct. And so he'll have to sell that team.

This prediction depends on future events (Carol Davis passing and subsequent tax filings). As of now, Mark Davis still owns the team.
Win
Take Slip·Mar 1, 2021
#PMT-2021-0301-11503
Big CatBig Cat

The NBA Top Shot market is a bubble and investors will lose money

This bubble's going to be painful for some people. That could be one day. The Top Shot bubble... I'm leery on Top Shot... Let's not pretend that this is going to be your retirement account.

The NFT and Top Shot market crashed significantly in late 2021 and 2022, with many moments losing over 90% of their value.
Open
Take Slip·Feb 8, 2021
#PMT-2021-0208-12329
Billy FootballBilly Football

I will spend my Rough N' Rowdy winnings on Dogecoin

So, Billy, what are you going to spend the winnings on? ... Dogecoin.

While it's unverified if he put every cent into it, Dogecoin peaked in May 2021, so if he did buy it in February and held, he would have made a significant profit before the crash.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 29, 2021
#PMT-2021-0129-9290
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I'm shorting Robinhood as soon as they go live

I'm shorting Robinhood, though, when they eventually go live.

Robinhood went public in July 2021 at $38, peaked briefly, and then crashed significantly, losing over 70% of its value within a year. Shorting it would have been highly profitable.
Push
Take Slip·Jan 29, 2021
#PMT-2021-0129-9309
Brian KoppelmanBrian Koppelman

Civil damages against Robinhood for breaking user agreements could be enormous

If Robinhood shut down and stopped you from being able to trade, in violation of the user agreement you signed, I think the damages against them in a civil case are fucking extraordinary, enormous damages.

Robinhood faced over 50 class-action lawsuits. While many were dismissed or settled for smaller amounts than 'enormous', they did pay a $70 million fine to FINRA (the largest ever at the time).
Loss
Take Slip·Jan 27, 2021
#PMT-2021-0127-1374
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Wall Street will eventually make it illegal to talk about stocks online once they realize message boards are too powerful

What will probably happen is there's going to be one hedge fund that goes out of business like Bear Stearns or whatever and then they're going to come back, rewrite the laws so it's going to be illegal to talk about stocks online and then boom now they're fucking you again for the next hundred years.

While regulatory discussions followed, talking about stocks remains legal, though market manipulation rules are strictly monitored.
Push
Take Slip·Dec 28, 2020
#PMT-2020-1228-17123
Big CatBig Cat

Amazon will eventually buy the entire NFL

Amazon is going to buy the entire NFL eventually. You think it was a one-off [the Amazon game]? It is not. Amazon is going to buy the entire NFL.

Amazon secured exclusive rights to Thursday Night Football shortly after this, though they have not bought the entire league.
Loss
Take Slip·Oct 14, 2020
#PMT-2020-1014-4084
Billy FootballBilly Football

I am developing an app to crowdsource the 'vibe' and gender ratio of bars in real-time

I have developed an idea for a Marketplace that will get information from producers to consumers in The Nightlife and entertainment industry. It would crowdsource information real time from people on the street going to a bar or a restaurant... You basically just get demographics to go where you want... how many dudes are at the bar right now?

The app 'Gala' (or 'How Many Dudes') never launched as a successful commercial product.
Win
Take Slip·May 15, 2020
#PMT-2020-0515-5273
Mark CubanMark Cuban

States will 100% legalize sports gambling post-pandemic for the tax revenue

One hundred percent. Absolutely. They need the tax revenue. And absolutely, the minute you can get one inside the arena... all in.

Following 2020, dozens of states legalized sports betting to generate revenue, and several NBA arenas (like the Wizards') now have on-site sportsbooks.
Push
Take Slip·Apr 17, 2020
#PMT-2020-0417-11981
Christian DawkinsChristian Dawkins

If NCAA rules don't change, cryptocurrency will be used to pay college athletes

If instead of way rules don't change something is going to be the new thing because It is again. That's how it works. It has to happen... it wouldn't surprise me if that's the that's the move in the next couple of years if nothing changes.

While NIL laws changed in 2021 (making payments legal), some rogue boosters and collectives have indeed utilized crypto for transactions.
Loss
Take Slip·Mar 2, 2020
#PMT-2020-0302-12658
Big CatBig Cat

I think the stock market is going to bounce back

I was on the NASDAQ floor on Thursday. I think the stock market's going to bounce back.

The stock market suffered its fastest 30% drop in history throughout March 2020 due to the pandemic.
Win
Take Slip·Feb 26, 2020
#PMT-2020-0226-642
Kevin O'LearyKevin O'Leary

WeWork is a disaster that will inevitably go to zero.

You are a zero and you're going to zero with a bullet... It always goes to zero because what you're basically doing is taking long-term debt obligations to either lease or buy a building and then you're providing short-term leases to some really shitty companies that don't make any money... It is a disaster on wheels.

WeWork eventually filed for bankruptcy in 2023 after its valuation crashed from $47 billion to essentially zero.
Win
Take Slip·Feb 12, 2020
#PMT-2020-0212-6543
Dana BDana B

There is a 90% chance I will sell $1,000,000 in Zillion Beers merch by Sunday

[What percent chance do you think you have to make a million?] A zillion? Yeah. Actually, 90%.

Dana B successfully reached the $1 million sales goal by the deadline.
Win
Take Slip·Feb 5, 2020
#PMT-2020-0205-4008
Mark CubanMark Cuban

AI will allow podcasts to be seamlessly translated into native languages like Chinese while preserving the original voice

I got this company Synthesia right where we can just over we could take train a voice to put on anybody... it looks like I'm saying it right because it matches all up... if we get you guys sitting there and training it for like 20 minutes and you want to have it done in Native Chinese or native Spanish or whatever. So it looks like you guys are doing the podcast.

In 2023, Spotify launched exactly this feature using OpenAI's voice-cloning technology.
Open
Take Slip·Jan 24, 2020·Media
#PMT-2020-0124-4158
Big CatBig Cat

Buy TikTok stock when it goes public

Mike Francesa told me... TikTok. Invest in TikTok. So invest in TikTok, invest in all the apps, invest in all the social media... when TikTok goes public, buy it, buy it again and get back in line three times to buy it some more.

TikTok remains a massive global platform, but ByteDance has not had an IPO as of late 2024.
Win
Take Slip·Mar 15, 2019
#PMT-2019-0315-1948
Fran FraschillaFran Fraschilla

Nike will sign Zion Williamson to a $75M-$100M deal because of his marketing potential

I think Nike's going to sign him to a $75 million to $100 million deal because, A, they owe it to him, but, B, this kid's going to sell sneakers... I guarantee you when he's in the NBA, they're going to double stitch those bad boys.

Zion signed a 7-year, $75 million deal with Jordan Brand (Nike) in July 2019.
Loss
Take Slip·Feb 27, 2019
#PMT-2019-0227-715
Dennis RodmanDennis Rodman

Pot Coin will take off in the next six to twelve months

My guys that came up with this idea of pot coin back in Canada. ... It's going to take off. I mean, yeah, it's going to take off. ... I think in the next say in the next six to 12 months, it should be popping off.

Pot Coin never became a mainstream or widely successful cryptocurrency, and its price remained largely stagnant after the 2017-18 crypto bubble.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 12, 2018
#PMT-2018-1212-7781
Daymond JohnDaymond John

CBD is the next big industry bubble

[The next bubble is] CBD. I like CBD if it's the real stuff, but I think that there are a lot of fly-by-night companies right now that are trying to capitalize on it.

The CBD market did indeed see a massive 'green rush' followed by a significant correction and consolidation as many early companies failed to survive regulatory hurdles and over-saturation.
Open
Take Slip·Nov 19, 2018
#PMT-2018-1119-10056
Jon TafferJon Taffer

No one will own cars in 15 years because of automation

He [CEO of Mercedes-Benz] says in 15 years that we're not going to own cars anymore. They're all going to be electric vehicles... The vehicle will pull up in front of your house... those changes are going to change the entire world. [Auto insurance and repair industries will disappear].

We are roughly halfway through this timeline (2024). While autonomous tech has advanced, car ownership remains high and the auto insurance/repair industries are still massive. The 15-year total disappearance seems highly unlikely.
Loss
#PMT-2018-0730-19793
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Facebook is officially done as a relevant company

I'm calling my shot. I'm going to put the PFT death stake is going into Facebook right now. Wow. They're done. Have you been on Facebook recently? No. It's trash... it's all ants, trolls, and ants.

While Facebook's reputation suffered, it remains one of the world's most valuable companies (Meta) with billions of users.
Win
Take Slip·Jul 2, 2018
#PMT-2018-0702-1198
Jon TafferJon Taffer

Digital menus where you touch items to see pictures are the future of dining

Here's what's going to happen with digital menus... We're going to look at a menu. We're going to see stuff listed... When I touch the item, I'll see the picture... and then it'll disappear... so I can see it when I want to.

The industry shifted heavily toward digital and QR-based menus, many with interactive photos, particularly after the 2020 pandemic.
Push
#PMT-2018-0620-2347
HankHank

Puma is on a five-year comeback in the sports world

I think Puma's going to be on the comeback. Remember when players started going to Adidas a few years ago? Everyone was kind of shitting on it... Now Adidas is back. Puma's on the five-year come-up.

Puma did significantly increase its NBA presence with LaMelo Ball and others, but it hasn't quite reached the tier of dominance Hank implied, though it is much more relevant than in 2017.
Void
Take Slip·May 14, 2018
#PMT-2018-0514-14851
Ricky WilliamsRicky Williams

Big Cat should buy Bitcoin, but PFT Commenter should stay away

Should you buy Bitcoin? I would say for Big Cat, I'd say for sure do it. For PFT, I would say not a good idea for you right now.

Bitcoin was around $8,700 on this day. It dropped to $3,200 by December 2018 (bad short term), but exploded years later. The disparity between advice for the two hosts makes it more of a horoscope bit.
Push
#PMT-2018-0207-16883
Big CatBig Cat

Now is the best time to buy Bitcoin

Isn't now the best time to buy Bitcoin? I'm going to buy more Bitcoin. That's the plan, right? You've got to reinvest. That's just investing 101.

In Feb 2018, Bitcoin was around $7,000-$8,000. It proceeded to drop to $3,000 by the end of the year, so it was a bad short-term move, though obviously good long-term.
Loss
Take Slip·Dec 22, 2017
#PMT-2017-1222-4956
Mr. PortnoyMr. Portnoy

Bitcoin will be worth nothing within a year

The other not-so-optimistic side, I guess, would be that in about six months or a year, [Bitcoin] will be worth nothing... I know you guys don't want to hear that, especially Dan and a relative of mine, but who knows what's going to happen with that.

Bitcoin did not go to zero; it eventually reached all-time highs over $60,000 in subsequent years.
Loss
#PMT-2017-1129-17845
Big CatBig Cat

Bitcoin is the future and will replace physical money

You think that the dollar bill's in your pocket right now? You think they're going to last forever? You think money's going to last forever? Okay, so Bitcoin's the future, baby. There's not going to be money in the future. There's going to be Bitcoin.

While Bitcoin remains a major asset class, it has not replaced physical currency as the primary medium of exchange years later.
Open
#PMT-2017-1122-14914
Billy FootballBilly Football

Net Neutrality will slow down porn

Can you just explain to me what this means for porn? I don't care. It'll definitely slow it down. It's slowing porn down.

Win
Take Slip·Nov 17, 2017
#PMT-2017-1117-3568
Chad MillmanChad Millman

Sports betting will be legalized across the United States within 12 to 36 months

When do you think, if you had to guess a date? [Big Cat asks] 12 to 36 months. ... The Supreme Court in two and a half weeks is going to hear a case that is New Jersey brought against the Department of Justice to have all of the sports betting ban overturned. It's called PASPA. ... They will rule in June. Depending on how they rule is going to have a huge impact.

The Supreme Court overturned PASPA in May 2018, roughly 6 months after this interview, allowing states to legalize sports betting. Legalization began immediately thereafter.
Loss
Take Slip·Sep 27, 2017
#PMT-2017-0927-8265
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Big Baller Brand will corner the market because they're the only shoe company not implicated in the bribery scandal

Big Baller Brand, by being the only shoe company that's not implicated, could have just cornered the market.

Big Baller Brand failed for many reasons, but not because of the FBI investigation. They did not corner the market.
Win
Take Slip·Mar 29, 2017
#PMT-2017-0329-5377
Big CatBig Cat

Legalized gambling will be available across the country in five years.

Football in Vegas, I'm saying, calling your shot five years, say five years, legalized gambling all across the country, it's going to be great.

The Supreme Court overturned the federal ban on sports betting (PASPA) in May 2018, and it spread to dozens of states within Big Cat's 5-year window.
Win
Take Slip·Feb 8, 2017
#PMT-2017-0208-19544
Scott Van PeltScott Van Pelt

Sports gambling will be legal everywhere in the next 10 years

When do you think it's going to be legalized? ... I don't know, 10 years? I mean, how many states right now can you buy weed legally? ... It's going to be legal in some period of time.

The Supreme Court overturned PASPA in May 2018, leading to rapid legalization across many US states within just a few years.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 30, 2017
#PMT-2017-0130-1693
Stu FeinerStu Feiner

Sports gambling will be legalized 100% across the United States

In the near future, do you see sports gambling being legalized across the country? 100%. Oh, my God. I'll be a multimillionaire overnight because I can advertise everywhere then. I can advertise any station.

In 2018, the Supreme Court struck down the federal ban on sports betting, leading to rapid legalization across many states.
Win
Take Slip·Sep 23, 2016
#PMT-2016-0923-10921
Richard DeitschRichard Deitsch

ESPN's future is secure despite cord-cutting

ESPN is a billion-dollar machine. They are not in trouble at all in terms of long-term standing... I think eventually we will get to a point where you will be able to purchase ESPN Singular on whatever device you use... they're still going to get millions and millions of people to make that purchase.

ESPN eventually launched ESPN+ and has announced plans for a full flagship DTC service (Flagship) for 2025, confirming the shift Deitsch predicted.
Win
#PMT-2016-0803-2706
HankHank

Instagram Stories will be a massive threat to Snapchat's market dominance

Originally, Snapchat completely had the market, but now Instagram is coming in hot... Instagram, Mark Zuckerberg literally took Snapchat and just added it on Instagram... It's going to be a battle.

Instagram Stories eventually surpassed Snapchat in daily active users and significantly slowed Snapchat's growth.