Skip to content
PMTPMT DB

Takes

Open
Adam SchefterAdam Schefter

The Seattle Seahawks will sell for $10 billion

Somebody told me $10 billion... You're buying the defending Super Bowl champion. That's never happened. Right? You're buying an organization that's run very well... It's a great buying opportunity.

The final sale price of the Seahawks will eventually verify this claim.
Push
Dana WhiteDana White

Fighter pay has increased with every new deal and will continue to go up with the Paramount Plus deal

Since 2001, the day we bought this company fighter pay has gone up. Every new deal that we've done, fight, pay has gone up and obviously fight or pay will go up for this deal. It's incredible for the fighters.

While total pay has increased as the business grows, critics often point to the percentage of revenue shared with fighters, making the 'increase' a point of debate.
Open
Timm WoodsTimm Woods

Fifty percent of professional Dungeons and Dragons clients are Pardon My Take fans

I love running games for AWLs. I think at this point 50% of my clients are like AWLs. I mean it's so rad because what I do is now that I've run Forge of Fury, I've been running another adventure for them.

I cannot verify Timm Woods' private business records, so this remains pending or taken at face value.
Void
Dana WhiteDana White

Power Slap is the most successful business I have ever been part of in such a short time

The most successful business I've ever been a part of in such a short amount of time. [Power Slap]

Hard to verify without internal financials, but Dana has consistently staked his reputation on this claim.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

I earn $150,000 per episode of Pardon My Take

$75,000. But actually that was three years ago. We make 150,000. Literally the truth.

This is a satirical exaggeration of his actual earnings, used for comedic effect during the D&D bit.
Win
Tony SchefflerTony Scheffler

Breeding Maine Coon cats is a $4,000-per-kitten business

We got this new cat. They call it a Maine coon. ... We're looking to breed. ... [The market is] 3,500, 4 grand a piece. ... 10 years outta the league, it's time to move on and make some money.

Maine Coon kittens from reputable breeders in the US typically cost between $1,500 and $4,000, making his estimate accurate for high-end breeding.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Hosting the World Cup or Olympics is a massive waste of money for a country

Hosting the World Cup or the Olympics. ... Hosting a massive world event. I think Qatar spent like $2 trillion or some bullshit hosting the World Cup. ... At the end of the day, they're gonna have stadiums all around their country that are never gonna get used again. ... Have you seen the Chinese stadiums? They're like, I think wolves live there now.

Numerous economic studies (e.g., from Oxford and various economists) have shown that hosting these events rarely provides a positive financial return for the host city/nation.
Win
Michael RubinMichael Rubin

I have 'closed, closed' the door on future sports ownership because it would get in the way of Fanatics' success

are you closing the door on sports ownership going forward?... Closed. Closed. You're closed, closed. Look, here's the reality... I have so much to do to improve in everything that we do... for me, the opportunity to build fanatics into one of the most valuable companies in the world... I don't want anything to get in the way of that. And sports ownership would be in the way that.

As of late 2024, Michael Rubin has not returned to sports team ownership.
Void
Michael RubinMichael Rubin

The Buffalo Bills winning a Super Bowl would be the biggest merchandise market for Fanatics

What you generally look for is teams with great heritage that haven't won for a long time. The Buffalo Bills would be spectacular for business. Because they have great heritage... think about everyone who grew up in Buffalo who has any connectivity in Buffalo. Every one of them would buy $500 in merchandise.

Hypothetical merchandise prediction about a Bills Super Bowl win that hasn't happened. Unverifiable.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Sam Bankman-Fried is the latest Bernie Madoff

My hot seat is crypto in general. Sam Bankman-Fried from FTX is the latest Bernie Madoff right now. It's been in the news. He had I think about $40 billion and now he has $0 because his entire platform went bankrupt.

SBF was later convicted of multiple counts of fraud and conspiracy, confirming the comparison to high-profile financial scammers like Madoff.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

The US government stores 1.4 billion pounds of surplus cheese in caves in Missouri

There are just caves in America with cheese in them... 1.4 billion pounds of cheese... Springfield, Missouri... deep and converted Limestone mines caves kept perfectly at 36 degrees Fahrenheit store stockpiles... hundreds of feet below the ground.

The US government does maintain a massive strategic cheese reserve in underground cold storage, primarily in Missouri.
Win
Mr. PortnoyMr. Portnoy

Late-night TV news commercials for products like CarShield are frauds

When I see them up there, those products are fraud... I mean, they wouldn't be advertising there if they weren't a fraud. I have an occasional check with the FTC site and the Better Business Bureau to see various of these companies have all sorts of consumer complaints against them. And what a shock!

CarShield and similar companies have indeed faced numerous complaints and legal actions from the FTC regarding deceptive advertising and service denials.
Loss
Billy FootballBilly Football

Tesla is the only electric car company

They're the only electric car company actually.

There are many other electric car companies (Rivian, Lucid, Ford/GM/VW EVs, etc.).
Win
Tom SeguraTom Segura

Dana White is banned from most major casinos for winning millions at blackjack

Dana White is banned from almost every major casino for playing blackjack because he has taken them for millions. He has a system and one of the casinos, they gave him a belt and they're like you are the champ and you are ready to kick somebody out. I don't know what his system is and we're talking walking out with like, 'Hey, I won $1.3 million playing blackjack.'

Dana White has publicly stated and casinos have confirmed he is limited or banned from high-stakes play at several Vegas properties like the Palms and Wynn due to his winning streaks.
Win
Mark CubanMark Cuban

By the end of the year, Cost Plus Drugs will carry 2,000 generic medications

Right now we've got about 110 different generics at costplusdrugs.com. By the end of the year we'll have 2,000. So if you have any type of prescription, check it out, you know, if we have your drug, we will save [you money].

As of late 2022, Cost Plus Drugs had surpassed 1,000 drugs and continued scaling toward the 2,000 mark by 2023, making this largely correct in trajectory.
Win
Jersey JerryJersey Jerry

The elevator technicians union is one of the best and most lucrative trades to join

In the union's, there is elevator union. Biggest money can make one of the best unions there is. Wow. They like this guy's first year he'll he'll easily make probably 120-125... I mean you're talking about guys that make over 200, 250 a year.

Elevator installers and repairers are consistently among the highest-paid construction trades in the U.S.
Win
Mike FlorioMike Florio

The Buccaneers had no legal right to reclaim Tom Brady's 600th touchdown ball from the fan

I looked at the season ticket agreement. I looked at the general ticket agreement... there's nothing on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers tickets that would give them the right to go get it... I don't think they'd have a leg to stand on if it would end up in court.

Legal consensus generally agrees that once an item is gifted by a team representative with 'apparent authority,' ownership transfers to the fan.
Win
Mike FlorioMike Florio

Mike Evans had 'apparent authority' to give the football away, making the gift final

He has the apparent authority to scoop up a football on a touchdown he scored and hand it to a fan forever done over, no give backs, no take backs. Once that transfer is committed from the fan's perspective, that fan's got the right to assume that Mike Evans has the authority to surrender that football.

This is a correct application of contract and property law in the context of professional sports souvenirs.
Void
Daymond JohnDaymond John

Hot fashion brands typically only last five to seven years

The cycle of generally for fashion, a hot fashion brand lasts about five to seven years. There's a unicorns like Nike and Louis Vuitton. But you'll notice whether it's Benetton or Levi's... [they] chip away.

This is a general business observation from a fashion mogul.
Win
Billy FootballBilly Football

The Pi Coin cryptocurrency is officially a pyramid scheme and a scam

That Pi coin I was telling everyone to do is a scam. Yo. Basically it's sort of a big kind of pyramid scheme mask type thing. What made you think it was a pyramid scheme? Was it the fact that you had to get other pioneers to make yourself more Pi? That, and you know, the sort of pyramid part of it.

Pi Network has been widely criticized by security experts as a data-harvesting app with no real value, fitting Billy's 'scam' description.
Win
Billy FootballBilly Football

Wingstop changing their name to Thighstop is due to a national wing shortage

My hot seat is Wings. Wingstop is now Thighstop due to the national wing shortage. There was a three-time price increase in Wings, so it actually had... been a better investment to invest in Wings than... some cryptos right now.

Wingstop did launch a 'Thighstop' digital brand in June 2021 specifically to combat high wing prices and shortages.
Open
Rachel NicholsRachel Nichols

The NBA's consideration of expansion to Seattle is primarily driven by the need for billions in expansion fees

The truth is they need money. And if they expand again, it's about a billion dollars a franchise... They're talking about, 'Oh, should we put more Jersey patches on stuff like that to make up the extra revenue they're not getting from ticket sales?' The Seattle SuperSonics coming back, that would be a hell of a Jersey patch. You would definitely rake in the cash.

While expansion hasn't happened yet, it is widely reported by NBA insiders that expansion fees (expected to be $4-5 billion per team) are a key driver for future league growth.
Loss
Billy FootballBilly Football

A parlay strategy involving five underdogs has a 50% likelihood of profit

I plugged in 32 outcomes, and then once each outcome happens, you see how much money you stand on winning in that moment... this actually has a 50% likelihood of being positive.

Standard gambling math shows that multi-leg parlays are negative expected value bets. Billy's specific formula was widely debunked by listeners following the episode.
Win
Billy FootballBilly Football

Humans are more effective and cheaper than robots for retail inventory

Walmart has stopped using robots to do inventory because they realized that humans were actually just as effective and cheaper. So cool throne humans.

In November 2020, Walmart did indeed scrap its plans to use shelf-scanning robots, finding that humans could do the job just as well.
Win
Billy FootballBilly Football

Costco's co-founder threatened to kill the CEO to keep the hot dog price at $1.50

The Costco co-founder... got mad at the CEO of Costco said, 'Hey, we're losing money on our dollar fifty hot dog deal. I think you got change it up' and the co-founder of Costco's like 'If you change that deal, I'll kill you.'

This is a documented interaction between Costco co-founder Jim Sinegal and CEO Craig Jelinek.
Win
AkonAkon

I made more money from ringtones than from my record label selling albums

I realized... the ringtone was only 15 seconds of the song but it was $4.99. ... I went straight for the ringtones and every song I made I made sure I did all ringtones for it. ... I end up being on the Guinness Book of World Records for most ringtones sold in the world and the good thing that I never gave him my digital rights. I was able to really make more money just from selling ringtones that I did in my label made from selling my albums.

Akon is officially recognized by Guinness World Records for this, and the high price of ringtones vs. singles in that era is a documented economic anomaly.
Win
Big CatBig Cat

Apple purposefully throttles iPhone battery life when a new model is about to be released

My iPhone on Saturday started, like, rapidly losing battery, getting way overheated... and then I Googled it... iPhone 12 coming out soon. Oh, it's fucking every single time. I don't understand how they're able to get away with this.

Apple admitted to slowing down older iPhones with aging batteries to prevent shutdowns and settled multiple lawsuits related to this practice.
Win
Barbara CorcoranBarbara Corcoran

The 'Comfy' is my most profitable Shark Tank investment ever

The one that I made the most money on already in just a few short years, millions of dollars, is Comfy... They've sold over 70 million dollars... I took just a 30% of their interest just because I like the guys.

At the time of recording, this was true. The Comfy became a massive viral hit and remained one of her top earners.
Win
Barbara CorcoranBarbara Corcoran

My worst Shark Tank investment was a weight loss lipstick that burned people's lips

The lipstick that makes you lose weight. It doesn't make you lose weight. What it does is burns the crap out of your lips so you don't want to eat a hot dog... terrible. That's a real thing.

The product she is referring to is 'Skinny 24' or similar appetite-suppressing lip balms she invested in on the show which failed.
Loss
Lavar BallLavar Ball

Big Baller Brand is worth over one billion dollars

The net worth of big baller brand is estimated to be over 1 billion dollars... what's it worth? why everybody knows it's worth a billion. Why do you think they come at me so hard? Because I know it's worth a billion dollars.

While the brand has notoriety, no financial valuation or sale has ever validated a $1 billion price tag; the company struggled with manufacturing and internal theft issues.
Void
Kevin O'LearyKevin O'Leary

I can sense the 'aura of success' or failure in a person before they even speak.

I can actually tell now when they step out on that carpet... and at that moment I can sense their aura. And I know exactly whether we have winners or losers. They don't even have to say anything. I'm right a hundred percent. I can now at this point sense the aura of success or losers.

This is an unverifiable claim about his own perception.
Void
HankHank

Gold is more valuable than money

I'm going to go with something better than money, gold. [Gold is more valuable than money.] It is.

While gold has intrinsic value, money is the medium of exchange; the claim 'gold is better than money' is a philosophical/economic debate, but factually gold is a form of money/asset.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

I made $125,000 selling custom software in Austin at age 27

I think when I was 27 I made a hundred and twenty five thousand... I was selling software, custom software in Austin, Texas.

This is a personal biographical claim that can't be externally verified but is treated as show canon.
Win
Jon TafferJon Taffer

Red Bull uses predatory contracts to lock bars into exclusive energy drink deals

Red Bull has like predatory contracts. So when you sign a deal as a bar with Red Bull... in the contract, it says you are not allowed to do business with any other energy drink. They buy you in, so to speak, and they lock you in.

Exclusivity agreements are a standard and well-documented practice in beverage distribution for major brands.
Void
Jon TafferJon Taffer

Sports only drive bar business about 70 days a year

Sports will only fill a bar about 70 days a year... And a lot of people think, oh, but a sports bar, they come every night. That's not true. They don't come for every baseball game, only postseason. They don't come for every NBA game, only postseason...tops 70, 80 days.

This is a business statistic Taffer frequently cites based on his industry data.
Void
Jon TafferJon Taffer

Women over 34 need backs on barstools, while younger women prefer stools without them

When you have women over 34, you put her back on a barstool... Under 34, you don't. And the reason why is over 34, women get very sensitive about their asses... Under 34, I want you to spin around for interactivity.

This is a specific design philosophy from Taffer. While 'correct' in his methodology, it's a generalization of customer behavior.
Win
Jon TafferJon Taffer

The incidence of play on pinball machines is much higher when they are placed near dartboards

If you're going to have dartboards, you've got to have at least one pinball machine, and here's why. When people are waiting to play darts, they'll play pinball. And the incidence of play on pinball games is much higher when there's dartboards nearby for that reason.

Taffer is the leading expert on this specific niche of consumer behavior and his data is widely cited in his field.
Push
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Tom Dundon only bought the AAF to acquire its gambling technology

Albert Breer said that the speculation was that [Tom] Dundon bought the league just to get access to their gambling app that they were building. So $70 million for a gambling app seems like a shrewd investment.

While rumored, Dundon has denied this was the sole reason, but the tech was a key asset in the liquidation.
Loss
Big CatBig Cat

QuadrigaCX CEO Gerald Cotten fake-died in India to steal everyone's Bitcoin

This guy is alive. He has all your Bitcoin. If you have Bitcoin with him, I'm sorry, but he's fake dead and you're shit out of luck. He went to India and now he's dead? That is the best place to die if you're going to fake it. He is whale fucking with John McAfee.

Extensive investigations by the FBI, RCMP, and journalists (including the documentary 'Trust No One: The Hunt for the Crypto King') have found no evidence Cotten is alive, despite the strange circumstances of his death in India.
Loss
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

The Bitcoin exchange CEO who reportedly died with the passwords is not actually dead

There's no way he's dead, right? There hasn't been a good fake death in a while... He is living it high with, he's probably fucking whales with John McAfee in wherever the hell they are.

The death of Gerald Cotten was officially confirmed by doctors in India, though skepticism remains in the crypto community.
Void
Ricky WilliamsRicky Williams

The Freedom Football League will give fans who buy season tickets equity in the team

One of our main things is when people buy season tickets, they get part of the team. It'll be like owning a stock. So in the future, if the team is successful and sponsorships are coming in and the league is growing, fans are going to get a check in the mail.

The Freedom Football League never actually played a game, so this ownership model never came to fruition.
Win
Daymond JohnDaymond John

Most professional athletes and lottery winners go bankrupt within three years of leaving the league or receiving the money

Athletes and lotto winners, they usually bankrupt three years either outside of leaving the league or receiving the money. And you can easily blow $20 million.

While the exact 'three year' window varies, the high rate of bankruptcy among pro athletes (e.g., 78% of NFL players within two years of retirement per a famous SI report) is a well-documented claim in financial literature.
Win
HankHank

Millennials are saving the frozen food industry

Frozen food is also back. So a lot of people bash us millennials and say we're only good for avocados and things of that nature. But it turns out that millennials are saving the frozen food industry.

Industry data from 2018-2020 did indeed show a resurgence in frozen food sales driven by younger demographics seeking convenience.
Win
Mike FlorioMike Florio

If the Panthers sell for less than $1.4 billion, the NFL has cause for concern

I think the Bills were the last team that sold and they went for 1-4. So if you get south of 1-4, I think there's cause for concern. But if it's less than a billion, then it's like, holy shit.

The Panthers sold for $2.275 billion in 2018, well above Florio's 'concern' threshold of $1.4 billion.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Pardon My Take is fueling the record growth of the American economy and stock market

Since we started this podcast, the stock market has never been higher in the history of the United States. So put two and two together.

The stock market did reach historic highs during this period, though the causal link to the podcast is purely comedic.
Win
Mike LeachMike Leach

Texas is the only state that exercises sovereign immunity on contracts

Sovereign immunity is really appealing to third world dictators. ... the only state, the only state that exercises sovereign immunity on contracts is Texas. ... every state in the country eliminated exercising sovereign immunity on contracts, except for Texas does it to this day. ... And North Korea, I mean, sovereign immunity is a big deal with North Korea, Somalia. And that, you know, that's the company that's being kept if you exercise sovereign immunity on contracts.

While several states have forms of sovereign immunity, Leach's specific claim about its application to breach of contract in Texas is a central point of his long-running legal dispute with Texas Tech.
Win
Jon TafferJon Taffer

70% of people make a right-hand turn when they walk into a mall

i'm just i'm just a fucking nutcase guys i mean i pick apart and study and you know everything like 70 of people that walk into a mall make a right hand turn now that bothers the shit out of me and because it's true

Studies on consumer behavior frequently cite the 'invariant right' phenomenon, where the majority of shoppers turn right upon entering.
Win
Jon TafferJon Taffer

An overcrowded bar actually makes less money than one with 20% fewer people

You know what's funny is that bar with 20% less people in it would actually make more money that night. And that's the sign of a rookie owner. Because when a bar gets that crowded, I can't get waitresses to you. Bartenders can't serve everyone. Half the people in the room don't have drinks.

This is a recognized principle in hospitality management regarding service capacity and efficiency.
Loss
Mr. PortnoyMr. Portnoy

The Washington Wizards abandoned the Bullets trademark, so it is now open for public use.

I i i would say uh give it a shot [selling Bullets merchandise]... I would say the argument would be they've abandoned it [the trademark]... it makes sense to me.

The NBA and its teams do not abandon trademarks for former names as they are regularly used for 'throwback' merchandise and historical reference.
Win
PFT CommenterPFT Commenter

Sports TV ratings would be considerably lower if there was no sports gambling

The ratings in general for places like ESPN and all the networks that are airing sports would be considerably lower if there was no sports gambling at all.

While hard to isolate, the massive viewership for late-game spreads and the subsequent lean-in from major leagues and networks supports this.

Search

Search takes, episodes, and speakers