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PMTPMT DB

Takes

Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Ryan Pace and the Bears will offer JJ Watt the most money on the market

Ryan Pace is going to offer him somewhere between $150 and $200 million... He's never going to be that JJ Watt anymore. So that's the perfect time for Ryan Pace to be like, yo, I'm going to give you $50 million just so I can tell people that we have Khalil Mack and JJ Watt on the same line.

JJ Watt signed a 2-year, $31M deal with the Arizona Cardinals, not the Bears.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Fans have every right to cheer for Deshaun Watson's injury.

They cheered when he went down. I got no problem with that... he's a bad guy. I'm not gonna be like, oh, Boohoo Deshaun Watson... people being happy about it, I don't have any problem with people being happy about it either.

Ethical/fan culture opinion that cannot be proven true or false.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Tom Brady’s career was the direct result of the assassination of Archduke Franz Ferdinand

He's the walking embodiment of the butterfly effect... Gabriel Prince [Gavrilo Princip] got assassinated or assassinated Archduke Franz Ferdinand... It immediately led to Tom Brady's career in the NFL. Started all of it.

It's a satirical causal link that cannot be factually proven or disproven but is logically absurd.
Win
HankHank

Pete Carroll is a cheater for lying on injury reports

My hot seat is Pete Carroll, coach of the Seattle Cheahawks. Got caught cheating... by lying about his injury report saying Richard Sherman, he had an injury the whole season, and he basically lied on the injury report every single week... his crime was lying and cheating.

The NFL did investigate the Seahawks for failing to disclose Richard Sherman's MCL injury, though it is usually viewed as gamesmanship rather than outright cheating on the level of Deflategate.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Odell Beckham Jr. is the new J.J. Watt of milking injuries for attention

Odell might be the new J.J. Watt in terms of always being injured and showing how he's in. He has the injuries that he then plays through those injuries. Kind of a Tiger Woods thing... oh, my finger. Wow, let's do a million sideline reports on my finger while I keep playing.

Subjective comparison of player branding and media coverage.
Win
Mike GolicMike Golic

The Houston Texans are definitely not better off without J.J. Watt

How could you be better without [J.J. Watt]? You know, no matter what people think about him off the field, on the field, he's a pretty darn good player. Now you put him with Mercilus and Clowney, it'll be interesting what happens. So to say the Texans would be better with him off the football field, I don't think is—that's just [the PMT] hot take.

Watt proved his value with an All-Pro season in 2018 after returning from injury, though the Texans' overall success was inconsistent.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Chip Kelly is on the Ice Throne because he intentionally stocks his roster with bad players to buy more time

I think Chip Kelly's on the ice throne, too... Because he's got blame gap. One thing that Chip Kelly is really great at is stockpiling his rosters with the shittiest quarterbacks... He's stocking his roster up with bad, bad players. And then he can be like, well, I didn't have the personnel this year. I'm still implementing my system.

Hot TakeFootballFireSarcastic
Chip Kelly was fired after just one season (2-14) with the 49ers, so the Ice Throne did not protect him.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The San Francisco 49ers have already 'clinched' a playoff berth after Week 3

The Niners have clinched a playoff berth. Congratulations to the San Francisco 49ers. That's huge.

While they obviously eventually did make the playoffs, you cannot literally clinch in Week 3.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

J.J. Watt rejected the Top 100 players list only to show everyone how humble he is

J.J. responded to it and said, I only played three games last year. What a joke this list is. So J.J. gets it. He's going to make sure that everybody knows how humble he is. And he's rejecting the title of a top 100 player. While also letting everyone know that he made the top 100 list.

The interpretation of Watt's intent is subjective, though his tweet did literally occur.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Deshaun Watson is ruining the team he wants to be traded to

You're essentially saying, I want to be traded to a team that then will give up a bunch of draft capital and then hurt my ability to play for a winning team. In a way, yeah. He's almost kind of shitting in his own house and then buying the house.

Watson was eventually traded to the Browns for three 1st-round picks. The Browns have struggled to build around him due to lack of assets and his own performance/suspension.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

No team should trade four first-round picks for Deshaun Watson

I think that you would be screwing yourself so royally over for the future if you give up four first-round picks... I wouldn't do it for four.

Watson went for three 1st-rounders. The team that paid that (Browns) has faced significant criticism and roster building challenges, supporting Big Cat's 'don't overpay' stance.
Void
Billy FootballBilly Football

J.J. Watt's extreme health and diet routines are a cover to hide that he uses steroids

J.J. Watt doing a new health thing just to make pretend he's non-steroids. So last year it was like nine avocados a day or whatever... he was like sleeping in that bed in the middle of the day during Hard Knocks.

This is a speculative hot take that cannot be verified without failed tests, which never occurred.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

I enjoy watching the Broncos on primetime because the brand of bad football is a fascinating story every time

I actually, I'm gonna say this and I know this, people will be like, 'Oh, you're just saying this to be opposite,' I enjoy having the Broncos on primetime football because every time it's a story. It's bad football but you see something new every time and it's a weird story. It became so hilariously bad that it's interesting. There's something about a Broncos primetime game that it's fascinating to watch because it's just a car crash for 60 minutes plus.

Subjective opinion on entertainment value. The 2022 Broncos did remain a fascinatngly bad story for most of the season.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Dak Prescott is a speedster who will redefine the quarterback position

I've done a little scouting on Dak Prescott... Athletic, mobile. He's going to redefine the quarterback position. He's a speedster. I don't know if we've ever seen an athlete like Dak Prescott back there. He's instinctive. He's not a thinker.

Hot TakeFootballHotSarcastic
Dak Prescott became a franchise QB but as a pocket passer with mobility, not a position-redefining speedster or Mike Vick clone.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

I'm officially done with watching Desmond Ridder play football

I'm so sick of watching Desmond Ridder play football. I know he played well in the fourth quarter... but the interception, the fumble in the end zone, the missed pass to Bijon [Robinson] where it was a walk-in touchdown and he missed him. I'm just kind of done with watching him play football. We've had enough.

Ridder was benched for Taylor Heinicke later in the season and was eventually traded to the Cardinals in the 2024 offseason, effectively ending his time as the Falcons' starter.
Win
Vince WilforkVince Wilfork

The Patriots defense is never better without JJ Watt

When you have the best defensive player in the league, your defense is going to never be better without him.

The Texans defense statistically plummeted in the years following Watt's prime and injuries.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Deshaun Watson has the highest ratio of football talent to being a bad person of any player currently in the NFL.

In today's game, I would say that Deshaun Watson has the biggest football to good guy ratio. [He is a] way better football player than human being. Insanely a large gap.

The definition of a 'good guy' is subjective, though Watson's legal history provides context for the take.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Sammy Watkins is in a cult

My cool throne is Sammy Watkins being in a cult. ... As we've been speculating, we've been squatting on the take that Sammy Watkins is in the cult for like the last three years on the show. Sammy really... talked about all the weird stuff. ... So now he's happy that he's in a cult.

Watkins himself described his intense spiritual journey and beliefs that many characterized as cult-like or highly unconventional.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Deshaun Watson is the Michael Jordan of the NFL

When Dabo Swinney says [Deshaun Watson] is Michael Jordan, that's what he's talking about. The fact that he has that poise and that one play where he got sacked twice, spun around and made a play.

Subjective comparison of greatness across sports.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Deshaun Watson will not have a great season due to his ACL recovery timeline

I didn't think that Deshaun Watson was going to have a great year this year because Adrian Peterson screwed it up for everybody by coming back from that ACL so quickly... It's going to be like a year and a half before he gets back to normal.

Watson actually had a very strong 2018, throwing for over 4,000 yards and 26 TDs while making the Pro Bowl.
Push
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

TJ Watt's injury might be a psychological 'Art of War' ploy to trick the Ravens

I have a theory about TJ Watt's injury... I think this could be an Art of War situation. Sun Sue Art of War. Make your enemy think that you were weak when you were strong... Start throwing out the one in 10 without TJ Watts Stats... Let people start thinking during the week of practice. Maybe TJ's not gonna be playing this week.

Watt did play and had 1.5 sacks in the game, but there is no evidence the injury was a fabricated 'psy-op'.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

JJ Watt will get a DUI within six months if he keeps up his current public persona

He either comes on Pardon My Take and doesn't interview anybody and is actually real for a little bit... or two, he keeps up the facade, and then six months later, he gets a DUI, and then it's all just completely busted. ... If you keep this up, and then you get a DUI, guess what? You're screwed.

JJ Watt did not get a DUI in the six months following this episode.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

JJ Watt is a significantly better football player than he is a person

A lot of people will say like, JJ Watt great player, all-time player, even better person. That's bullshit. You're a way better football player than you are a person and you're a pretty good person.

This is a subjective comparison between athletic peak and personal character.
Loss
Jerry O'ConnellJerry O'Connell

The Browns will make a run now that Deshaun Watson is back

They could make a run. Come on guys. They have a ground game. They have receivers, they have a defense. The one missing piece was [Watson] is coming in.

The Browns went 3-3 with Watson and missed the playoffs.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Watching Russell Wilson fail in prime time has become fascinating theater

That Russell Wilson clip that I somehow missed of him saying Bronco country, let's ride after the loss... Man I'm actually, I'm, I'm zagging on everyone being like, this sucks that we have to watch the Broncos and I kind of wanna watch Russell Wilson just continue to fail on prime time. It's fun. It's good theater at this point.

This is a subjective assessment of the entertainment value of the 2022 Broncos' struggles.
Void
Jerry O'ConnellJerry O'Connell

The Rams are one of the most fun teams to watch because Matthew Stafford is so volatile

Oh, I love the Rams. You know why? Because they don't score 20 points every week. They like sometimes score, like sometimes Stafford is like 40 points and then some weeks, nothing. It's so fun.

Stafford's variance in production is a matter of statistical record, but 'fun' is subjective.
Void
Chris BermanChris Berman

If you have a problem watching Patrick Mahomes, you have a problem watching football

If you have a problem watching [Mahomes] play quarterback, you have a problem watching football. That's true. I mean, you don't have to root for him. But don't, ah, appreciate greatness. No, stop it.

This is a subjective statement on how fans should appreciate the game.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

J.J. Watt will catch at least two touchdowns against the Bengals

My prediction is J.J. Watt scores two touchdowns because the Texans have three tight ends that all have concussions. So J.J. Watt's going to catch some balls tonight.

The Texans won 13-9, and J.J. Watt did not score any touchdowns.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Adam Thielen becoming a Steeler was the fulfillment of a Mike Tomlin 'soup spoon' prophecy

Mike Tomlin will say something like, 'we can't eat soup with forks, we need spoons.' Then the Steelers will sign a 2018 Pro Bowler... You [Adam Thielen] were a Pro Bowler in 2018. This tweet was put up on November 30th, 2025. You became a Steeler December 2nd.

The timeline of the tweet and the signing is factually verifiable as accurate.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

SkyCam is the superior way to watch football because it shows the verticality of the game

Football's a vertical game. You need to see how it goes downfield. You don't get that from the sideline camera angle. Us all 22 guys, we live for the Skycam.

Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Bill O'Brien doesn't know how to coach Deshaun Watson

[Bill O'Brien] doesn't know how to coach Deshaun Watson, that's pretty clear. He was like putting him in shotgun and running the ball in fourth and one on the goal. I don't know what the hell he's doing.

Subjective coaching critique.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Fans should respect my privacy and absolutely not watch the Commanders vs. Broncos game on Sunday Night Football.

Why is this game on Sunday night football? It sucks... Nobody should watch this game. Yeah. Like it, it honestly feels perverted that you would want to tune and watch this. This is a personal matter that I have that I'm dealing with... please respect my privacy.

This is a comedic bit about the poor quality of an upcoming prime-time matchup.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Sam Ehlinger is a 'coach killer' because Frank Reich was fired shortly after he was named the starter

Is Sam Ehlinger a coach killer? So he steps in and then immediately like two weeks later, boom, Frank Reich's fired. A lot of people are saying it. I just wanted to give a platform to it.

Frank Reich was indeed fired on November 7, 2022, shortly after Sam Ehlinger was named the starter in late October.
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Big CatBig Cat

Jameis Winston signing with the Saints is a genius move to eventually become the starter in waiting

It actually is genius move by him because Drew Brees you have to think... maybe this year's is last year. Maybe he's got two more years. If you could ingratiate yourself to Sean Payton and what they have going on there... that's actually a very smart thing to do to be the guy in waiting.

Jameis did eventually become the starter for the Saints in 2021 after Brees retired, although injuries hampered his tenure.
Win
Neil deGrasse TysonNeil deGrasse Tyson

Russell Wilson's controversial lateral was physically legitimate in the reference frame of the runners

In the reference frame of the quarterback and the running back, it was a legitimate lateral. From the reference frame of the grid, the ball moved forward. But you're penalizing players for running fast. I think as long as Russell Wilson stayed ahead of the other runner while he threw it, the spirit of a lateral is being preserved.

Physically, he is correct about the reference frames. However, the NFL rule considers the ground as the fixed reference frame, meaning it was technically a forward pass if it crossed a forward yard line.
Void
Jerry RiceJerry Rice

Walter Payton is the greatest football player in Mississippi history

All time I love I love sweetness. Okay. Number one. I will say then myself. [Big Cat: That's a very smart classy move].

This is a subjective ranking of legends.
Win
Booger McFarlandBooger McFarland

The Dolphins are like the Golden State Warriors; teams need to play them like the 'Bad Boy' Pistons

The Dolphins are kind of like the Golden State Warriors. They want to get out and fast break and no-look three and no-look shovel pass. Make it a fist fight. Hit him in the mouth. You need to play Miami like the 'Bad Boy' Pistons. You need Rick Mahorn just kind of slapping the hell out of somebody to disrupt what they do.

The Bills successfully mucked up the game and physically overwhelmed the Dolphins 48-20 just days after this interview.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Panthers should not trade DJ Moore or Brian Burns

DJ Moore played well, caught a crazy touchdown pass and Brian Burns played well and he's like, The Panthers should not trade those two guys. I know there's been a lot of talk about it... You don't want to trade like your actually young, good talent because then you draft someone and there's like a 50% chance they suck.

Moore was eventually traded to the Bears in the Caleb Williams/No. 1 pick deal, while Burns was traded to the Giants in 2024. Whether these were 'correct' moves is subjective, but Moore's departure directly enabled them to get Bryce Young.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Bears are a team of destiny and I'm not using the word Super Bowl lightly.

It's very weird almost like team of Destiny Vibes. Like I don't use the word Super Bowl lightly... This is team of Destiny stuff for sure and Nick Foles... he's got ice water in his veins.

The Bears finished the season 8-8 and lost in the Wild Card round; they were not a team of destiny.
Void
Big CatBig Cat

Russell Wilson is a bizarre human being who would be in a mental institution if he weren't an athlete

The person who woke him up every hour and a half, the voodoo people, the hypnotist, the concussion water, the strength coach... he's just a bizarre human being... if he wasn't an exceptional athlete and he did all this shit, he would probably be in a mental institution.

This is a subjective characterization of Wilson's well-documented eccentricities.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

I'm betting the Bills -7 over the Dolphins because Tua Tagovailoa can't play in the cold

I had no idea they went to seven, Tua has played 63 games in college and pro and never started a game that's been under 36 degrees. Yep... He's not a cold weather guy... This is going to be a big time fish outta water studio. Yes. And he also, he started three games with the temperatures under 50 degrees. Oh three straight up and against the spread... Bill's my seven, my pick.

The Bills won 32-29, so they failed to cover the -7 spread.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Jets have officially hit rock bottom and can't possibly sink any lower

My theory is that they will not get any lower than they are right now. Like everyone's shitting on the jets. Everyone is shitting on the jets. Aaron Rodgers is drinking water with cayenne pepper in it. Pretty, I think it's, it's pretty low.

The Jets continued to lose and fired more staff, proving there was indeed a lower floor.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

The Bengals will always have a redheaded quarterback because it's their brand

I thought that we were going to lose our beautiful redheaded Bengals quarterbacks... and then I saw who his backup [Ryan Finley] was and he's got red hair too. Yeah, it doesn't pop the same way now as Andy's but... it's a watered-down Andy Dalton.

The Bengals did indeed draft Joe Burrow (not a redhead) shortly after this, ending the redheaded streak.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Bill Belichick is interested in Andy Dalton to prove he can win with anyone

A lot of people have been saying the reverse that Bill Belichick would be interested in Andy Dalton because if you can win a Super Bowl with Andy Dalton, then everyone will say wow. This guy can do anything he walk on water.

The Patriots did not sign Andy Dalton; they eventually signed Cam Newton after Brady left.
Win
Uncle ChapsUncle Chaps

Jack Del Rio stinks

They're starting to wonder if it's more than just the water that smells in Oakland because Jack Del Rio stinks.

Jack Del Rio was fired by the Raiders on December 31, 2017, following a 6-10 season.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Carson Wentz is statistically the best quarterback in Washington franchise history

Carson Wentz in the last 20 years, Carson Wentz is actually the best quarterback the Washington football team franchise will have. So if you do minimum three games, Carson Wentz has 1.63 TDs per game. The second one on that list is Shane Matthews... [Wentz] is blowing the competition out of the water.

Wentz's tenure in Washington was a disaster. He ended the 2022 season with 11 TDs in 8 games (1.37 per game), falling below the mark Big Cat cited and losing his job.
Void
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Chargers' social media account being too funny is hurting the team's culture

I think that the Chargers Twitter account is, is too funny. And and it's resulted in actual on the field losses for you. Yeah. Be serious. This is culture matters. ... If you're asking guys, Hey, is water wet when they come off the field, they're probably, that's gonna break their brains. ... I actually, I'm starting to think that Chargers truther, he might be true. It affects team culture.

Subjective claim about the causal link between social media and team performance.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Joe Burrow is officially an elite quarterback

It was Joe Burrow's coming out party. I think that's fair to say. He's officially now in my book, at least an elite quarterback. He is—the guy has ice water in his veins... he is fucking elite.

Burrow led the Bengals to the Super Bowl that season and established himself as a top-3 QB in the league.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

Jamarcus Russell is due for a fake training video 'comeback' soon

I'm going to do a little prediction. I feel like we're due for a Jamarcus Russell comeback soon, too. Jamarcus Russell comebacks are just him making a YouTube video of doing crunches on one of those balls in the gym. Jamarcus Russell actually, he's jumping into the Atlantic Ocean in the middle of the winter and then he comes out and his skin's all tight because it's cold water. He's like, comeback, comeback season.

Jamarcus Russell did attempt several well-publicized comebacks between 2013-2016, but by 2017, these had mostly ceased.
Void
George KittleGeorge Kittle

NFL tight ends are significantly underpaid relative to their production compared to wide receivers

Travis Kelce is either first or second behind Devonte Adams of most receiving yards in the last six years. And he pays half of what the best wide receivers are paid. And so that kind of seems like it's just water in the bridge... he plays tight end and you don't really get a lot of attention and stuff.

This is a factual observation regarding NFL salary cap structures and market value for the position.

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