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Takes

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Caeleb DresselCaeleb Dressel

Pool water isn't actually blue; the lining is white and the water is clear

No, the water's clear... I think the walls, the walls are white, the bottom's white and the water's clear... This is the hill I'm dying on right now. The teas were definitely black... the water is clear and the lining of the pool was white.

While water is clear, Rayleigh scattering makes large bodies of water look blue. However, many competition pools use white or light grey liners, making the 'blue' purely a reflection of lighting or depth.
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HankHank

An Oreo is a frosting sandwich, not a cookie

If you took an Oreo and took, you know, the top part off, that single black chip is a cookie... What do you think Oreos are cookies? It's a frosting sandwich.

Oreo is legally and colloquially marketed as a 'sandwich cookie'.
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Big CatBig Cat

Phil Kessel will celebrate a Stanley Cup win by eating whatever he wants all summer, possibly filling the Cup with queso or hot dog water

Phil Kessel, though, you think he eats now. If he's a Stanley Cup champion, you can eat whatever you want for the rest of the summer... I wouldn't be shocked if that was a story that came out in a couple months or, like I said, just some hot dogs. Like some good old hot dog water and some boiled hot dogs.

While there is no record of queso, Kessel famously took a photo eating hot dogs out of the Stanley Cup in 2017 to spite his critics.
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Billy FootballBilly Football

Hot water, lemon juice, honey, and Tylenol is an effective strategy for treating COVID-19

I'm recommending also hot green tea, lemon juice, and honey three times a day because the hot water washes down the virus... and if they have a fever give them Tylenol anyway, that's all I have to say.

While honey/lemon can soothe symptoms, the claim that hot water 'washes down the virus' is medically false. Tylenol is a standard treatment for fever.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Teddy Bridgewater can't throw the ball more than 10 yards down the field

I don't think Teddy Bridgewater can throw the ball more than 10 yards down the field. So I like that under.

While Bridgewater was conservative in 2019, he did complete passes longer than 10 yards, though his average intended air yards were among the lowest in the league.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Broncos will be a profitable betting team because of Teddy Bridgewater's stability

This team, the Broncos this year will be a bet on team for me because Teddy Bridgewater is perfect for Vic Fangio's defense like a quarterback that's not going to make mistakes, not going to lose you the game. Let the defense win you the game.

The 2021 Broncos finished 7-10 and 8-9 ATS, essentially a break-even team, though they started strong.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Teddy Bridgewater's injury is actually a positive for Vikings fans because it removes the stress of expectations

I mean, right off the bat, it's kind of nice. You don't have to get your hopes up. It's vacation season for Vikings fans. Like, you know, just relax. Take your shoes up. You don't have to stress yourself out during the games. You get to kind of take it easy.

The 2016 Vikings started 5-0 without Teddy but collapsed to 8-8 and missed the playoffs, largely fulfilling the 'doom and gloom' despite the brief hope.
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Big CatBig Cat

Teddy Bridgewater is simply a winning quarterback and one of the best in the NFL right now

I went and looked it up of the active quarterbacks in the NFL right now for 40 minimum starts best winning percentage Patrick Mahomes 1 Tom Brady 2 Russell Wilson 3 Ben Roethlisberger 4 Aaron Rodgers 5, Teddy Bridgewater 6... All he does is win and all he does is a win as an underdog. He's 12 and 10 straight up as an underdog.

At the time, Bridgewater's winning percentage was indeed very high. However, his career winning percentage declined significantly after the 2020 season with the Panthers, Broncos, and Dolphins.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Deshaun Watson should not be allowed to play in 2022 until the civil suits are resolved

I'm about ready to say, like I've seen enough and that I feel like Deshaun Watson should not be allowed to play this year until, until they figure out what's going to happen with the civil suits, because this is now 24 women. And with like strikingly similar details about what's happening.

Watson was eventually suspended for 11 games, so he did play during the 2022 season, albeit missing the majority of it.
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Zach HarperZach Harper

Everything will fall apart for the Celtics later in the series

And then the Celtics will go back to, like, Terry Rozier won't be able to hit a shot anymore, and Jason Tatum will look like a rookie, and Al Horford will be with a Kardashian or something. Everything's going to fall apart.

While the Celtics did eventually lose the series in 7, Tatum actually played very well throughout, famously dunking on LeBron in Game 7. The 'falling apart' was more about LeBron's dominance than a total collapse by the Celtics' youth.
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Big CatBig Cat

Wisconsin will lose in heartbreaking fashion on a buzzer-beater

Wisconsin is going to lose in heartbreaking fashion. That's going to be fun... South Carolina will probably win on a buzzer beater right in my face. I'll have front row seats.

Wisconsin lost to Florida (not South Carolina) on a buzzer-beater by Chris Chiozza in the Sweet 16. The spirit of the prediction was eerily correct.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Browns will find a way to mess up the draft even if Deshaun Watson is available

Dabo Swinney basically telling the Browns, don't fuck up, even though you're going to fuck up because you're the Browns and you always fuck up.

The Browns passed on Watson, drafting Myles Garrett #1 overall. While Garrett was a success, they did 'mess up' by passing on a franchise QB (Watson) for a long time, though Watson's later career makes this more complicated.
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Deion SandersDeion Sanders

Travis Hunter will not be the only five-star recruit to join an HBCU

I liked it as well stated. And I don't think he's [Travis Hunter] going to be by himself. I'm just telling you that he's not going to be alone. I promise you. He is not going to be alone. You're going to hear about that real soon.

While several high-profile recruits did follow Deion to Jackson State (like Kevin Coleman), the movement largely slowed down once Deion moved to Colorado, with Hunter also transferring there.
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Big CatBig Cat

Baker Mayfield and the Browns are significantly better without Odell Beckham

It is not a hot take to say that the Browns are just significantly better and Baker Mayfield is significantly better without Odell Beckham. ... Because he doesn't have to feel like he has to throw the ball to Odell Beckham, and if he misses Odell Beckham, Odell Beckham's dad's going to make a fucking mixtape with R.E.M. behind it.

While the Browns won 41-16 in their first game post-OBJ, they ultimately finished 8-9 and missed the playoffs, while OBJ won the Super Bowl with the Rams.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Jaguars will fail Trevor Lawrence, not the other way around

I'm gonna, I'm going to switch the narrative on Trevor Lawrence. I think that it's the Jack, the Jaguars will fail Trevor Lawrence, not Trevor Lawrence failing the Jaguars because they don't put a team around him. Like I, I think he's going to be great if they can put a little bit of a team around it.

The Urban Meyer era was a disaster, though Lawrence eventually found success under Doug Pederson.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

TJ Watt's injury might be a psychological 'Art of War' ploy to trick the Ravens

I have a theory about TJ Watt's injury... I think this could be an Art of War situation. Sun Sue Art of War. Make your enemy think that you were weak when you were strong... Start throwing out the one in 10 without TJ Watts Stats... Let people start thinking during the week of practice. Maybe TJ's not gonna be playing this week.

Watt did play and had 1.5 sacks in the game, but there is no evidence the injury was a fabricated 'psy-op'.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

J.J. Watt needs to wear a surgery cone so he doesn't re-injure himself working too hard

The bottom line is J.J. Watt needs a cone around his head like you give to a dog after surgery because he's so anxious to prove what a hard work he is. This is what it's all about. He rushed back from a back surgery so he could be like, oh, I'm a big, tough guy.

Watt did return quite quickly from surgery in 2016, which many analysts at the time believed contributed to his season-ending setback.
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Big CatBig Cat

Only Oregon, Ohio State, or Georgia can win the national title this year

I do strongly think that if your name's not Oregon, Ohio State or Georgia, you're not gonna win the whole thing.

Ohio State won the national title, which was one of Big Cat's three teams. However, Oregon and Georgia did not win it. The prediction was partially right — one of his three named teams did win, but the other two didn't make the final.
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Donovan McNabbDonovan McNabb

Deshaun Watson is the best quarterback in the 2017 draft class

I like Deshaun Watson. I think Deshaun Watson has proven he can play in big games... I think Deshaun Watson is probably number one.

Mahomes turned out to be the best in the class, though Watson was very successful early on.
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Big CatBig Cat

The take that the Warriors are better without Kevin Durant is starting to look true

The kernel, the little fucking seed that got planted a few weeks ago, has now become a full tree, a take tree. Are the Warriors better without Kevin Durant? It is a full-blown take tree. It's the tree that's dropping shit on your car now because you can't go anywhere without seeing this take. And it's starting to look kind of true.

The Warriors won the 2022 title without KD, proving they could win at the highest level without him, though they lost the 2019 Finals shortly after this take.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Cardinals will have a very good, fun-to-watch offense this season

I think the Cardinals' offense is going to be very good this year... I think they might be one of those really fun teams to watch. They might not win seven or eight games, but they give us some great red zone late witching hour moments.

The Cardinals' offense was solid but inconsistent, finishing in the middle of the pack in scoring and yardage, though they were involved in several close, high-scoring games.
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Big CatBig Cat

Deshaun Watson will be suspended for the entire 2022 NFL season

I don't think that Deshaun Watson is going to play next year. The more I think about it, the more I think that Roger Goodell is going to step in and be like, that's me, Roger Goodell champion of women everywhere. And we're suspending Deshaun Watson next year. Holy fuck.

Watson was originally suspended for 6 games, which was appealed and increased to 11 games. He did not play the full season, but he did play in December 2022.
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Big CatBig Cat

Deshaun Watson doesn't like football anymore and will eventually quit on this season

I think [Deshaun Watson] just doesn't like football anymore. Yeah. He's going to, he's going to quit on this season. Or the Browns will find a way out of this. Something's gonna happen.

Watson did not officially 'quit,' but his season ended in October due to a ruptured Achilles tendon amidst ongoing poor performance and benching speculation.
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Deion SandersDeion Sanders

The Packers, Ravens, and Chiefs are my favorite teams to watch this NFL season

I'm really liking Green Bay. I'm really liking Baltimore for some reason. I'm really liking Kansas City because they're upset and they're going to be a lot more focused.

The Packers (13-4) and Chiefs (12-5) were elite, but the Ravens struggled (8-9) and missed the playoffs. None of these teams made the Super Bowl.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Cowboys' defense plays better when they have a backup quarterback like Ben DiNucci

It turns out that in a weird way is kind of good having a shitty quarterback playing because your defense gets this mindset of like we have to create turnovers, we have to stop everybody. Whereas before they're like, oh we got Dak, he's gonna throw for a million yards, I can take a couple plays off here.

The Cowboys defense did improve statistically in some games post-Dak, but it was largely a historically bad unit regardless of the QB.
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Greg McElroyGreg McElroy

Patrick Mahomes and Deshaun Watson will be part of a 'sneaky good' QB class

I have a feeling this year's class... Pat Mahomes, Mitch Trubisky, Deshaun Watson, and even DeShone Kizer, all four have a chance to be sneaky good, I think, in the NFL. So maybe that trend's reversing back a little bit.

Mahomes and Watson became elite stars. Trubisky was a bust/journeyman and Kizer was out of the league quickly. Overall, the class was indeed legendary due to the top two.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Falcons are a team to watch as a trade destination for Kirk Cousins

I noticed earlier in the week the Falcons made cap room. They did a big restructuring. I could see the Falcons trying to do something like that [trading for Kirk Cousins]. Because if you're being honest as a Falcons fan, you're not really happy with the quarterback situation right now.

Cousins was not traded mid-season (he tore his Achilles shortly after), but he eventually signed a massive free-agent contract with the Falcons in March 2024.
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Big CatBig Cat

If the College Football Playoff started today, my final four would be Georgia, Alabama, Oregon, and Penn State

If they started the college football playoff today, my final four would be Georgia and Bama, which obviously not new colors, but Oregon and Penn state new colors. And that's our color update.

Georgia and Alabama both made the playoff, but Oregon (10-4) and Penn State (7-6) fell off significantly later in the season.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Bills and the Cardinals are the only two NFL teams that definitely suck after Week 2

I think this is the first time we've gotten to week two, because usually you can tell almost instantly, okay, these teams definitely suck, and these teams are going to definitely be good. I actually only have two teams that definitely suck on the list... the Bills [and] the Cardinals.

The Cardinals finished 3-13 (worst in the NFL). The Bills finished 6-10, which was bad but not 'definitely suck' territory compared to others.
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Big CatBig Cat

Watch out for the Saints as a 'don't look now' team in the NFC

The Saints might be your don't look now team. They finish against the Dolphins, Panthers and Falcons. Like they could run the table. They could be in... they still have so many, their defense is still so good. And with [Alvin] Kamara back, watch out for the Saints.

The Saints finished 9-8 and narrowly missed the playoffs due to tiebreakers, despite winning 4 of their last 5 games.
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Alex RodriguezAlex Rodriguez

Derek Jeter will be a successful executive if given five years to fix the Marlins, and I would not bet against him.

Give [Derek Jeter] five years before passing judgment because he walked into a very difficult situation. Here's a five-time world champion, a Hall of Famer—Jeter is going to be just fine. I would not bet against Mr. Jeter.

Jeter left the Marlins in early 2022, about 4.5 years after taking over. The team made the playoffs once (2020) but largely struggled during his tenure.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Oscars are better without a host

No host is the future. Way better. No stupid gimmicks, you know, when they deliver pizzas or do the selfies or whatever the fuck happens when you run out of bits two hours into the Oscars.

The Academy went hostless again in 2020 and 2021, but eventually returned to the host format in 2022.
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Andy StaplesAndy Staples

College Football Playoff prediction: Georgia, Michigan, Oregon, and Alabama

I'm gonna go Georgia, Michigan. I'm gonna go Oregon. I'm gonna say Oregon wins the Pac-12. First Pac-12 playoff participant since 2016. And then Alabama.

Staples correctly predicted Michigan and Alabama, but Georgia and Oregon failed to make the Playoff.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Lions are better without Calvin Johnson because Matthew Stafford can spread the ball around

Is this the year that Matt Stafford finally makes the leap? I'm going to say yes. Calvin Johnson was holding him back. Better without Calvin Johnson. He can spread the ball around.

The 2016 Lions actually finished with more wins (9) than in 2015 (7) and Stafford had one of his most efficient seasons, giving some weird merit to this hot take.
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Big CatBig Cat

Deshaun Watson will be suspended for at least a full year

We're first reporting on Pardon My Take that Deshaun Watson will be suspended for [at least a full] year. Yep. On Friday... my guess is it will be a suspension for a year, and then the appeal is going to come through... then Goodell is going to be like, okay, I'll like reduce it to 14 games or 12 games.

Watson was originally suspended for 6 games, but after an NFL appeal and settlement, it was increased to 11 games (effectively most of the season). Big Cat was close with the 12-game estimate.
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Big CatBig Cat

The Cavs vs. Raptors series is over and I'm not watching another second of it

This series is going to be brutal to watch. Maybe the Raptors play close for four quarters in Toronto for one game, but I don't even give them that... the Cavs are locked in. They're on a different level right now. So this series is over as far as I'm concerned.

The Cavs won the series 4-2, so while they won, it wasn't the total non-competitive sweep he implied.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Deshaun Watson will have a better season than Aaron Rodgers in 2023

Deshaun Watson will have a better season than Aaron Rodgers. I agree... I'm predicting this year is gonna be like last year. Russell Wilson going to Denver. Yeah. Everybody was like, oh, he's reuniting with Nathaniel Hackett. It's gonna be great. Guess what, Aaron Rodgers. Okay. Big name switching teams.

While both players had seasons ended by injury, Watson played parts of 6 games compared to Rodgers' 1 game, technically accumulating more stats, though neither had a 'good' season.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Browns might actually be better without Deshaun Watson and Nick Chubb

Do you think that the Cleveland Browns are better without Deshaun Watson, Nick Chubb and Joel Bitonio? They might be. And you had a lot of people talking about the 49ers being super injured today. Well, the Browns, they they got you beat when it comes to major injuries.

The Browns finished 11-6 and made the playoffs with Joe Flacco after Watson went down, largely proving they were a complete team regardless of Watson, though Chubb's absence was felt.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Deshaun Watson will be suspended indefinitely for at least one year

Sean was suspended for, for a year, for a year, but also indefinitely. They're going to drop that one on, on Friday. Yup. Yup. Right before 4th of July.

The suspension was 11 games, not a full year/indefinite, though the league did seek a full year.
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Mark TitusMark Titus

Oregon is the weakest 1-seed but has an easy path thanks to Duke being in their bracket

Oregon's definitely the weakest one seed, but then you've got to look at their bracket. Because they were blessed to have Duke in their bracket, the committee always gives Duke the easy ride. By proxy, Oregon also got the easy ride.

Oregon (1-seed) beat Duke (4-seed) in the Sweet Sixteen but then lost to Oklahoma in the Elite Eight.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Deshaun Watson will be rusty and the Texans will cover +7

Texans plus seven Dashaun Watson's coming back. He is playing his first game of football since January 3rd, 2021. That's essentially two years. In between football games. That's a long time. It's a long time to not play football. Yes.

The Browns won 27-14. Watson was indeed rusty (131 yards, 0 TD, 1 INT), but the Browns defense/special teams scored 3 TDs, covering the spread.
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Big CatBig Cat

Michigan has turned the corner and is a dangerous team after winning the Big 10 tournament

Michigan obviously beat Wisconsin Big 10 title today. Dusty May called it correctly. He was like, our team needs a reset. They got their reset and then they won the big 10 tournament and they looked really good doing it. So maybe they've turned the corner and gotten that reset they needed.

Michigan did make the NCAA Tournament after winning the Big Ten tournament and reached the Sweet 16, losing to Auburn. However, they were not a deep threat as hoped.
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HewyHewy

WNBA Finals will be the third most-watched sport in the fall

The finals of the WNBA specifically will have the third most ratings in the fall. So behind college football and the NFL. There needs to be a third place. And WNBA finals will surpass the NBA opening, will surpass the NHL and it'll be the third most watched sport. It'll battle the World Series and it will be three.

The WNBA Finals set viewership records (averaging 1.6M viewers, up 115% from 2023), but it's unclear if it definitively surpassed the World Series and NHL as the third most-watched sport. It was competitive with but likely did not clearly beat the World Series ratings.
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Big CatBig Cat

Drake deserves an at-large NCAA Tournament bid no matter what happens in their conference tournament

Texas does not to be deserved to be in. They're bad if like Drake gets kept out instead of Texas. If Drake doesn't win their conference, I'll be very upset. I'm gonna say it right now. Drake deserves to be in no matter what.

Drake did make the 2025 NCAA Tournament but via automatic bid (winning the MVC tournament), not an at-large bid. They were a #11 seed and beat Missouri in the first round. The take was about deserving an at-large bid, which became moot since they won their conference.
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Daniel JeremiahDaniel Jeremiah

Travis Hunter will be more impactful as a Wide Receiver than a Cornerback in the NFL

I think everybody I've talked to has a plan to major in minor... I think he's ready, he's more impactful as a receiver right now. And so I, to me, I think that's where you start him... I think he is right now ready to go. There's a ton of ways we can get the ball in his hands and I just think he impacts the game more on offense.

Travis Hunter was drafted #2 by the Jaguars and played both ways, but primarily on offense in his debut. He played 44 of 63 offensive snaps vs 6 defensive snaps in his first game, suggesting the Jaguars prioritized his WR role, supporting this prediction.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The OKC Thunder will get swept by the Golden State Warriors in the playoffs

Who gets the shot at the end of game four when they're getting swept by the Golden State Warriors? Russ, triple team.

The Thunder didn't even make it to the Warriors; they lost in the first round to the Utah Jazz 4-2. While the 'sweep' didn't happen, the prediction of a postseason failure was correct in spirit.
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Big CatBig Cat

This is the end of the Golden State Warriors dynasty

The Warriors are on the hot seat because the Warriors are breaking up... Steve Kerr is sick of Draymond's shit. Now, I don't know if that was actually what he was talking about, but it's clear the Warriors have... I feel like this is it. This is it. This is the end. Don't you?

The Warriors lost the 2019 Finals and Kevin Durant left, ending that specific era, but the 'dynasty' arguably continued as they won the championship in 2022.
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Big CatBig Cat

The 2016 World Series eliminated the ability for anyone to make '3-1 lead' jokes at the Golden State Warriors' expense

The true winner was Steph Curry, because any Cleveland person who tries to make fun of the Warriors can get that [the Indians blowing a 3-1 lead] thrown back in their face... it just basically eliminated the joke solely at the Warriors' expense.

While it provided a counter-punch, '3-1' jokes persisted for years against both the Warriors and the Indians/Guardians.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Golden State Warriors will stumble in December before turning it on after the All-Star break

I'm on the record. I think they're going to stumble out of the gate. They're going to have a hard December. And then they're going to turn it on after the All-Star break.

The Warriors went 12-4 in December, their second-highest loss total for a month that season, but still elite. They did 'turn it on' and win the title.
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PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The 2022 NBA Finals will be the Brooklyn Nets vs. the Golden State Warriors

I'm going to double dip. I'm going to go nets warriors... Meaning like the warriors are kind of, I'm treating them the same way I'm treated the nets, which is they're too good. They've got so much talent. They're going to figure it out.

Incorrect. While the Warriors made the Finals, the Nets were swept in the first round by the Celtics.

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