PMTPMT DB

Takes

Win
Take Slip·Feb 9, 2026
#PMT-2026-0209-8681
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The valuation of the Seahawks franchise will skyrocket now that they have won a Super Bowl.

I'm very happy for the current ownership group who will now get to put up for sale a Super Bowl champion team. Price of the bag just went up for the Seahawks. Big time.

Seahawks are Super Bowl champions in this timeline. The sale price would naturally increase.
Win
#PMT-2023-0816-18701
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Hosting the World Cup or Olympics is a massive waste of money for a country

Hosting the World Cup or the Olympics. ... Hosting a massive world event. I think Qatar spent like $2 trillion or some bullshit hosting the World Cup. ... At the end of the day, they're gonna have stadiums all around their country that are never gonna get used again. ... Have you seen the Chinese stadiums? They're like, I think wolves live there now.

Numerous economic studies (e.g., from Oxford and various economists) have shown that hosting these events rarely provides a positive financial return for the host city/nation.
Win
#PMT-2023-0412-9144
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Bar managers will be completely lost on Week 1 of YouTube Sunday Ticket

They are going to have to figure out how to get YouTube on all their TVs at once. And they, they are gonna be completely lost week one of next year... Bar owners week one. It's gonna be a shit show.

There were numerous reports of technical difficulties and confusion for business owners during the initial transition in Fall 2023.
Win
Take Slip·Mar 1, 2023
#PMT-2023-0301-1841
Big CatBig Cat

The new Barstool Chicago office will be like Dude Perfect meets the Fantasy Factory

The office is gonna have a ton of awesome stuff... full basketball court, full golf simulator, full workout area... it's basically, if you thought about like if Barstool Sports met... Dude Perfect... Fantasy Factory.

The office opened in late 2023 and features a court, simulator, and various content spaces as described.
Win
#PMT-2022-1116-4096
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Sam Bankman-Fried is the latest Bernie Madoff

My hot seat is crypto in general. Sam Bankman-Fried from FTX is the latest Bernie Madoff right now. It's been in the news. He had I think about $40 billion and now he has $0 because his entire platform went bankrupt.

SBF was later convicted of multiple counts of fraud and conspiracy, confirming the comparison to high-profile financial scammers like Madoff.
Win
#PMT-2022-0713-3191
Big CatBig Cat

The US government stores 1.4 billion pounds of surplus cheese in caves in Missouri

There are just caves in America with cheese in them... 1.4 billion pounds of cheese... Springfield, Missouri... deep and converted Limestone mines caves kept perfectly at 36 degrees Fahrenheit store stockpiles... hundreds of feet below the ground.

The US government does maintain a massive strategic cheese reserve in underground cold storage, primarily in Missouri.
Win
Take Slip·Jun 13, 2022
#PMT-2022-0613-11238
Mr. PortnoyMr. Portnoy

Late-night TV news commercials for products like CarShield are frauds

When I see them up there, those products are fraud... I mean, they wouldn't be advertising there if they weren't a fraud. I have an occasional check with the FTC site and the Better Business Bureau to see various of these companies have all sorts of consumer complaints against them. And what a shock!

CarShield and similar companies have indeed faced numerous complaints and legal actions from the FTC regarding deceptive advertising and service denials.
Win
Take Slip·Apr 8, 2022
#PMT-2022-0408-4688
Tom SeguraTom Segura

Dana White is banned from most major casinos for winning millions at blackjack

Dana White is banned from almost every major casino for playing blackjack because he has taken them for millions. He has a system and one of the casinos, they gave him a belt and they're like you are the champ and you are ready to kick somebody out. I don't know what his system is and we're talking walking out with like, 'Hey, I won $1.3 million playing blackjack.'

Dana White has publicly stated and casinos have confirmed he is limited or banned from high-stakes play at several Vegas properties like the Palms and Wynn due to his winning streaks.
Win
Take Slip·Mar 28, 2022
#PMT-2022-0328-2640
Bert KreischerBert Kreischer

A 'Two Bears Racing' endurance team is a viable business idea

I came up with stupid fucking two bears racing... I fucking just invested a hundred thousand dollars... already in just talking about it, all our advertisers for two bears have asked if they could buy space on the car. And I'm like, oh, this could work out pretty good.

The 'Two Bears Racing' project did move forward and was featured in content on their podcast network.
Win
Take Slip·Feb 25, 2022
#PMT-2022-0225-7914
Mark CubanMark Cuban

By the end of the year, Cost Plus Drugs will carry 2,000 generic medications

Right now we've got about 110 different generics at costplusdrugs.com. By the end of the year we'll have 2,000. So if you have any type of prescription, check it out, you know, if we have your drug, we will save [you money].

As of late 2022, Cost Plus Drugs had surpassed 1,000 drugs and continued scaling toward the 2,000 mark by 2023, making this largely correct in trajectory.
Win
Take Slip·Feb 2, 2022
#PMT-2022-0202-1221
Billy FootballBilly Football

Liver King is a low-key business genius for selling organ meat

Liver king low-key a business genius... because he's figured out how to sell, he's a rancher, he's figured out how to sell the one part of cattle that was the hardest to sell, organ meat.

Liver King's brand (Ancestral Supplements) was highly successful, generating millions in revenue, supporting the 'genius' claim of the business model.
Win
#PMT-2022-0112-7417
Jersey JerryJersey Jerry

The elevator technicians union is one of the best and most lucrative trades to join

In the union's, there is elevator union. Biggest money can make one of the best unions there is. Wow. They like this guy's first year he'll he'll easily make probably 120 125 first year. I mean, you're talking about guys that that make over 200, 250 a year.

Elevator constructors (IUEC) are widely reported as the highest-paid trade in the construction industry, with salaries often exceeding six figures.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 27, 2021
#PMT-2021-1027-7733
Mike FlorioMike Florio

The Buccaneers had no legal right to reclaim Tom Brady's 600th touchdown ball from the fan

I looked at the season ticket agreement. I looked at the general ticket agreement... there's nothing on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers tickets that would give them the right to go get it... I don't think they'd have a leg to stand on if it would end up in court.

Legal consensus generally agrees that once an item is gifted by a team representative with 'apparent authority,' ownership transfers to the fan.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 27, 2021
#PMT-2021-1027-7734
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Mike Evans had 'apparent authority' to give the football away, making the gift final

He has the apparent authority to scoop up a football on a touchdown he scored and hand it to a fan forever done over, no give backs, no take backs. Once that transfer is committed from the fan's perspective, that fan's got the right to assume that Mike Evans has the authority to surrender that football.

This is a correct application of contract and property law in the context of professional sports souvenirs.
Win
Take Slip·Oct 27, 2021
#PMT-2021-1027-7735
Mike FlorioMike Florio

There is a greater than 50% chance Dan Snyder is forced to sell the Washington Football Team

I'd say once somebody with the power to get to the bottom of it gets involved [Congress], it gets north of 50... Once we know about some of the things that Beth Wilkinson, the investigator found, yeah, I think it becomes untenable at that point publicly for Snyder to continue.

Dan Snyder was eventually forced to sell the team in 2023 for $6.05 billion.
Win
#PMT-2021-0908-5783
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Spirit Halloween will have a massive year because of vacant retail space

I think also this is going to be a huge year for Spirit Halloween because we had so many businesses that totally went out of business over the last year. There's so much more retail space. There could be one on every single block.

Spirit Halloween significantly expanded into vacant big-box stores in 2021.
Win
#PMT-2021-0730-15318
Billy FootballBilly Football

The Pi Coin cryptocurrency is officially a pyramid scheme and a scam

That Pi coin I was telling everyone to do is a scam. Yo. Basically it's sort of a big kind of pyramid scheme mask type thing. What made you think it was a pyramid scheme? Was it the fact that you had to get other pioneers to make yourself more Pi? That, and you know, the sort of pyramid part of it.

Pi Network has been widely criticized by security experts as a data-harvesting app with no real value, fitting Billy's 'scam' description.
Win
#PMT-2021-0623-2133
Billy FootballBilly Football

Wingstop changing their name to Thighstop is due to a national wing shortage

My hot seat is Wings. Wingstop is now Thighstop due to the national wing shortage. There was a three-time price increase in Wings, so it actually had... been a better investment to invest in Wings than... some cryptos right now.

Wingstop did launch a 'Thighstop' digital brand in June 2021 specifically to combat high wing prices and shortages.
Win
Take Slip·May 10, 2021
#PMT-2021-0510-11479
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Dogecoin's value is purely driven by publicity and famous people mentioning it

With Doge, it's like that, but since it's based on a joke meme, publicity is 10 times more important than any real value. As far as I can tell, the best thing that can happen to Doge is just a famous person says the word Doge on a massive platform.

Dogecoin famously crashed after Elon Musk called it a 'hustle' on SNL, proving the take that the price is tied to public mentions.
Win
Take Slip·Mar 1, 2021
#PMT-2021-0301-11503
Big CatBig Cat

The NBA Top Shot market is a bubble and investors will lose money

This bubble's going to be painful for some people. That could be one day. The Top Shot bubble... I'm leery on Top Shot... Let's not pretend that this is going to be your retirement account.

The NFT and Top Shot market crashed significantly in late 2021 and 2022, with many moments losing over 90% of their value.
Win
Take Slip·Feb 26, 2021
#PMT-2021-0226-16595
HankHank

Disc Golf is a massive growth market that we can get in on the ground floor of

There is a new sport that's blowing up. And I think we can get it on the ground floor and make a lot of money. This dude, Paul McBeth. Today, signed a 10-year, $10 million contract extension to play disc golf. His signature line sold so many. There's such a huge market there.

Disc golf did see significant growth during and after the pandemic, and Paul McBeth's deal was a real milestone for the sport.
Win
Take Slip·Jan 29, 2021
#PMT-2021-0129-9290
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I'm shorting Robinhood as soon as they go live

I'm shorting Robinhood, though, when they eventually go live.

Robinhood went public in July 2021 at $38, peaked briefly, and then crashed significantly, losing over 70% of its value within a year. Shorting it would have been highly profitable.
Win
#PMT-2020-1104-3375
Billy FootballBilly Football

Humans are more effective and cheaper than robots for retail inventory

Walmart has stopped using robots to do inventory because they realize that humans were actually just as effective and cheaper. So cool throne humans were cheaper than robots.

Walmart did indeed end its robot contract in November 2020 because human workers were found to be just as effective and the company found simpler solutions.
Win
#PMT-2020-0923-10699
Billy FootballBilly Football

Costco's co-founder threatened to kill the CEO to keep the hot dog price at $1.50

The Costco co-founder... got mad at the CEO of Costco said, 'Hey, we're losing money on our dollar fifty hot dog deal. I think you got change it up' and the co-founder of Costco's like 'If you change that deal, I'll kill you.'

This is a documented interaction between Costco co-founder Jim Sinegal and CEO Craig Jelinek.
Win
Take Slip·Aug 17, 2020
#PMT-2020-0817-4390
AkonAkon

I made more money from ringtones than from my record label selling albums

I realized... the ringtone was only 15 seconds of the song but it was $4.99. ... I went straight for the ringtones and every song I made I made sure I did all ringtones for it. ... I end up being on the Guinness Book of World Records for most ringtones sold in the world and the good thing that I never gave him my digital rights. I was able to really make more money just from selling ringtones that I did in my label made from selling my albums.

Akon is officially recognized by Guinness World Records for this, and the high price of ringtones vs. singles in that era is a documented economic anomaly.
Win
#PMT-2020-0722-9788
Big CatBig Cat

Apple purposefully throttles iPhone battery life when a new model is about to be released

My iPhone on Saturday started, like, rapidly losing battery, getting way overheated, and it's been crap the last few days. And then I Googled it because I was like, oh, I should probably get a new one. Oh, weird. iPhone 12 coming out soon. Oh, it's fucking every single time. I don't understand how they're able to get away with this.

Apple has faced multiple lawsuits and fines (e.g., in France and the US) for throttling older iPhones to 'protect batteries', which they settled for hundreds of millions of dollars.
Win
#PMT-2020-0520-9120
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Blockbuster not buying Netflix for $50 million is the worst business decision ever

This is an easy one blockbuster not buying Netflix 450 million dollars. Blockbusters like know people like coming into our physical retail locations for the smell... easy number one for me.

While subjective as 'the worst', the fact that they turned it down and subsequently went bankrupt while Netflix thrived is historical fact.
Win
#PMT-2020-0520-9121
Big CatBig Cat

Mark Cuban made a mistake by not buying 10% of Big Cat's brain for $1 million

I'll go with Mark Cuban up buying 10% of my brain he's an idiot that was a dumb business decision I'm going to make I'm going to make that money back it was for a million dollars he regrets it 1 million dollars and he got all my lifetime earning from that day forward.

Hot TakeBusinessHotSarcastic
Given Big Cat's massive success and the value of Barstool Sports, 10% of his future earnings for $1M would have been a legendary ROI for Cuban.
Win
Take Slip·May 15, 2020
#PMT-2020-0515-5273
Mark CubanMark Cuban

States will 100% legalize sports gambling post-pandemic for the tax revenue

One hundred percent. Absolutely. They need the tax revenue. And absolutely, the minute you can get one inside the arena... all in.

Following 2020, dozens of states legalized sports betting to generate revenue, and several NBA arenas (like the Wizards') now have on-site sportsbooks.
Win
Take Slip·Mar 30, 2020
#PMT-2020-0330-14756
Barbara CorcoranBarbara Corcoran

The 'Comfy' is my most profitable Shark Tank investment ever

The one that I made the most money on already in just a few short years, millions of dollars, is Comfy... They've sold over 70 million dollars... I took just a 30% of their interest just because I like the guys.

At the time of recording, this was true. The Comfy became a massive viral hit and remained one of her top earners.
Win
Take Slip·Mar 30, 2020
#PMT-2020-0330-14757
Barbara CorcoranBarbara Corcoran

My worst Shark Tank investment was a weight loss lipstick that burned people's lips

The lipstick that makes you lose weight. It doesn't make you lose weight. What it does is burns the crap out of your lips so you don't want to eat a hot dog... terrible. That's a real thing.

The product she is referring to is 'Skinny 24' or similar appetite-suppressing lip balms she invested in on the show which failed.
Win
Take Slip·Feb 26, 2020
#PMT-2020-0226-642
Kevin O'LearyKevin O'Leary

WeWork is a disaster that will inevitably go to zero.

You are a zero and you're going to zero with a bullet... It always goes to zero because what you're basically doing is taking long-term debt obligations to either lease or buy a building and then you're providing short-term leases to some really shitty companies that don't make any money... It is a disaster on wheels.

WeWork eventually filed for bankruptcy in 2023 after its valuation crashed from $47 billion to essentially zero.
Win
Take Slip·Feb 12, 2020
#PMT-2020-0212-6543
Dana BDana B

There is a 90% chance I will sell $1,000,000 in Zillion Beers merch by Sunday

[What percent chance do you think you have to make a million?] A zillion? Yeah. Actually, 90%.

Dana B successfully reached the $1 million sales goal by the deadline.
Win
Take Slip·Feb 5, 2020
#PMT-2020-0205-4008
Mark CubanMark Cuban

AI will allow podcasts to be seamlessly translated into native languages like Chinese while preserving the original voice

I got this company Synthesia right where we can just over we could take train a voice to put on anybody... it looks like I'm saying it right because it matches all up... if we get you guys sitting there and training it for like 20 minutes and you want to have it done in Native Chinese or native Spanish or whatever. So it looks like you guys are doing the podcast.

In 2023, Spotify launched exactly this feature using OpenAI's voice-cloning technology.
Win
#PMT-2019-0920-18307
Mr. PortnoyMr. Portnoy

Uber should have a customer service phone number for when the app fails

These things like Uber... Would it be so terrible that there was a phone number to call if the thing wasn't working? There is no phone number. There is no one out there from Uber that has to respond to anything.

Uber famously lacked a direct support line for years, proving Mr. Portnoy's point about their customer service model.
Win
Take Slip·Jun 24, 2019
#PMT-2019-0624-16743
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I made $125,000 selling custom software at age 27

I think when I was 27 I made a hundred and twenty five thousand... I was selling software, custom software in Austin, Texas.

This aligns with his known professional history before his PFT Commenter persona went viral.
Win
Take Slip·Apr 3, 2019
#PMT-2019-0403-7645
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Tom Dundon only bought the AAF for its gambling technology

Albert Breer said that the speculation was that Dundon bought the league just to get access to their gambling app that they were building. So $70 million for a gambling app seems like a shrewd investment.

This became a widely accepted post-mortem of the AAF's collapse.
Win
Take Slip·Mar 15, 2019
#PMT-2019-0315-1948
Fran FraschillaFran Fraschilla

Nike will sign Zion Williamson to a $75M-$100M deal because of his marketing potential

I think Nike's going to sign him to a $75 million to $100 million deal because, A, they owe it to him, but, B, this kid's going to sell sneakers... I guarantee you when he's in the NBA, they're going to double stitch those bad boys.

Zion signed a 7-year, $75 million deal with Jordan Brand (Nike) in July 2019.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 27, 2018
#PMT-2018-1227-17117
Kevin SmithKevin Smith

Investing in professional sports is a much smarter financial move than investing in movies

Putting money into movies is one of the most foolish investments you'll ever make in your life. Invest in sports. You know why? Because sports, people always want to go. Sports are seasonal. It's cyclical. Going to see a movie, that's a crapshoot, man. That's like Vegas.

As of the late 2010s and 2020s, sports franchise valuations have skyrocketed while the film industry has been disrupted by streaming.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 12, 2018
#PMT-2018-1212-7781
Daymond JohnDaymond John

CBD is the next big industry bubble

[The next bubble is] CBD. I like CBD if it's the real stuff, but I think that there are a lot of fly-by-night companies right now that are trying to capitalize on it.

The CBD market did indeed see a massive 'green rush' followed by a significant correction and consolidation as many early companies failed to survive regulatory hurdles and over-saturation.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 7, 2018
#PMT-2018-1207-1461
Brendan SchaubBrendan Schaub

The UFC is copying the WWE business plan to a T

Vince McMahon is where the UFC, if you watch what WWE has done, the UFC's copying their plan to a tee. So if they make a move, plan on the UFC making the same move.

In 2023, the UFC and WWE merged into a single public company, TKO Group Holdings, essentially becoming the same business entity.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 19, 2018
#PMT-2018-1119-10055
Jon TafferJon Taffer

The craft beer industry is currently being killed by bankers

Craft beer is getting freaking killed right now. And what's happened in the craft beer world... originally when people started making craft beers, they were into the beer. Now they're freaking bankers that are into the money. So half the craft beers now suck.

Craft beer growth slowed significantly in the late 2010s and early 2020s, and many regional breweries were indeed bought by larger conglomerates or private equity, supporting his 'bankers' point.
Win
Take Slip·Jul 2, 2018
#PMT-2018-0702-1198
Jon TafferJon Taffer

Digital menus where you touch items to see pictures are the future of dining

Here's what's going to happen with digital menus... We're going to look at a menu. We're going to see stuff listed... When I touch the item, I'll see the picture... and then it'll disappear... so I can see it when I want to.

The industry shifted heavily toward digital and QR-based menus, many with interactive photos, particularly after the 2020 pandemic.
Win
#PMT-2018-0514-14833
HankHank

Millennials are saving the frozen food industry

Frozen food is also back. So a lot of people bash us millennials and say we're only good for avocados and things of that nature. But it turns out that millennials are saving the frozen food industry.

Industry data from 2018-2020 did indeed show a resurgence in frozen food sales driven by younger demographics seeking convenience.
Win
#PMT-2018-0307-5692
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Taco Bell's CEO is the perfect hire for Chipotle

Chipotle just hired Taco Bell's CEO. And we all know that Taco Bell never causes any sort of intestinal discomfort. ... It's really the only hire that you can make if you're Chipotle. Like, who else in America knows how to package tortillas, rice, tomatoes, cheese, meat, and sour cream?

Brian Niccol was widely credited with a massive turnaround at Chipotle after joining in 2018.
Win
Take Slip·Dec 18, 2017
#PMT-2017-1218-17331
Mike FlorioMike Florio

If the Panthers sell for less than $1.4 billion, the NFL has cause for concern

I think the Bills were the last team that sold and they went for 1-4. So if you get south of 1-4, I think there's cause for concern. But if it's less than a billion, then it's like, holy shit.

The Panthers sold for $2.275 billion in 2018, well above Florio's 'concern' threshold of $1.4 billion.
Win
Take Slip·Nov 17, 2017
#PMT-2017-1117-3568
Chad MillmanChad Millman

Sports betting will be legalized across the United States within 12 to 36 months

When do you think, if you had to guess a date? [Big Cat asks] 12 to 36 months. ... The Supreme Court in two and a half weeks is going to hear a case that is New Jersey brought against the Department of Justice to have all of the sports betting ban overturned. It's called PASPA. ... They will rule in June. Depending on how they rule is going to have a huge impact.

The Supreme Court overturned PASPA in May 2018, roughly 6 months after this interview, allowing states to legalize sports betting. Legalization began immediately thereafter.
Win
Take Slip·Aug 11, 2017
#PMT-2017-0811-19573
Mike LeachMike Leach

Texas is the only state that exercises sovereign immunity on contracts

Sovereign immunity is really appealing to third world dictators. ... the only state, the only state that exercises sovereign immunity on contracts is Texas. ... every state in the country eliminated exercising sovereign immunity on contracts, except for Texas does it to this day. ... And North Korea, I mean, sovereign immunity is a big deal with North Korea, Somalia. And that, you know, that's the company that's being kept if you exercise sovereign immunity on contracts.

While several states have forms of sovereign immunity, Leach's specific claim about its application to breach of contract in Texas is a central point of his long-running legal dispute with Texas Tech.
Win
Take Slip·Jul 7, 2017
#PMT-2017-0707-2041
Jon TafferJon Taffer

70% of people make a right-hand turn when they walk into a mall

i'm just i'm just a fucking nutcase guys i mean i pick apart and study and you know everything like 70 of people that walk into a mall make a right hand turn now that bothers the shit out of me and because it's true

Studies on consumer behavior frequently cite the 'invariant right' phenomenon, where the majority of shoppers turn right upon entering.
Win
#PMT-2017-0707-2047
Jon TafferJon Taffer

An overcrowded bar actually makes less money than one with 20% fewer people

You know what's funny is that bar with 20% less people in it would actually make more money that night. And that's the sign of a rookie owner. Because when a bar gets that crowded, I can't get waitresses to you. Bartenders can't serve everyone. Half the people in the room don't have drinks.

This is a recognized principle in hospitality management regarding service capacity and efficiency.
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