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PMTPMT DB

Takes

Open
Big CatBig Cat

I will commit to soccer if the USA wins the World Cup

If we win the World Cup, I will, I will commit to soccer... If we win the World Cup, I'll get a cat with [Hank]. We'll both get cats. If we win the World Cup.

Depends on USMNT performance in 2026.
Open
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Winter is officially over and next week will be golf weather

I think it's the official end of winter. Winter's done. Next week it's gonna be 60. Get the golf shoes out, get the shorts out. We made it another year of winter in Chicago.

This is a short-term weather prediction that would be resolvable within a week of the episode date.
Open
ZacZac

I might get evicted because my alarm clock went off for two days while I was on vacation

I accidentally kind of alarm clock too close to the sun recently... I had left my alarm clock plugged in... My alarm clock is going off like today and yesterday. We're gonna have to take like a meeting here... There's a world where like, I'm the worst neighbor of all time and I just left my irrationally loud alarm clock going.

Requires follow-up on whether management actually proceeds with eviction.
Open
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I am quitting nicotine pouches cold turkey

I just quit pouches. Quit decided fuck nicotine pouches. I'm out on nicotine pouches. I'm out on all nicotine... about two full days, two and a half days off. It's not easy... My resolution is that I'm just gonna smoke cigarettes... The only time I'm allowed to have nicotine is if I'm smoking an actual cigarette... I'm out, I'm just gonna go cold turkey.

Only PFT knows if he stays off the pouches.
Open
Timm WoodsTimm Woods

I will be running a Dungeons and Dragons cruise to Alaska in October 2026

I am gonna be doing a D&D cruise this year... called D3 at Sea... in October, we're gonna be going to Alaska and it's a week. So if you were already going to Alaska and wanted to do the trip, I know I have family members who have gotten really stoked to do that stuff.

Timm states the cruise is 'locked in' for October 2026.
Open
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

PFT Commenter is done dunking forever - retiring from attempting to dunk

My fire fest. I don't think I'm gonna dunk again. I think I'm gonna have to learn how to play below the rim. So I'm calling it quits on attempting to dunk anymore in my future.

Whether PFT actually never dunks again is inherently unverifiable in the short term.
Open
HankHank

I am officially committed to 'No Naps' for the entirety of Super Bowl week

I will [raw dog it]... a hundred percent stay awake. No naps. No fucking naps. Usually they, it, it's been a while since we've been in like a Patriot Super Bowl week. So it's like, it is a different mindset.

This will be verified during the Super Bowl week coverage to see if he actually stays awake.
Open
HankHank

My ceiling as a golfer might be higher as a lefty

I might be more... I can maybe my my ceiling is higher. Potentially left-handed more good at golf. My ceiling is higher. Damn. We'll see.

This is a personal claim that will be tested by Hank's actual golf performance over the next year.
Open
ZacZac

A 'hot blob' and an 'earth tilt' will make the Chicago winter catastrophic and uninhabitable

Apocalyptic winter might be upon us. Why? I think it's inhabitable winter. We might just have to go out of country... High pressure, massive ocean heat wave up in North Pacific. The blob... They're saying 2013-2014 had nothing on this blob.

Weather predictions this extreme are usually internet hoaxes or hyperbole.
Open
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I can pass the bar exam without going to law school if I study for four months

I have irrational confidence in myself to be able to pass the bar exam. It doesn't make any sense. I just think that if I, if I tried for like four months... I think I can, I can be a lawyer.

Passing the bar is notoriously difficult even for law graduates; doing so with four months of self-study is nearly impossible in most states.
Open
Big CatBig Cat

I will retire from 50/50 raffles forever if the Cubs lose when I win

If the Cubs lose tomorrow and I win the 50 50, I will 100% retire from 50 50 for the rest of my life. That's a fact. Because then it would just be like, you literally only won on losses, on big playoff losses. That is a fact.

This is a personal vow. If he wins and they lose, we'll see if he actually stops participating in 50/50 raffles.
Open
DJ
Daniel Jones

I can still dunk a basketball

Can I still dunk? Yeah, I could still dunk. I could still dunk.

Given his athleticism as a dual-threat QB, it is highly likely he can still dunk, though unverified by video here.
Open
Big CatBig Cat

I'm eventually going to lose the tip of my pinky on a bet

I'm probably gonna lose a pinky. Eventually. I'm gonna lose a pinky. We're gonna do this show for the next 40 years. I'm gonna do this bet every year for some year. I'm gonna lose the pinky.

This is an ongoing lifetime prediction for his career.
Open
Von MillerVon Miller

I will bear-hug and kiss my dad on the lips on the Hall of Fame stage

I will on the stage, man. I'll hold him down. It's five years after you play so he probably won't have enough strength. I will bear hug him and I would kiss him on the lips. A big wet kiss.

Von is not yet in the Hall of Fame.
Open
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Planet Earth needs an alien invasion to unite humanity

I've said that about wars and aliens. I think Planet Earth could use a good alien invasion because we're sick of beating each other up. It would unite us. We're sick of hitting each other. We wanna take out [the aliens].

OpinionLifeHotSarcastic
The occurrence of an alien invasion is a verifiable future event, though highly speculative. Currently unresolvable.
Open
Joey ChestnutJoey Chestnut

I can eat two gallons of soft-serve ice cream in eight minutes

I'm thinking close to, close to two gallons worth. It'd be, it'd be like, so I did an ice cream contest and after the contest I was like shivering because I was so, like, it was like everything was cold. So I, I think close to two gallons would be in, in about eight minutes.

Chestnut has various world records; this specific volume is plausible given his history.
Open
ZacZac

Apple is going to force brain chips on everyone and we'll have no choice but to accept them

I don't want it, but it's coming. It's gonna happen and I'm gonna have to get it... So it's chip or be left behind. Correct. No choice. We just have to chip.

Neuralink and similar companies are developing this, but mass consumer adoption is still far in the future.
Open
Magnus CarlsenMagnus Carlsen

There is currently no clear next dominant chess player among the younger generation

I wanna see somebody among the kids, like really stand out and be a serious threat to be that new number one guy who can actually dominate... with the kids right now, I don't, I don't see it like there are a lot of them are really talented, but it, it is not obvious that some one of them is gonna, is gonna dominate.

This will be proven over the next 5-10 years as the current crop of teenagers matures into the world championship cycle.
Open
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

A 2032 asteroid will likely hit the Earth and specifically ruin a Cleveland Browns Super Bowl run

My fire fest of the week is that there's an asteroid heading towards Earth. It's scheduled to hit the planet potentially in 2032. This tells me this has like Brown Super Bowl run written all over it. And the asteroid shows up.

Hot TakeLifeScorchingSarcastic
The probability of an asteroid hitting Earth in 2032 is extremely low (PFT exaggerates the 3% figure for comedy). The Browns part is obviously satirical.
Open
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Wooly Mammoths will be cloned and brought back from extinction

My who's back of the week is Wooly Mammoths... There's a company called Colossal Biosciences and they just raised $200 million... to bring back and clone wooly mammoths... Willie Mammoths might be back soon.

Colossal Biosciences is a real company with this stated goal, but the timeline for a 'mammoth' is still years away.
Open
Big CatBig Cat

I will read one entire book in 2025 for the first time in a decade

I'm also gonna read a book. I haven't read a book in a decade. I'm gonna read a book... read with my two eyes. It might take me the entire year. I'm gonna fucking do it.

The outcome depends on if Big Cat finishes a book by the end of 2025.
Open
HankHank

My botched dunk attempts will be 'technical dunks' involving a super-inflated basketball.

The way I'm gonna dunk, even if I am able to do it, it's gonna piss people off because I'm basically going to have a super inflated ball. I'm gonna throw it so that it bounces off the ground. I basically need to perfect bouncing a ball so that it lands basically bounces and lands in the hoop. I'm going to guide it on the way down. Tap it.

Awaits the Jan 1 deadline, but identifies his literal plan.
Open
Forrest GalanteForrest Galante

The Tasmanian Tiger is likely not extinct and lives in Papua New Guinea

The one that sits on the top reign supreme is an animal called a Thylacine. Tasmanian tiger... it managed to get a pilot and get picked up and turned into a series... because it used to range like 4,000 years ago... there are still ongoing reports from tribes and villages of striped dogs and all these things in Papua New Guinea. That's the area that I think needs the biggest exposure.

The animal is officially declared extinct. Discovery would be one of the greatest scientific finds of the century.
Open
Jim HarbaughJim Harbaugh

My plan is still to coach football and then die

All you cared about was, I wanna play football for as long as I can play football, then coach football, then die. Has there been any change in that? [Harbaugh:] No. Still on track. Still on track. God willing and the, and the creek don't rises. You know, we're, we're on track. That's it.

This is a statement of personal intent and career planning.
Open
HankHank

Vanny Woodhead will be fully restored and on the road by Summer 2025

I will have a plan and I'm gonna 20, 25. That thing [Vanny Woodhead] will be on the road driving souped up... By next spring, summer... By June 9th, 2025.

The outcome depends on whether the van is operational by the specified June 2025 date.
Open
Joe FlaccoJoe Flacco

My second son will have to play quarterback because he is too natural of a thrower

My second son for sure is going to have to play quarterback. I think he, he's just too natural a thrower. So I'm, oh man, that's great. Another line of Flacco would be awesome.

This is a long-term prediction about a child's future sports involvement.
Open
Arnold SchwarzeneggerArnold Schwarzenegger

The world is heading toward the AI future depicted in the Terminator movies

As we went on with time, decade after decade, all of a sudden I realized, oh my God, we are actually going in that direction. And what Jim Cameron wrote about is going to happen, you know, that the machines are now so sophisticated, so far ahead of human way of thinking that they are so far ahead.

While AI is advancing rapidly, whether it follows the exact 'Skynet' path remains to be seen.
Open
HankHank

I don't want to start a family because aliens will likely kill us all within five years

I like thinking that aliens are real because then it really is like there's no reason to do anything. 'cause like within five years, like the aliens are gonna just come up and fuck us off. ... Like starting a family. It's like, I don't wanna, I don't wanna have kids like aliens are gonna come and kill 'em all. Yeah. Like, I'm just gonna, I'm just gonna keep doing my thing.

We have not yet passed the five-year window, nor has an alien invasion been confirmed.
Open
Billy FootballBilly Football

Aliens likely live at the bottom of the ocean

I think the aliens are from Earth, bro. ... I think they're from the bottom of the Ocean. ... The earth is really large and we haven't really investigated most of the oceans.

The existence and location of aliens remains unverified.
Open
Big CatBig Cat

If I start taking Ozempic, I am going to be completely open and transparent about it

If I start this Ozempic I'm going to tell everyone what... I feel like I'm the opposite of like all these Hollywood celebs who do it and don't say they do it and they're like, 'oh, I've just been working out.' If I start this Ozempic I'm going to tell everyone.

Big Cat eventually did lose weight and has remained open about his methods, though he hasn't famously 'come out' as an Ozempic user in the same way he predicted here.
Open
Big CatBig Cat

We will host the 10th annual Takie Awards as a live show in Las Vegas

10 Takie. We gotta... do a live show. 10th Takie Vegas. What if we did a live show in Vegas? Sold it out. Took that money, put it on red. That would be fun responsibly.

The 10th Takie Awards would be in 2025; as of now, this is a pending plan.
Open
MaxMax

My career at PMT will eventually become a legendary redemption hero story

I will win one and it'll be a real redemption hero story for the ages. I'm sure people are gonna be writing novels about me.

Max's teams have continued to experience high-profile collapses (Eagles late 2023, Phillies 2023 NLCS) since this take.
Open
Big CatBig Cat

I could finish an Olympic distance triathlon with no training

I could probably do that [Olympic distance triathlon] and just die... but I could do that. No problem. Easy.

Big Cat has not attempted this, and given his fitness level at the time, 'finishing' is highly debatable.
Open
Billy FootballBilly Football

Orcas will be a major problem for humans in the future

Orcas have been attacking boats off the coast of Spain recently and been training other orcas to do it too. There's gonna be an orca human problem for the future.

While orca interactions with boats have increased, 'orca human problem' as a systemic threat is speculative.
Open
Michael RubinMichael Rubin

There is zero chance I will ever retire or slow down because retirement is basically saying you want to die

Zero, zero, zero chance of ever retiring. Zero chance of ever slowing down. I fucking love this. I have a blast... I really believe this and I've seen it happen time after time. I think retirement is basically, you're saying you wanna die. And I think, you know, for me, for someone like me, I retire, I might as well just say I want to like, I'm gonna be dead because my brain works with activity.

Rubin continues to be extremely active in business and social circles as of late 2024.
Open
Big CatBig Cat

Max will lose 20 pounds by Memorial Day

Memorial Day. Memorial Day, losing 20 pounds by Memorial Day Max. We've, we've done this before, but we're doing it for real this time... I just want it to be on the record.

Max's weight loss journeys are a recurring bit with varying degrees of success.
Open
Ari ShaffirAri Shaffir

I probably have seven years left to live

My hands fucking shake. I've done too many drugs so I probably got seven years left. Either an OD's gonna take me or one of those fucking heart attacks that leaves me fucking spoonfed.

A grim prediction about personal mortality that can only be verified in the long term.
Open
Big CatBig Cat

I will get 10 cats if the Chicago Bears win a Super Bowl

I'll get 10 cats if the Bears win a Super Bowl. Love it. There we go. Well under your guys' watch, you guys can bring us there.

The Bears have not won a Super Bowl since this promise was made.
Open
Bert KreischerBert Kreischer

I will die at 77 in a shocking accident like a shark attack or saving kids

If I can make it to 77, I think I'll make it to 77 clean. And I think I'm gonna go like from like a shark attack or something really... I want to get like attacked by an animal or like a plane crash would be nice... I want my death to be shocking... Saving some kids. That's what I want. Hero. That's how I wanna die.

Bert is currently alive; this won't resolve for decades.
Open
Mark SchlerethMark Schlereth

My 83-year-old father can bench press 225 pounds

Poolside [Mark's dad] is still 83 years old. I betcha he could get a couple reps with 225. 83 years old, 225... The dude is like, he'll send a picture... he's on top of a ladder on the front end loader at 83 years old, fixing a light bulb.

This is a verifiable claim about his father's strength, though it's unclear if it's been publicly recorded.
Open
Big CatBig Cat

If Big Cat and PFT lose their playoff picks bet, they will each eat six hot dogs for Jake's bowling total

If we beat you, Ray Allen tweet. If you beat us, we will both eat six hotdogs on your behalf when you're bowling. That's 60 pins we will take down for you.

The bet was eventually resolved, though the specifics of the hot dog eating changed slightly in later episodes.
Open
Big CatBig Cat

I have come to terms with the fact that I will eventually lose the tip of my pinky to a bet

I've already... I've come to the grips with the fact that I will die without a tip of my pinky, cuz I just, it will happen.

This is a recurring bit; whether he actually goes through with it is yet to be seen, but he states it as an inevitability.
Open
Jake PlummerJake Plummer

Lion's Mane mushroom is a daily regimen everyone should use for brain health

Lions Mane is great for your brain for neuronal growth basically for all neurons in your body. Lions Mane is one that we're gonna have a lot of research done here soon that's gonna show that it's a something that everybody should have in their daily regimen.

Functional mushrooms have seen a massive rise in the wellness market since 2022, though universal daily adoption is still pending.
Open
Big CatBig Cat

I will eat a pound of corn if the Billy/Jake/Memes team wins the Fruit Mount Rushmore

If you lose, I wanna see you eat five pounds of corn... Alright, how about a pound of—I'm talking about by the way, loose corn? Not ears of corn. A pound of corn. Deal.

The results of these polls are determined by fan voting on Twitter. If the listeners voted for Team Billy/Jake, Big Cat would be on the hook for the corn.
Open
Joey ChestnutJoey Chestnut

I will continue winning the Hot Dog Eating Contest until at least age 45

As long as I'm healthy, you can count me in at 40, 45 sounds would be awesome.

Chestnut is currently 40 and remains the undisputed champion (though barred from the 2024 Nathan's event).
Open
Garrett McNamaraGarrett McNamara

A 120-foot wave is the upper limit for what can be surfed.

I think 120 [feet] would do it... I'm really interested and excited and can't wait... I don't know what it does once it gets that big and breaks further out.

As of now, the world record is roughly 86 feet (Sebastian Steudtner), so 120 remains unreached.
Open
Billy FootballBilly Football

The first person to live to 200 years old has already been born

They think the first person to live to 200 has already been born. There have been studies that have been done. No, Big Cat, you didn't read the studies that I read.

The outcome is pending for about another 180 years.
Open
Billy FootballBilly Football

Snapchat will eventually be used to blackmail future politicians

I think Snapchat is going to have a huge blackmail on future politicians... You have a bunch of dumb 14-year-olds and teenagers and stuff, and then in the future they might be important people and there's a whole cloud of data... I think there will be a scandal that happens in the next 20 years where a Comcast or a major internet service provider just gets hacked or they release a bunch of documents and it's just everybody's search history and internet history.

This is a long-term prediction. While specific major hacks haven't unseated a president yet, digital footprints are increasingly part of political vetting.
Open
Mark CubanMark Cuban

Robots won't turn on humanity for at least another hundred years

[Am I worried that the robots will turn on us?] No, not yet. Maybe in a hundred years I guess that'll be a possibility but not now. The two missing pieces are manual dexterity—they can't really use their fingers yet on robots—and batteries.

This prediction spans a century and remains pending.
Open
Neil deGrasse TysonNeil deGrasse Tyson

Suggesting humans are the only life in the universe is inexcusably egocentric

To suggest that we're the only life in the universe would be inexcusably egocentric... Recognizing the likelihood of there being life in the universe is not the same thing as agreeing with UFO enthusiasts.

The existence of alien life remains unproven but is a widely held scientific hypothesis.

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