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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Saints and Patriots will play in the Super Bowl

I think it's going to be Saints and Patriots in the Super Bowl.

The Patriots made the Super Bowl, but the Saints were eliminated by the Vikings in the Divisional round.
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Eric ManginiEric Mangini

Atlanta is the most interesting Wild Card team and can go the distance

The most interesting team to me right now is Atlanta... at that point, we had kind of figured it out. We'd gotten over all the post-Super Bowl stuff that goes with it and understood kind of what we had to do, but it was a little bit too late. I think if we had gotten into the playoffs at that point, we would have been a real problem for teams.

The Falcons won their Wild Card game but were eliminated in the Divisional round.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Bruce Arians will be back to coaching within two months of his retirement.

Bruce Arians, he's retired. But as we know, he's not going to know what to do with himself. He's just going to sit on his porch staring out into infinity for two months, and he'll think that's retirement, and then he'll be like, I've got to get back to coaching.

Arians took exactly one year off before returning to coach the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in 2019.
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Danny KanellDanny Kanell

Baker Mayfield has the fewest red flags among the 2018 draft's top quarterbacks.

I'm telling you, Baker Mayfield has the least red flags of all of them from what I've seen on film watching him throw.

Mayfield was the most successful of the Darnold/Rosen/Mayfield trio early on, though he has had an up-and-down career.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Seahawks championship window is closed

I define the window off their defense, not off Russell Wilson. And I think their defense is closed. I think they're going to lose a lot of guys.

The Seahawks did dismantle the Legion of Boom and failed to return to the Super Bowl, though they remained a playoff-caliber team for years.
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Mike FlorioMike Florio

The New York Giants is the most coveted head coaching vacancy in the NFL

I would say the Giants [is the most coveted job], just because they don't like to fire guys... And the thinking is Jim Schwartz is going to end up with that job that it was all predetermined.

The Giants hired Pat Shurmur, not Jim Schwartz, though the job was indeed highly coveted.
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Geoff SchwartzGeoff Schwartz

Eli Manning has plenty left in the tank if he gets an offense that suits him

He [Eli Manning] still has a lot left. Too many injuries, terrible offensive line, especially the tackle position... I think you give him a chance with a full new offense, new offensive line. They have weapons on the outside. He's a very specific type of quarterback.

Eli played two more seasons, but the Giants continued to struggle and he was eventually replaced by Daniel Jones as his performance declined.
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Mike FlorioMike Florio

The Bengals might move Marvin Lewis to the front office and hire Hue Jackson as head coach

Marvin stays in Cincinnati, graduates to the front office where he's essentially the GM because they don't have one as it is. And then, some way, somehow, they bring back Hue Jackson to be the coach of the team, and it's Marvin and Hue working together in Cincinnati.

Marvin Lewis stayed as HC for 2018; Hue Jackson did return to the Bengals as a 'Special Assistant' in late 2018 after being fired by Cleveland, but never replaced Marvin as HC.
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Mike FlorioMike Florio

The Jaguars have the ingredients to win in New England or Pittsburgh in January

I think this is a team that could win in New England in the divisional round, it could win in Pittsburgh in the divisional round, and it could keep the AFC championship game from happening... It's a Florida team that has all the ingredients to play in the elements in January.

The Jaguars did win in Pittsburgh in the Divisional round. They led in New England in the 4th quarter of the AFC Championship but ultimately lost.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Falcons are a 'lurker' team that knows how to win ugly and can make a deep run

I think we haven't heard the last of Dan Quinn in the Falcons. I feel like they're the lurker. You know what I mean? The team, it's like they have all the pieces, and they've played really shitty and survived... They would know how to win ugly.

The Falcons won their Wild Card game but lost in the Divisional round to the Eagles.
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Jeff GarciaJeff Garcia

Joe Namath's statistics stink and he was a horrible quarterback

You look at Joe Namath's statistics. They stink. He was horrible. He had maybe one year where he threw more touchdowns than interceptions. But he's in the Hall of Fame. That's crazy, right?

While Namath is an icon and a Hall of Famer, his statistical profile—including 173 touchdowns to 220 interceptions—is famously poor, making Garcia's claim statistically grounded but historically controversial.
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Richie IncognitoRichie Incognito

The Bills will finish 10-6 and make the playoffs

I'll go 10-6. Okay, that's a guarantee to the playoffs. Win a road game in New England. The curse has been broken. Yes, we're coming. You just beat us, but we're coming to your house, Brady.

The Bills finished 9-7, not 10-6, and lost to the Patriots in New England. However, they DID make the playoffs, so the core of the take was right.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Kansas City Chiefs are officially frauds

The Bills, they might be back... This is for real because they go into Kansas City, a Chiefs team that I will officially say is a fraud. They're frauds.

The Chiefs finished 10-6 and won the AFC West, but lost in the Wild Card round to the Titans at home, validating the 'fraud' label to some degree for that specific season.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Rex Burkhead is a rich man's Danny Woodhead

I liked what Bill Belichick was doing with Rex Burkhead tonight... he's a poor man's Danny Woodhead, which technically makes him a rich man's Danny Woodhead, if that makes any sense at all.

While Burkhead was a solid contributor for the Patriots, he never quite reached the elite pass-catching production level of Danny Woodhead's prime years.
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HankHank

Josh Gordon won't be as good as before because he's sober

[Josh Gordon] got reinstated, but it came out that he admitted that he used drugs or alcohol before every single game he's ever played. So he's going to have to come back and not use drugs or alcohol, and he's not going to be that good.

Gordon returned in late 2017 and played decently but never reached his 2013 All-Pro form again, though largely due to age and further suspensions.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Jimmy Garoppolo trade is the beginning of the end for the Patriots dynasty

This started a chain of events that is going to end the Patriots dynasty... Belichick was basically cut out of this, right? So Belichick's pissed... and then he's going to resign. Okay. And then that's the end of it.

While the dynasty continued for two more Super Bowl appearances and one win (Super Bowl LIII), the Garoppolo trade is cited by many (including the book 'The Dynasty') as the moment the relationship between Belichick and Kraft/Brady fractured permanently.
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Ian RapoportIan Rapoport

The Bengals, not the Browns, are likely to blame for the botched AJ McCarron trade paperwork

I don't think [the Browns] screwed this up, interestingly enough... I think I am a little bit on Team Cleveland. So what I heard was that one of the sides, I think it was the Bengals, sent in the signatures, sent in the paper, the trade slip, before both signatures were on it, and neither side realized until it was too late.

The league rejected the trade because the Browns didn't notify them until after the deadline, though the exact internal clerical failure remains a point of dispute between the two teams.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Start Drew Stanton on his bye week to guarantee a zero rather than negative points

My stardom of the week: Drew Stanton. The Cardinals are on a bye. But Drew Stanton, if he starts, he's getting negative points. So you start him on the bye and you get that zero. Bruce Arians is going to turn this team around.

OpinionFootballHotSarcastic
While mathematically true that a player on a bye provides 0 points, it is fundamentally bad advice for fantasy football.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Atlanta Falcons are officially pretenders

The Falcons are pretenders. They are officially in the pretenders pile. You know what's great, too, is I think they started like 2-0 and everyone was like, see, told you, the Falcons do not have a Super Bowl hangover. Now you see them. They are mentally just broken.

The Falcons actually went 10-6 and won a playoff game in 2017, proving they weren't total pretenders, though they didn't reach the Super Bowl again.
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Mike FlorioMike Florio

Tom Brady will retire suddenly to avoid having a farewell tour

Brady keeps saying that he's going to play four or five years so that he can then just retire all of a sudden? Yeah, he doesn't want to have a farewell tour. If [the Patriots] win another Super Bowl... is it going to shock anybody if he walks away?

Brady did eventually retire (twice), but his final exit in 2023 was relatively sudden, though he did not retire immediately after his next Super Bowl win (2018 or 2020).
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Mike FlorioMike Florio

The Patriots and Seahawks will meet in the Super Bowl

Right now, if I had to pick two teams for the Super Bowl, I'd say the Patriots and the Seahawks.

The Patriots made the Super Bowl, but the Seahawks failed to make the playoffs entirely in 2017.
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HankHank

Julio Jones will have a massive 'revenge game' against the Patriots on Sunday

My stardom: Julio Jones. The Patriots secondary stinks. Primetime revenge game. Julio Jones. pick him up on the waiver wire and start his ass.

In the Oct 22, 2017 game, Julio Jones had 9 catches for 99 yards and a touchdown. While a good performance, the Falcons lost 23-7 and it wasn't a historic revenge outing.
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Big CatBig Cat

The NFL's ratings decline is a 'fake news' narrative partially caused by warm weather

Ratings are down 7.5%... Fake news, because we watch more than ever... Also, I just want to note this, that it just today felt like fall... You can't fully embrace football when it's 90 degrees.

The ratings dip in 2017 was real and sustained through the season, though the NFL eventually rebounded to record highs in subsequent years.
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Big CatBig Cat

Cam Newton stinks again

Cam Newton stinks again. Well, that's not entirely true. Okay. He kind of stinks. He likes to go up and down. I feel like when Cam, when everyone's like, ooh, Cam's putting it all together. He's like, hey, guys, watch this. Hey, hold my avocado. Watch this. Because he's a millennial. He's going to fucking just throw three interceptions and look like trash.

Newton's 2017 season was uneven; he threw 22 TDs and 16 INTs, a decline from his MVP peak but far from 'stinking' (he led them to the playoffs).
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Jared Goff is an NFL MVP candidate.

Jared Goff is good. Jared Goff, league MVP candidate.

Goff had a massive turnaround season in 2017, leading the Rams to the playoffs and making the Pro Bowl, but he was not a serious MVP finalist (Tom Brady won).
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The NFL's 'Heads Up' football program has successfully prevented players from committing murder.

Roger Goodell has already addressed this issue... by implementing heads-up football... And since the implementation of the Heads Up football program, there have been zero players arrested for murder. So the problem's in the rear view mirror.

While it may have been technically true for that specific period, the correlation is entirely satirical.
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Big CatBig Cat

Tom Coughlin has already successfully changed the culture for the Jacksonville Jaguars

The Jaguars are now over .500 for the first time in six years... That is a culture change. That is a shift. Tom Coughlin changed the entire mentality... People love working there. They're on tape literally saying they love to work there.

While the 2017 Jags did have a miracle season making the AFC Championship, Coughlin's tenure ended in disaster with the NFLPA warning players against signing there due to his regime.
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Big CatBig Cat

Week 2 in the NFL is a must-win for 0-1 teams because 95% of playoff teams avoid 0-2

So 95% of playoff teams avoid going 0-2. So if you do the math, that makes week two a must win.

While the stat is generally true (0-2 teams rarely make the playoffs), calling it a literal 'must win' is a standard sports media exaggeration.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The New England Patriots are dead (but they're still going to win the division)

The New England Patriots are dead. Actually, they're still going to win the division, but it's times like this I thank my lucky stars I'm not a New England Patriots fan.

The Patriots finished 13-3 and won the AFC East in 2017, proving that while they weren't 'dead,' PFT's second-half prediction was perfectly accurate.
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AJ HawkAJ Hawk

The Super Bowl will feature the Patriots against either the Falcons or the Packers

I'm going Patriots on the AFC. They will play—they're going to play either the Falcons or the Packers.

The Patriots did make the Super Bowl (LII), but they played the Philadelphia Eagles, not the Falcons or Packers.
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Stu FeinerStu Feiner

The New York Jets will win 4 games because no one can run against them

I say the Jets, I put the Jets at 4-12. I mean, they have the worst offense in football, but their defensive front four is still amazing... Teams that cannot pass can never beat the Jets. Jets will murder them... but you will be able to throw over the top. That's how you beat the Jets.

The 2017 Jets actually overperformed Stu's low expectations, finishing 5-11.
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Greg McElroyGreg McElroy

Patrick Mahomes and Deshaun Watson will be part of a 'sneaky good' QB class

I have a feeling this year's class... Pat Mahomes, Mitch Trubisky, Deshaun Watson, and even DeShone Kizer, all four have a chance to be sneaky good, I think, in the NFL. So maybe that trend's reversing back a little bit.

Mahomes and Watson became elite stars. Trubisky was a bust/journeyman and Kizer was out of the league quickly. Overall, the class was indeed legendary due to the top two.
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Big CatBig Cat

Jerry Jones will do something to embarrass Roger Goodell at the next owners' meeting

I like this because this means that Jerry Jones is going to do something to embarrass Roger Goodell at the owner's meeting. He's maybe going to lick his pizza. He's like, here you go... He pantses him. Just pantses him.

PredictionFootballMediumSarcastic
Jerry Jones did indeed lead a very public and litigious battle against Roger Goodell's contract extension following the Elliott suspension, though no 'pantsing' occurred.
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HankHank

Roger Goodell skipping the Patriots season opener is a sign of disrespect that will lead to another title

Probably when [Roger] Goodell doesn't show up to game one. That's going to be a clear sign of disrespect that [the Patriots] are going to have to avenge by going to the Super Bowl and winning another championship.

The Patriots did reach the Super Bowl (LII) but lost to the Eagles. They did not win the championship that year.
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Big CatBig Cat

Vince Young, Matt Leinart, Reggie Bush, and Lendale White were all pro busts

Reggie Bush, who's been pretty much a bust. So it's Reggie Bush, Lendale White, Vince Young, and Matt Leinart. Wow.

While Reggie Bush had a productive career (10k scrimmage yards, Super Bowl ring), Leinart and Young were clear draft busts. Lendale White had one 1,100 yard season but was out of the league quickly. Bush is debatable, the others are correct.
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Billy FootballBilly Football

High school football is officially back in June because grad parties are over

High school football is back. Grad parties are over. Coaches are distributing helmets and shoulder pads. It's June. Mini camps in full effect.

While summer workouts happen, high school football doesn't truly return until late August.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Jacksonville Jaguars are the funniest long con in professional sports history

The Jacksonville Jaguars might be the funniest thing to ever occur in professional sports. This has been a long con. We've all been owned... It's like a Wes Anderson movie. It's like you don't really appreciate a Wes Anderson movie. That's what the Jaguars are saying to everyone. You don't look at it the right way.

The Jaguars actually went to the AFC Championship game later that year (2017), briefly ending their status as a joke.
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TJ LangTJ Lang

Aaron Rodgers has 10 more years in his prime

When is [Rodgers'] prime, man? Quarterbacks play for like 25 years now. He's got like 10 more years in his prime.

As of 2024, Rodgers is still in the league at 40, though his 'prime' years are debatable. He did win back-to-back MVPs in 2020-2021 (3-4 years after this take).
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Roger Goodell punishing Josh Gordon by not letting him play for the Browns is actually doing him a favor

Telling a player that your punishment is that you don't have to play for the Cleveland Browns is probably a little bit misguided. So, like, hey, good for Josh. He doesn't have to be a Brown.

Gordon eventually returned to the Browns later that year but was eventually traded to the Patriots, supporting the idea that leaving Cleveland might be beneficial.
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Big CatBig Cat

Either Joe Mixon or John Ross will definitely get injured or suspended for the Bengals

[The Bengals] got Joe Mixon and John Ross. One will get injured. The other will probably get suspended. But for a minute there, people are going to say, wow, is Andy Dalton going to put it together?

John Ross was famously injury-prone, missing significant time throughout his Bengals career. Joe Mixon remained mostly productive but the prediction for Ross was very accurate.
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Donovan McNabbDonovan McNabb

Deshaun Watson is the best quarterback in the 2017 draft class

I like Deshaun Watson. I think Deshaun Watson has proven he can play in big games... I think Deshaun Watson is probably number one.

Mahomes turned out to be the best in the class, though Watson was very successful early on.
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Big CatBig Cat

Eli Manning definitely committed fraud with the game-worn gear scandal

He did commit fraud. That's okay. What he should do is just come out and be like, hey, guys, I committed fraud. That's on me.

A lawsuit alleged Manning sent emails asking for 'helmets that can pass as game used.' The case was settled out of court in 2018 with no admission of fraud.
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Big CatBig Cat

Mitch Trubisky screwed himself by measuring 6'2" because of Hue Jackson's arbitrary height cutoff

Hugh Jackson, his cutoff for quarterbacks, 6'2". So Mitch Trubisky kind of screwed himself. He should have slouched a little bit, hoping that he went at 6'1"... [Hue] just said, if the quarterback's not 6'2 or taller, I don't want him.

Hue Jackson actually preferred Trubisky but was overruled for Garrett. Trubisky was picked 2nd, proving the height didn't scare off everyone.
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Big CatBig Cat

Adrian Peterson's NFL career is basically over

I think Adrian Peterson's career is... it's pretty much a career for him... he hitting his kid with a switch... he doesn't catch the ball that often. He doesn't run the ball out of shotgun. This isn't the NFL for him.

Peterson played for 5 more teams but only had one more 1,000-yard season (2018). He was never a top-tier back again.
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Big CatBig Cat

Tom Brady will win one more Super Bowl to finish with six

I think that Brady's going to win one more Super Bowl. I think we'll get two. I think he'll win six.

Brady finished with 7 rings, winning two more after this podcast aired.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Atlanta Falcons might not actually be good

Are the falcons good? I don't know... they had some bad losses. They lost the chiefs, the chargers too, right?... The Falcons might not be good. Actually, if you look at the first half of the Super Bowl, they were good. Second half, not so good. You know what I'm doing? I'm crossing them off my list.

The Falcons went 10-6 in 2017 and won a playoff game, proving they were still 'good' even if they regressed.
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Scott ZolakScott Zolak

Super Bowl LI Prediction: Patriots 33, Falcons 24

Give us a Super Bowl prediction. 33-24 pass. Sorry, Atlanta.

The final score was Patriots 34, Falcons 28. Zolak was very close on the Patriots' total and picked the correct winner.
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Doug FlutieDoug Flutie

Matt Ryan is actually 6'5" and significantly bigger than he appears

Matt would stand next to [my nephew] on the sideline and matt was just thick and wide 6'5 every bit of 6'5. Tremendous quarterback.

Ryan is officially listed at 6'4", so Flutie's 'every bit of 6'5"' is a slight exaggeration but directionally accurate.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Browns will find a way to mess up the draft even if Deshaun Watson is available

Dabo Swinney basically telling the Browns, don't fuck up, even though you're going to fuck up because you're the Browns and you always fuck up.

The Browns passed on Watson, drafting Myles Garrett #1 overall. While Garrett was a success, they did 'mess up' by passing on a franchise QB (Watson) for a long time, though Watson's later career makes this more complicated.
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Big CatBig Cat

Ben Roethlisberger is not actually retiring; he just enjoys the attention

Big Ben's not retiring. Come on... A little pre-prediction, though. Big Ben has now reached the point of his career where he's just going to Brett Favre for this every year. Like he'll end up playing for some weird. Big Ben's destiny is to like play one weird season for the Jaguars.

Roethlisberger continued to play for five more seasons, retiring only after the 2021 season. He never played for another team like the Jaguars/Cardinals, though.

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